2020 Pennsylvania Attorney General election
 | |||||||||||||||||
November 3, 2020
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
   Shapiro: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Heidelbaugh: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
.jpg)
| Elections in Pennsylvania |
|---|
 |
 Government |
The 2020 Pennsylvania Attorney General election was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the attorney general of Pennsylvania. Democratic incumbent Josh Shapiro won re-election to a second term, defeating Republican nominee Heather Heidelbaugh. Primary elections were originally due to take place on April 28, 2020. Following concerns regarding the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States including Pennsylvania, the primaries were delayed until June 2, 2020.[1]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Josh Shapiro, incumbent attorney general[2]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Josh Shapiro (incumbent) | Unopposed | |||
| Total votes | 1,429,414 | 100.0% | |||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Heather Heidelbaugh, partner, Leech Tishman; former Allegheny County councilwoman (2012–2016)[4]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Heather Heidelbaugh | Unopposed | |||
| Total votes | 1,055,168 | 100.0% | |||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[5] | Likely D | July 17, 2020 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Josh Shapiro (D) |
Heather Heidelbaugh (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Civiqs/Daily Kos[6] | October 23–26, 2020 | 1,145 (LV) | ± % | 52% | 41% | 5%[b] | 3% |
| Monmouth University[7] | September 28 – October 4, 2020 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 53% | 38% | 1%[c] | 7% |
| 500 (LV) | 54%[d] | 39% | – | – | |||
| 53%[e] | 40% | – | – | ||||
| Trafalgar Group (R)[8][A] | September 23, 2020 | 1,023 (LV) | ± 2.98% | 47% | 43% | 5%[f] | 5% |
| CPEC[9] | September 15–17, 2020 | 830 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 41% | 21% | 1% | 37% |
| Monmouth University[10] | August 28–31, 2020 | 400 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 51% | 41% | 2%[g] | 7% |
| 400 (LV) | 52%[h] | 41% | 1% | 6% | |||
| 51%[i] | 42% | 1% | 6% |
Endorsements
Josh Shapiro
Executive branch officials
- Barack Obama, former president of the United States (2009–2017)[11]
U.S. senators
- Bob Casey Jr., Pennsylvania (2007–2025)[12]
Local officials
- Pete Buttigieg, former mayor of South Bend, Indiana, and 2020 presidential candidate[13]
Labor unions
- Allegheny-Fayette Central Labor Council[14]
Organizations
- Brady Campaign[15]
- Human Rights Campaign[16]
- Mom's Demand Action[17]
- NARAL[18]
- Pennsylvania Democratic Party[19]
Individuals
- Fred Guttenberg, activist[20]
Newspapers and other media
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Josh Shapiro (incumbent) | 3,461,472 | 50.85% | −0.56% | |
| Republican | Heather Heidelbaugh | 3,153,831 | 46.33% | −2.28% | |
| Libertarian | Daniel Wassmer | 120,489 | 1.77% | N/A | |
| Green | Richard L. Weiss | 70,804 | 1.04% | N/A | |
| Total votes | 6,806,596 | 100.0% | |||
| Democratic hold | |||||
By county
| County | Heather Hiedelbaugh Republican |
Josh Shapiro Democratic |
Various candidates Other parties | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | |
| Adams | 36,476 | 65.27% | 17,707 | 31.69% | 1,701 | 3.05% |
| Allegheny | 246,537 | 34.58% | 443,523 | 62.21% | 22,855 | 3.21% |
| Armstrong | 24,569 | 68.07% | 10,673 | 29.57% | 851 | 2.33% |
| Beaver | 47,316 | 50.62% | 43,446 | 46.48% | 2,714 | 2.90% |
| Bedford | 22,088 | 80.98% | 4,743 | 17.39% | 446 | 1.63% |
| Berks | 103,359 | 50.95% | 92,774 | 45.73% | 6,725 | 3.31% |
| Blair | 43,933 | 69.58% | 17,511 | 27.73% | 1,694 | 2.69% |
| Bradford | 20,632 | 69.79% | 8,000 | 27.06% | 931 | 3.15% |
| Bucks | 181,596 | 46.32% | 200,335 | 51.10% | 10,142 | 2.59% |
| Butler | 68,477 | 61.06% | 40,708 | 36.30% | 2,959 | 2.63% |
| Cambria | 43,046 | 61.49% | 25,441 | 36.34% | 1,520 | 2.17% |
| Cameron | 1,678 | 69.57% | 673 | 27.90% | 61 | 2.53% |
| Carbon | 19,932 | 60.17% | 12,267 | 37.03% | 927 | 2.80% |
| Centre | 36,006 | 46.88% | 38,198 | 49.74% | 2,598 | 3.39% |
| Chester | 134,649 | 43.10% | 169,452 | 54.24% | 8,335 | 2.67% |
| Clarion | 13,324 | 68.93% | 5,561 | 28.77% | 445 | 2.30% |
| Clearfield | 27,318 | 70.02% | 10,751 | 27.56% | 943 | 2.42% |
| Clinton | 10,950 | 62.68% | 6,075 | 34.77% | 446 | 2.55% |
| Columbia | 18,010 | 58.56% | 11,705 | 38.06% | 1,041 | 3.38% |
| Crawford | 26,766 | 64.70% | 13,344 | 32.25% | 1,261 | 3.05% |
| Cumberland | 76,012 | 54.19% | 60,141 | 42.87% | 4,126 | 2.94% |
| Dauphin | 62,622 | 42.94% | 78,651 | 53.94% | 4,550 | 3.12% |
| Delaware | 120,232 | 37.16% | 196,128 | 60.62% | 7,184 | 2.22% |
| Elk | 11,353 | 67.79% | 4,997 | 29.84% | 398 | 2.38% |
| Erie | 59,664 | 44.54% | 69,548 | 51.91% | 4,757 | 3.55% |
| Fayette | 35,364 | 58.02% | 24,377 | 40.00% | 1,207 | 1.98% |
| Forest | 1,695 | 64.74% | 859 | 32.81% | 64 | 2.44% |
| Franklin | 55,408 | 69.68% | 21,874 | 27.51% | 2,239 | 2.82% |
| Fulton | 6,563 | 83.88% | 1,109 | 14.17% | 152 | 1.94% |
| Greene | 10,563 | 61.18% | 6,227 | 36.07% | 475 | 2.75% |
| Huntingdon | 16,455 | 73.09% | 5,559 | 24.69% | 500 | 2.22% |
| Indiana | 24,809 | 60.76% | 15,013 | 36.77% | 1,006 | 2.47% |
| Jefferson | 17,002 | 74.44% | 5,290 | 23.16% | 547 | 2.39% |
| Juniata | 8,950 | 75.36% | 2,648 | 22.30% | 279 | 2.35% |
| Lackawanna | 43,289 | 38.28% | 66,748 | 59.03% | 3,037 | 2.69% |
| Lancaster | 159,165 | 57.56% | 109,568 | 39.62% | 7,808 | 2.83% |
| Lawrence | 25,399 | 56.08% | 18,735 | 41.36% | 1,149 | 2.56% |
| Lebanon | 44,716 | 63.34% | 23,756 | 33.65% | 2,122 | 3.01% |
| Lehigh | 79,664 | 43.91% | 96,029 | 52.93% | 5,719 | 3.15% |
| Luzerne | 73,051 | 48.60% | 73,325 | 48.79% | 3,921 | 2.61% |
| Lycoming | 39,148 | 66.48% | 18,048 | 30.65% | 1,690 | 2.87% |
| McKean | 13,635 | 71.18% | 4,972 | 25.96% | 548 | 2.87% |
| Mercer | 33,973 | 59.53% | 21,512 | 37.70% | 1,580 | 2.76% |
| Mifflin | 15,846 | 74.73% | 4,866 | 22.95% | 492 | 2.32% |
| Monroe | 35,501 | 43.62% | 43,230 | 53.12% | 2,651 | 3.26% |
| Montgomery | 178,554 | 35.35% | 313,151 | 62.00% | 13,381 | 2.65% |
| Montour | 5,424 | 55.99% | 3,943 | 40.70% | 321 | 3.31% |
| Northampton | 78,082 | 47.09% | 82,853 | 49.97% | 4,864 | 2.93% |
| Northumberland | 26,353 | 63.13% | 14,036 | 33.62% | 1,354 | 3.24% |
| Perry | 17,483 | 71.49% | 6,234 | 25.49% | 739 | 3.02% |
| Philadelphia | 117,140 | 16.53% | 572,158 | 80.72% | 19,537 | 2.75% |
| Pike | 18,578 | 57.83% | 12,503 | 38.92% | 1,045 | 3.25% |
| Potter | 7,055 | 79.00% | 1,667 | 18.67% | 208 | 2.33% |
| Schuylkill | 43,511 | 62.32% | 24,048 | 34.44% | 2,261 | 3.24% |
| Snyder | 13,119 | 69.55% | 5,261 | 27.89% | 482 | 25.5% |
| Somerset | 29,488 | 73.23% | 9,934 | 24.67% | 845 | 2.10% |
| Sullivan | 2,380 | 67.10% | 1,072 | 30.22% | 95 | 2.68% |
| Susquehanna | 14,389 | 67.00% | 6,479 | 30.17% | 608 | 2.83% |
| Tioga | 15,345 | 73.94% | 4,741 | 22.84% | 668 | 3.20% |
| Union | 11,715 | 58.89% | 7,619 | 38.30% | 560 | 2.82% |
| Venango | 16,862 | 64.27% | 8,631 | 32.90% | 744 | 2.83% |
| Warren | 13,425 | 66.52% | 6,044 | 29.95% | 714 | 3.53% |
| Washington | 63,881 | 54.37% | 50,617 | 43.08% | 2,990 | 2.54% |
| Wayne | 17,302 | 62.64% | 9,632 | 34.87% | 687 | 2.49% |
| Westmoreland | 115,208 | 56.60% | 83,550 | 41.05% | 4,799 | 2.36% |
| Wyoming | 9,159 | 62.48% | 5,080 | 34.65% | 421 | 2.87% |
| York | 142,637 | 60.46% | 86,122 | 36.50% | 7,164 | 3.04% |
| Totals | 3,153,831 | 46.33% | 3,461,472 | 50.85% | 191,293 | 2.81% |
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Luzerne (largest city: Wilkes-Barre)
By congressional district
Shapiro won ten of 18 congressional districts, including one that elected a Republican.[24]
| District | Shapiro | Heidelbaugh | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 52% | 46% | Brian Fitzpatrick |
| 2nd | 71% | 26% | Brendan Boyle |
| 3rd | 89% | 8% | Dwight Evans |
| 4th | 61% | 36% | Madeleine Dean |
| 5th | 63% | 35% | Mary Gay Scanlon |
| 6th | 54% | 43% | Chrissy Houlahan |
| 7th | 52% | 45% | Susan Wild |
| 8th | 52% | 46% | Matt Cartwright |
| 9th | 37% | 60% | Dan Meuser |
| 10th | 47% | 50% | Scott Perry |
| 11th | 37% | 60% | Lloyd Smucker |
| 12th | 32% | 65% | Fred Keller |
| 13th | 28% | 69% | John Joyce |
| 14th | 42% | 56% | Guy Reschenthaler |
| 15th | 31% | 66% | Glenn Thompson |
| 16th | 43% | 54% | Mike Kelly |
| 17th | 54% | 43% | Conor Lamb |
| 18th | 67% | 30% | Mike Doyle |
See also
Notes
- ↑ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ↑ Wessmer (L) with 3%; Weiss (G) with 2%
- ↑ "No one" with 1%; Wassmer (L) and Weiss (G) with 0%
- ↑ With a likely voter turnout model featuring high turnout
- ↑ With a likely voter turnout model featuring low turnout
- ↑ Wassmer (L) and Weiss (G) with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
- ↑ "No one" and Wassmer (L) with 1%; Weiss (G) with 0%
- ↑ With a likely voter turnout model featuring higher turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
- ↑ With a likely voter turnout model featuring lower turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
Partisan clients
- ↑ The American Industry Project has exclusively supported Republican candidates
References
- ↑ Levy, Marc; Scolforo, Mark (March 25, 2020). "Pennsylvania lawmakers vote to delay primary election". AP NEWS. Retrieved March 28, 2020.
- ↑ Southwick, Ron. "Josh Shapiro running for re-election as Pa. Attorney General". PennLive. Retrieved January 5, 2020.
- 1 2 Boockvar, Kathy. "Pennsylvania Elections - Office Results | Attorney General". Secretary of the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania. Retrieved June 2, 2020.
- ↑ Gerow, Charlie (May 24, 2020). "An introduction to the GOP candidates for statewide offices as primary day approaches | Charlie Gerow". Penn Live.
- ↑ "An Updated Look at Handicapping the 2020 Attorney General Elections". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved July 17, 2020.
- ↑ Civiqs/Daily Kos
- ↑ Monmouth University
- ↑ Trafalgar Group (R)
- ↑ CPEC
- ↑ Monmouth University
- ↑ Obama, Barack (August 3, 2020). "First Wave of 2020 Endorsements". Medium.
- ↑ "PA-AG: Sen. Bob Casey, Jr. (D) Endorses Attorney General Josh Shapiro (D) For Re-Election". Daily Kos.
- ↑ "Pete Buttigieg endorses 54 Democrats seeking office this November". September 18, 2020.
- ↑ "Tweet". twitter.com. Retrieved November 14, 2020.
- ↑ "Tweet". twitter.com. Retrieved November 14, 2020.
- ↑ "Human Rights Campaign Endorses Pennsylvania Attorney General Josh Shapiro for Re-Election". HRC. October 5, 2020.
- ↑ "Gun Sense Voter". Gun Sense Voter.
- ↑ "Tweet". twitter.com. Retrieved November 14, 2020.
- ↑ "Tweet". twitter.com. Retrieved November 14, 2020.
- ↑ "Tweet". twitter.com. Retrieved November 14, 2020.
- ↑ "Tribune endorsements for statewide offices". The Philadelphia Tribune. October 27, 2020.
- ↑ "Josh Shapiro would continue a track record of integrity as attorney general | Inquirer Endorsement". The Philadelphia Inquirer. October 12, 2020. Archived from the original on October 15, 2020. Retrieved July 12, 2021.
- ↑ "2020 Presidential Election - Statewide". Retrieved November 25, 2020.
- ↑ "DRA 2020". Daves Redistricting. Retrieved August 18, 2024.
External links
Official campaign websites