2027 Navarrese regional election

2027 Navarrese regional election
23 May 2027
All 50 seats in the Parliament of Navarre
26 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
 
Leader Cristina Ibarrola María Chivite Laura Aznal
Party UPN PSN–PSOE EH Bildu
Leader since 28 April 2024 19 October 2014 6 May 2022
Last election 15 seats, 28.0% 11 seats, 20.7% 9 seats, 17.1%
Current seats 15 11 9
Seats needed Increase 11 Increase 15 Increase 17
 
Leader Pablo Azcona Javier García Neniques Roldán
Party GBai PP Contigo/Zurekin
Leader since 4 September 2023 4 December 2022 28 June 2025
Last election 7 seats, 13.2% 3 seats, 7.3% 3 seats, 6.1%
Current seats 7 3 3
Seats needed Increase 19 Increase 23 Increase 23
Incumbent President

María Chivite
PSN–PSOE


A regional election will be held in Navarre on 23 May 2027 to elect the 12th Parliament of the chartered community. All 50 seats in the Parliament will be up for election. It will be held concurrently with regional elections in at least six other autonomous communities and local elections all across Spain.

Overview

Under the 1982 Reintegration and Improvement of the Chartered Regime, the Parliament of Navarre is the unicameral legislature of the homonymous chartered community, having legislative power in devolved matters, as well as the ability to grant or withdraw confidence from a regional president.[1] The electoral and procedural rules were supplemented by national law provisions.[2]

Date

The term of the Parliament of Navarre expires four years after the date of its previous election, unless it is dissolved earlier. If no snap election is called before the last year of the legislative term, the election decree shall be issued no later than 54 days before the scheduled election date and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of Navarre (BON), with election day taking place on the fourth Sunday of May four years after the previous election.[3] The previous election was held on 28 May 2023, setting the latest possible date for election day on the fourth Sunday of May four years later, which is 23 May 2027.

The regional president has the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament of Navarre at any given time and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence is in process, no nationwide election is due and some time requirements are met: namely, that dissolution does not occur either during the first legislative session or during the last year of parliament before its planned expiration, nor before one year after a previous one under this procedure.[4] In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a three-month period from election day, the Parliament shall be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.[5]

Electoral system

Voting for the Parliament is based on universal suffrage, comprising all Spanish nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Navarre and with full political rights, provided that they have not been deprived of the right to vote by a final sentence.[6]

The Parliament of Navarre has a minimum of 40 and a maximum of 60 seats, with electoral provisions fixing its size at 50. All are elected in a single multi-member constituency—corresponding to the chartered community's territory—using the D'Hondt method and closed-list proportional voting, with a three percent-threshold of valid votes (including blank ballots) regionally.[7]

The law does not provide for by-elections to fill vacant seats; instead, any vacancies arising after the proclamation of candidates and during the legislative term will be filled by the next candidates on the party lists or, when required, by designated substitutes.[8]

Current parliament

The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the chamber at the present time.[9][10]

Current parliamentary composition
Groups Parties Legislators
Seats Total
Navarrese People's Union Parliamentary Group UPN 15 15
Socialist Party of Navarre Parliamentary Group PSN–PSOE 11 11
EH Bildu Navarre Parliamentary Group Sortu 9 9
Yes to the Future Parliamentary Group GSB/GSV 3 7
EAJ/PNV 3
AT 1
People's Party of Navarre Parliamentary Group PP 3 3
Navarre With You Parliamentary Group Podemos 2 3
IUN/NEB 1
Mixed Group Vox 1 1
Non-Inscrits INDEP 1[a] 1

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allows for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, alliances and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form an alliance are required to inform the relevant electoral commission within 10 days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors need to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in Navarre, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list.[12] Amendments in 2024 required a balanced composition of men and women in the electoral lists through the use of a zipper system.[13]

Below is a list of the main parties and alliances which will likely contest the election:

Candidacy Parties and
alliances		 Leading candidate Ideology Previous result Gov. Ref.
Vote % Seats
UPN Cristina Ibarrola Conservatism
Christian democracy
Regionalism		 28.0% 15 No [14]
[15]
PSN–PSOE
List
 María Chivite Social democracy 20.7% 11 Yes [16]
[17]
EH Bildu
List
 Laura Aznal Basque independence
Abertzale left
Socialism		 17.1% 9 No
GBai
List
 Pablo Azcona Basque nationalism
Social democracy		 13.2% 7 Yes [18]
PP
List
 Javier García Conservatism
Christian democracy		 7.3% 3 No
Contigo/
Zurekin
List
 Neniques Roldán Left-wing populism
Direct democracy
Democratic socialism		 6.1% 3 Yes [19]
[20]
Vox
List
 Emilio Jiménez Right-wing populism
Ultranationalism
National conservatism		 4.3% 2 No [21]

Opinion polls

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Graphical summary

Local regression trend line of poll results from 28 May 2023 to the present day, with each line corresponding to a political party.

Voting intention estimates

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 26 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Navarre.

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout UPN PSN–PSOE GBai PP C/Z Vox CS Podemos Sumar SALF Lead
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 1][p 2] 18–21 May 2026 1,087 ? 27.2
15		 18.4
10		 17.9
10		 10.1
5		 7.5
4		 6.5
3		 6.1
3		 – [b] – – 8.8
Gizaker/EiTB[p 3][p 4] 17 Apr–13 May 2026 600 ? 26.2
14		 20.5
10		 19.9
10		 13.0
6		 7.5
4		 5.6
3		 6.7
3		 – [b] – – 5.7
Aztiker/EH Bildu[p 5] 24 Dec 2025 993 ? 24.6
13		 ?
11		 18.8
10		 ?
6		 ?
4		 ?
2		 7.7
4		 – [b] – – ?
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 6] 24 Nov–1 Dec 2025 1,021 ? 27.5
14/15		 17.5
9/10		 20.5
10/11		 10.2
5		 7.6
3/4		 6.3
3		 7.0
3/4		 – [b] – – 7.0
EM-Analytics/Electomanía[p 7] 28 May–27 Jun 2025 1,245 ? 30.5
17		 23.8
13		 20.8
11		 6.4
3		 10.0
5		 – 2.2
0		 0.0
0		 2.9
0		 3.0
1		 – 6.7
NC Report/La Razón[p 8] 16–31 May 2025 300 62.1 ?
15		 ?
9		 ?
10		 ?
6		 ?
5		 ?
3		 ?
2		 – [b] – – ?
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 9] 16–29 Apr 2025 1,084 ? 28.6
15		 24.2
12/13		 20.3
10/11		 7.0
3/4		 7.5
4		 5.5
2/3		 4.4
2		 – [b] – – 4.4
Sigma Dos/CoCiudadana[p 10] 10–17 Jan 2025 679 ? 29.1
15/16		 23.8
12/13		 19.8
10/11		 8.1
3/4		 7.3
3/4		 5.6
2/3		 4.8
2		 – [b] – – 5.3
2024 EP election 9 Jun 2024 N/a 50.0 – 28.8
(16)		 18.7
(10)		 3.2
(1)		 28.0
(16)		 – 6.7
(3)		 0.5
(0)		 3.2
(1)		 3.9
(2)		 3.1
(1)		 0.8
EM-Analytics/Electomanía[p 11] 30 Apr–27 May 2024 1,245 ? 30.2
16		 22.4
12		 17.7
9		 8.7
4		 10.7
5		 – 3.8
2		 0.4
0		 1.5
0		 3.8
2		 – 7.8
CIES/UPN[p 12][p 13] 9–17 Apr 2024 1,000 ? 31.8
17		 18.7
10		 20.9
11		 11.5
6		 5.5
2		 5.3
2		 5.1
2		 – [b] – – 10.9
2023 general election 23 Jul 2023 N/a 66.4 15.3
(8)		 27.4
(14)		 17.2
(9)		 2.9
(0)		 16.7
(9)		 [c] 5.7
(3)		 – [c] 12.8
(7)		 – 10.2
2023 regional election 28 May 2023 N/a 64.4 28.0
15		 20.7
11		 17.1
9		 13.2
7		 7.3
3		 6.1
3		 4.3
2		 0.4
0		 [b] – – 7.3

Voting preferences

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

Preferred President

The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Government of Navarre.

Notes

  1. ↑ Maite Nosti, former Vox legislator.[11]
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Within C/ZN.
  3. 1 2 3 4 5 Within Sumar.
  4. 1 2 3 Does not include non-resident citizens.
  5. ↑ Responses denoting a party's generic candidate are aggregated to that party's main candidate/leader at the time of the poll.

References

Opinion poll sources
  1. ↑ "Chivite recupera terreno tras el 'caso Cerdán', pero eleva su dependencia de Bildu bajo la amenaza del 'sorpasso'". El Mundo (in Spanish). 25 May 2026.
  2. ↑ "Sondeo El Mundo – A un año de las autonómicas – Estimación de voto Navarra". Sigma Dos. 27 May 2026.
  3. ↑ "El PNV y EH Bildu siguen al alza, aunque los jeltzales se mantendrían por delante". Orain (in Spanish). 28 May 2026.
  4. ↑ "UPN se impondría en Navarra, pero lejos de la mayoría; PSN y EH Bildu rivalizarían por la segunda plaza". Orain (in Spanish). 28 May 2026.
  5. ↑ "EH Bildu ganaría en la CAV y subiría en Nafarroa, según un sondeo de Aztiker". La Razón (in Spanish). 24 December 2025.
  6. ↑ "Vuelco histórico en Navarra: Bildu desbanca ya al PSOE, que se desploma 7 puntos en seis meses por el 'caso Cerdán'". El Mundo (in Spanish). 3 December 2025.
  7. ↑ "EP Navarra (30jun): bajón del PSN, subidón de EH Bildu y ascenso de UPN". Electomanía (in Spanish). 30 June 2025.
  8. ↑ "Macroencuesta electoral de NC Report (V): Chivite y sus socios volverían a arrebatar el gobierno a UPN". La Razón (in Spanish). 6 June 2025.
  9. ↑ "Bildu escala en Navarra hasta las puertas del Gobierno y presiona a la socialista a Chivite". El Mundo (in Spanish). 2 May 2025.
  10. ↑ "Encuesta de Sigma Dos: suben UPN, PSN y EH Bildu, baja Contigo y se hunde Geroa Bai". Diario de Navarra (in Spanish). 1 February 2025.
  11. ↑ "ElectoPanel Navarra (29 mayo): UPN no logra mejorar". Electomanía (in Spanish). 29 May 2024.
  12. ↑ "Según CÍES, UPN subiría a 17 escaños y Bildu daría un sorpasso al PSN en el Parlamento foral". Diario de Navarra (in Spanish). 29 May 2024.
  13. ↑ "[A] NAVARRA. Encuesta CIES (interna UPN) 29/05/2024: UPN 31,8% (17), EH BILDU 20,9% (11), PSOE 18,7% (10), GBAI 11,5% (6), PP 5,5% (2), CONTIGO-ZUREKIN 5,3% (2), VOX 5,1% (2)". Electográfica (in Spanish). 29 May 2024.
  14. 1 2 "Tendencias y demandas municipales y autonómicas. Comunidad Foral de Navarra (Estudio nº 3503. Marzo 2025)". CIS (in Spanish). 1 July 2025.
Other
  1. ↑ LORAFNA (1982), arts. 11–13 & 19–22.
  2. ↑ LFEPN (1986), art. 2.
  3. ↑ LORAFNA (1982), art. 15; LFEPN (1986), arts. 12–14 (suppl. by LOREG (1985), art. 42).
  4. ↑ LORAFNA (1982), art. 30; LFGNP (2004), arts. 7, 22 & 30.
  5. ↑ LORAFNA (1982), art. 29.
  6. ↑ LORAFNA (1982), art. 15; LFEPN (1986), art. 3 (suppl. by LOREG (1985), arts. 2–3).
  7. ↑ LORAFNA (1982), art. 15; LFEPN (1986), arts. 1 & 9–10.
  8. ↑ LFEPN (1986), art. 11 (suppl. by LOREG (1985), arts. 46 & 48).
  9. ↑ Lozano, Carles. "Elecciones al Parlamento de Navarra (Nafarroako Parlamentua) (desde 1979)". Historia Electoral.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 3 May 2026.
  10. ↑ "Grupos parlamentarios" (in Spanish). Parliament of Navarre. Retrieved 3 May 2026.
  11. ↑ Lorente Doria, Javier (12 March 2025). "Vox se rompe en el Parlamento de Navarra" (in Spanish). Pamplona: Cadena SER. Retrieved 3 December 2025.
  12. ↑ LFEPN (1986), art. 18 (suppl. by LOREG (1985), art. 44).
  13. ↑ LOREG (1985), art. 44 bis.
  14. ↑ "Cristina Ibarrola, elegida presidenta de UPN con el 81% de los apoyos" (in Spanish). Pamplona: Europa Press. 28 April 2024. Retrieved 10 November 2024.
  15. ↑ "La exalcaldesa de Pamplona Cristina Ibarrola será la candidata de UPN a la presidencia de Navarra" (in Spanish). Pamplona: elDiario.es. 13 February 2026. Retrieved 14 February 2026.
  16. ↑ Huarte, Ramón (23 March 2025). "María Chivite es reelegida por los socialistas navarros y respaldada por el PSOE" (in Spanish). Pamplona: Cadena SER. Retrieved 23 May 2026.
  17. ↑ "Chivite afirma que se volverá a presentar a las elecciones de Navarra en 2027" (in Spanish). Madrid: Europa Press. 22 May 2026. Retrieved 23 May 2026.
  18. ↑ Fernández, Ibai (4 September 2023). "Pablo Azcona asumirá la portavocía de Geroa Bai en el Parlamento de Navarra". Noticias de Navarra (in Spanish). Pamplona. Retrieved 10 November 2024.
  19. ↑ "Begoña Alfaro anuncia que no se presentará a las primarias de Podemos Navarra" (in Spanish). Pamplona: Europa Press. 30 April 2025. Retrieved 3 December 2025.
  20. ↑ "Neniques Roldán, nueva coordinadora autonómica de Podemos en Navarra, llama a "reconstruir" el partido" (in Spanish). Pamplona: Europa Press. 28 June 2025. Retrieved 3 December 2025.
  21. ↑ Otazu, Amaia (12 March 2025). "La portavoz de Vox en el Parlamento foral de Navarra deja el partido". El País (in Spanish). Pamplona. Retrieved 30 November 2025.

Bibliography

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