Next Galician regional election

Next Galician regional election
No later than 25 March 2028
All 75 seats in the Parliament of Galicia
38 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
 
Leader Alfonso Rueda Ana Pontón José Ramón Gómez Besteiro
Party PP BNG PSdeG–PSOE
Leader since 22 May 2022 28 February 2016 18 October 2023
Leader's seat Pontevedra A Coruña Lugo
Last election 40 seats, 47.4% 25 seats, 31.3% 9 seats, 14.1%
Current seats 40 25 9
Seats needed In majority Increase 13 Increase 29
 
Leader Armando Ojea
Party DO
Leader since 15 November 2023
Leader's seat Ourense
Last election 1 seat, 1.0%
Current seats 1
Seats needed Increase 37
Incumbent President

Alfonso Rueda
PP


A regional election will be held in Galicia no later than Saturday, 25 March 2028 to elect the 13th Parliament of the autonomous community. All 75 seats in the Parliament will be up for election.

Overview

Under the 1981 Statute of Autonomy, the Parliament of Galicia is the unicameral legislature of the homonymous autonomous community, having legislative power in devolved matters, as well as the ability to grant or withdraw confidence from a regional president.[1] The electoral and procedural rules are supplemented by national law provisions.[2]

Date

The term of the Parliament of Galicia expires four years after the date of its previous election, unless it is dissolved earlier. The election decree shall be issued no later than 25 days before the scheduled expiration date of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Journal of Galicia (DOG), with election day taking place 54 days after the decree's publication.[3] The previous election was held on 18 February 2024, which means that the chamber's term will expire on 18 February 2028. The election decree shall be published in the DOG no later than 25 January 2028, setting the latest possible date for election day on 19 March 2028.

The regional president has the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament of Galicia at any given time and call a snap election, provided that it does not occur before one year after a previous one under this procedure. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Parliament is to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.[4]

Electoral system

Voting for the Parliament is based on universal suffrage, comprising all Spanish nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Galicia and with full political rights, provided that they have not been deprived of the right to vote by a final sentence.[5]

The Parliament of Galicia has a minimum of 60 and a maximum of 80 seats, with electoral provisions fixing its size at 75. All are elected in four multi-member constituencies—corresponding to the provinces of A Coruña, Lugo, Ourense and Pontevedra, each of which is assigned an initial minimum of 10 seats and the remaining 35 distributed in proportion to population—using the D'Hondt method and closed-list proportional voting, with a five percent-threshold of valid votes (including blank ballots) in each constituency.[6] The use of this electoral method may result in a higher effective threshold depending on district magnitude and vote distribution.[7]

As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Parliament constituency would be entitled the following seats (as of 11 December 2025):[a]

Seats Constituencies
25 A Coruña
22 Pontevedra
14 Lugo, Ourense

The law does not provide for by-elections to fill vacant seats; instead, any vacancies arising after the proclamation of candidates and during the legislative term will be filled by the next candidates on the party lists or, when required, by designated substitutes.[9]

Current parliament

The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the chamber at the present time.[10]

Current parliamentary composition
Groups Parties Legislators
Seats Total
People's Parliamentary Group of Galicia PP 40 40
Galician Nationalist Bloc's Parliamentary Group BNG 25 25
Socialists of Galicia's Parliamentary Group PSdeG–PSOE 9 9
Mixed Parliamentary Group DO 1 1

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allows for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, alliances and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form an alliance are required to inform the relevant electoral commission within 10 days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors need to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they seek election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list.[11] Amendments in 2024 required a balanced composition of men and women in the electoral lists through the use of a zipper system.[12]

Below is a list of the main parties and alliances which contested the election:

Candidacy Parties and
alliances		 Leading candidate Ideology Previous result Gov. Ref.
Vote % Seats
PP
List
 Alfonso Rueda Conservatism
Christian democracy		 47.4% 40 Yes
BNG Ana Pontón Galician nationalism
Left-wing nationalism
Socialism		 31.3% 25 No
PSdeG–
PSOE
List
 José Ramón Gómez Besteiro Social democracy 14.1% 9 No
DO
List
 Armando Ojea Localism
Right-wing populism		 1.0% 1 No

Opinion polls

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Voting intention estimates

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 38 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Galicia.

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PP BNG PSdeG–PSOE Vox Sumar DO Lead
EM-Analytics/Electomanía[p 1] 1–28 Jul 2026 1,104 ? 43.3
37		 36.8
30		 11.6
7		 2.8
0		 0.6
0		 1.2
1		 6.5
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 2] 9–22 Jul 2026 1,198 ? 47.5
40/42		 29.1
22/25		 13.8
10		 3.5
0		 2.0
0		 0.7
0/1		 18.4
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[p 3] 12–25 Feb 2026 1,223 ? 45.8
39		 31.7
25		 12.5
10		 4.1
0		 2.2
0		 0.8
1		 14.1
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[p 4] 3–11 Dec 2025 1,223 ? 45.1
39		 32.1
25		 12.8
10		 4.4
0		 – 0.9
1		 13.0
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[p 5] 17–25 Sep 2025 1,223 ? 45.3
39		 31.7
24		 13.5
11		 3.6
0		 2.3
0		 0.9
1		 13.6
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 6] 14–22 Jul 2025 1,250 ? 48.7
41/43		 29.9
23/25		 11.8
7/9		 3.2
0		 2.1
0		 0.8
0/1		 18.8
EM-Analytics/Nós Diario[p 7] 11–16 Jun 2025 700 ? ?
39		 ?
28		 ?
7		 – – ?
1		 ?
NC Report/La Razón[p 8] 16–31 May 2025 400 54.2 ?
40		 ?
26		 ?
8		 – – ?
1		 ?
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[p 9] 5–13 Feb 2025 1,223 65.4 45.8
40		 31.9
24		 14.1
10		 – – 1.0
1		 13.9
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[p 10] 29 Nov–9 Dec 2024 1,223 ? 46.4
40		 32.6
24		 13.1
10		 – – 0.9
1		 13.8
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[p 11] 24 Sep–2 Oct 2024 1,223 ? 46.6
40		 32.9
25		 12.3
9		 – – 0.9
1		 13.7
2024 EP election 9 Jun 2024 N/a 42.0 43.6
(39)		 16.1
(13)		 27.0
(23)		 4.4
(0)		 2.1
(0)		 – 16.6
2024 regional election 18 Feb 2024 N/a 56.3 47.4
40		 31.3
25		 14.1
9		 2.3
0		 1.9
0		 1.0
1		 15.8

Voting preferences

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

Preferred President

The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Regional Government of Galicia.

Notes

  1. ↑ This seat allocation has been manually calculated by applying the electoral rules set out in the law, on the basis of the latest official population figures provided by the Spanish government as of 2026. As such, it should be deemed as a provisional, non-binding estimation. The definitive allocation will be determined by the election decree at the time of the parliament's dissolution.[8]
  2. 1 2 Does not include non-resident citizens.
  3. ↑ Responses denoting a party's generic candidate are aggregated to that party's main candidate/leader at the time of the poll.

References

Opinion poll sources

  1. ↑ "ElectoPanel Galicia (30 julio): Jácome tendría la llave de la Xunta". Electomanía (in Spanish). 30 July 2026.
  2. ↑ "Alfonso Rueda ensancha su mayoría absoluta mientras el BNG retrocede y el PSOE sigue atrapado en mínimos". El Mundo (in Spanish). 24 July 2026.
  3. ↑ "Rueda revalidaría la mayoría absoluta dos años después de ganar las elecciones". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 1 March 2026.
  4. ↑ "Rueda mantiene su mayoría para afrontar la segunda mitad de legislatura". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 15 December 2025.
  5. ↑ "El PP retendría la mayoría absoluta año y medio después de ganar Rueda las autonómicas". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 28 September 2025.
  6. ↑ "Rueda amplía la mayoría absoluta del PP en Galicia mientras el BNG cae y el PSOE se hunde olvidado por la mitad de sus votantes". El Mundo (in Spanish). 25 July 2025.
  7. ↑ "Enquisa de EM-Analytics: o PP mantén a maioría absoluta fronte a un BNG á alza e un PSdeG que non remonta". Nós Diario (in Galician). 28 June 2025.
  8. ↑ "Macroencuesta electoral de NC Report (IV): Rueda afianza su hegemonía en Galicia y el BNG crece a costa del socialismo". La Razón (in Spanish). 5 June 2025.
  9. ↑ "El PP consolida su mayoría absoluta un año después de las elecciones gallegas". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 15 February 2025.
  10. ↑ "El PPdeG afianza su mayoría en Galicia un año después de convocar las elecciones". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 16 December 2024.
  11. ↑ "El PPdeG repetiría el resultado de las autonómicas con 40 diputados". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 6 October 2024.
  12. 1 2 "Tendencias y demandas municipales y autonómicas. Comunidad Autónoma de Galicia (Estudio nº 3503. Marzo 2025)". CIS (in Spanish). 1 July 2025.

Other

  1. ↑ Statute (1981), arts. 10 & 13.
  2. ↑ LEG (1985), final prov. 1.
  3. ↑ Statute (1981), art. 11; LEG (1985), art. 12 (suppl. by LOREG (1985), art. 42).
  4. ↑ LJP (1983), arts. 17 & 24.
  5. ↑ Statute (1981), art. 11; LEG (1985), art. 2 (suppl. by LOREG (1985), arts. 2–3).
  6. ↑ Statute (1981), art. 11; LEG (1985), arts. 8–10.
  7. ↑ Gallagher, Michael (30 July 2012). "Effective threshold in electoral systems". Dublin: Trinity College Dublin. Archived from the original on 30 July 2017. Retrieved 22 July 2017.
  8. ↑ Real Decreto 1117/2025, de 3 de diciembre, por el que se declaran oficiales las cifras de población resultantes de la revisión del Padrón municipal referidas al 1 de enero de 2025 (Royal Decree 1117/2025). Official State Gazette (in Spanish). 3 December 2025. Retrieved 12 December 2025.
  9. ↑ LEG (1985), art. 11 (suppl. by LOREG (1985), arts. 46 & 48).
  10. ↑ Lozano, Carles. "Elecciones al Parlamento de Galicia (desde 1981)". Historia Electoral.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 17 May 2026.
  11. ↑ LEG (1985), art. 21 (suppl. by LOREG (1985), art. 44).
  12. ↑ LOREG (1985), art. 44 bis.

Bibliography

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