2027 Valencia municipal election

2027 Valencia municipal election
23 May 2027
All 33 seats in the City Council of Valencia
17 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
 
Leader María José Catalá Mónica Oltra Pilar Bernabé
Party PP Compromís PSPV–PSOE
Leader since 12 January 2019 4 July 2026 24 May 2025
Last election 13 seats, 36.6% 9 seats, 24.0% 7 seats, 19.0%
Current seats 13 9 7
Seats needed Increase 4 Increase 8 Increase 10
 
Leader Juan Manuel Badenas
Party Vox
Leader since 10 February 2023
Last election 4 seats, 12.7%
Current seats 4
Seats needed Increase 13
Incumbent Mayor

María José Catalá
PP


A municipal election will be held in Valencia on 23 May 2027 to elect the 13th City Council of the municipality. All 33 seats in the City Council will be up for election. It will be held concurrently with regional elections in at least seven autonomous communities and local elections all across Spain.

Overview

Under the 1978 Constitution, the governance of municipalities in Spain—part of the country's local government system—is centered on the figure of city councils (Spanish: ayuntamientos), local corporations with independent legal personality composed of a mayor, a government council and an elected legislative assembly.[1] The mayor is indirectly elected by the local assembly, requiring an absolute majority; otherwise, the candidate from the most-voted party automatically becomes mayor (ties are resolved by drawing lots).[2] In the case of Valencia, the top-tier administrative and governing body is the City Council of Valencia.[3]

Date

The term of local assemblies in Spain expires four years after the date of their previous election, with election day being fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years (as of 2026, this has been the year before a leap year). The election decree shall be issued no later than 54 days before the scheduled election date and published on the following day in the Official State Gazette (BOE).[4] The previous local elections were held on 28 May 2023, setting the date for election day on the fourth Sunday of May four years later, which is 23 May 2027.

Local assemblies can not be dissolved before the expiration of their term, except in cases of mismanagement that seriously harm the public interest and imply a breach of constitutional obligations, in which case the Council of Ministers can—optionally—decide to call a by-election.[5]

Electoral system

Voting for local assemblies is based on universal suffrage, comprising all Spanish nationals over 18 years of age, registered and residing in the municipality and with full political rights (provided that they have not been deprived of the right to vote by a final sentence), as well as resident non-national European citizens, and those whose country of origin allow reciprocal voting by virtue of a treaty.[6]

Local councillors are elected using the D'Hondt method and closed-list proportional voting, with a five percent-threshold of valid votes (including blank ballots) in each municipality.[7] Each municipality is a multi-member constituency, with a number of seats based on the following scale:[8]

Population Councillors
<100 3
101–250 5
251–1,000 7
1,001–2,000 9
2,001–5,000 11
5,001–10,000 13
10,001–20,000 17
20,001–50,000 21
50,001–100,000 25
>100,001 +1 per each 100,000 inhabitants or fraction
+1 if total is an even number

The law does not provide for by-elections to fill vacant seats; instead, any vacancies arising after the proclamation of candidates and during the legislative term will be filled by the next candidates on the party lists or, when required, by designated substitutes.[9]

Current council

The table below shows the composition of the political groups in the local assembly at the present time.[10][11]

Current council composition
Groups Parties Councillors
Seats Total
People's Municipal Group PP 13 13
Commitment Municipal Group Compromís 9 9
Socialist Municipal Group PSPV–PSOE 7 7
Vox Municipal Group Vox 4 4

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allows for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, alliances and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form an alliance are required to inform the relevant electoral commission within 10 days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors need to secure the signature of a determined amount of the electors registered in the municipality for which they seek election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list. In the case of Valencia, as its population is between 300,001 and 1,000,000, at least 5,000 signatures are required.[12] Amendments in 2024 required a balanced composition of men and women in the electoral lists through the use of a zipper system.[13]

Below is a list of the main parties and alliances which will likely contest the election:

Candidacy Parties and
alliances		 Leading candidate Ideology Previous result Gov. Ref.
Vote % Seats
PP
List
 María José Catalá Conservatism
Christian democracy		 36.6% 13 Yes [14]
Compromís Mónica Oltra Valencianism
Progressivism
Green politics		 24.0% 9 No [15]
[16]
[17]
PSPV–PSOE Pilar Bernabé Social democracy 19.0% 7 No [18]
Vox
List
 Juan Manuel Badenas Right-wing populism
Ultranationalism
National conservatism		 12.7% 4 Yes

Opinion polls

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Graphical summary

Local regression trend line of poll results from 28 May 2023 to the present day, with each line corresponding to a political party.

Voting intention estimates

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 17 seats are required for an absolute majority in the City Council of Valencia.

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PP Compromís PSPV Vox Unides Podem–EUPV
Podemos		 CS Sumar SALF Lead
SyM Consulting/EPDA[p 1] 18–22 Apr 2026 821 74.0 36.0
12/13		 22.9
8		 23.4
8		 13.4
4/5		 2.1
0		 0.2
0		 – – 12.6
SyM Consulting[p 2] 16–20 Mar 2026 873 73.8 36.2
13		 21.3
7/8		 24.0
8		 13.4
4/5		 2.4
0		 0.5
0		 – – 12.2
SocioMétrica/El Español[p 3] 17–20 Nov 2025 1,150 ? 35.9
13/14		 22.3
6/7		 20.1
6/7		 17.4
6/7		 2.2
0		 – – – 13.6
SyM Consulting/EPDA[p 4] 3–6 Nov 2025 984 ? 32.2
11/12		 25.5
8/9		 19.6
7		 16.9
6		 2.4
0		 0.7
0		 – – 6.7
SyM Consulting[p 5][p 6] 28–31 May 2025 917 67.9 39.0
13/14		 23.0
8		 20.1
7		 12.7
4/5		 1.1
0		 1.3
0		 – – 16.0
SyM Consulting/EPDA[p 7] 11–14 Mar 2025 906 67.9 40.0
14/15		 22.4
8		 19.2
6/7		 12.1
4		 1.6
0		 1.8
0		 – – 17.6
GfK/Compromís[p 8] 9–28 Jan 2025 1,215 ? 32.5
11/12		 26.7
9/10		 20.5
7		 15.4
5		 1.8
0		 – – 1.7
0		 5.8
SyM Consulting/EPDA[p 9] 1–7 Nov 2024 938 71.1 37.3
13/14		 23.7
8/9		 17.5
6		 14.0
5		 2.4
0		 2.2
0		 – – 13.6
Demoscopia y Servicios/ESdiario[p 10] 3–5 Oct 2024 800 67.0 38.6
14		 20.3
7		 20.8
8		 12.0
4		 3.5
0		 – – – 17.8
SyM Consulting[p 11] 17–20 Sep 2024 908 66.4 39.0
14		 23.7
8		 18.8
6/7		 13.6
4/5		 1.9
0		 0.5
0		 – – 15.3
2024 EP election 9 Jun 2024 N/a 60.3 36.9
(13)		 [a] 29.2
(11)		 10.7
(4)		 4.3
(0)		 1.0
(0)		 8.8
(3)		 5.3
(2)		 7.7
SyM Consulting/EPDA[p 12] 10–13 May 2024 932 71.9 38.6
14		 24.6
8/9		 18.7
6		 13.3
4/5		 2.0
0		 0.5
0		 – – 14.0
2023 general election 23 Jul 2023 N/a 76.1 36.5
(12)		 [a] 29.5
(10)		 14.1
(5)		 [a] – 17.7
(6)		 – 7.0
2023 municipal election 28 May 2023 N/a 72.0 36.6
13		 24.0
9		 19.0
7		 12.7
4		 2.3
0		 2.3
0		 – – 12.6

Preferred Mayor

The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become mayor of Valencia.

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 Within Sumar.

References

Opinion poll sources

  1. ↑ "La derecha conserva la alcaldía de la ciudad de Valencia y el PSOE supera a Compromís". El Periódico de Aquí (in Spanish). 10 May 2026.
  2. ↑ "Estimación resultados electorales Marzo 2026. Mayo 2027". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 27 March 2026.
  3. 1 2 "El PP de Catalá eleva su ventaja sobre Compromís a 13,6 puntos tras la dana y mantendría con holgura la alcaldía al crecer Vox". El Español (in Spanish). 23 November 2025.
  4. ↑ "La derecha retiene la alcaldía de Valencia gracias al ascenso de Vox". El Periódico de Aquí (in Spanish). 29 November 2025. Archived from the original on 30 December 2025. Retrieved 29 November 2025.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
  5. ↑ "Estimación resultados electorales Junio 2025. Mayo 2027. Valencia". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 5 June 2025.
  6. ↑ "El bloque PP y Vox retendría la alcaldía de Valencia si se celebraran hoy las elecciones según un sondeo de SYM Consulting". El Periódico de Aquí (in Spanish). 5 June 2025.
  7. ↑ "La derecha retiene la alcaldía de Valencia con mejoría del PP, según un sondeo de SyM Consulting". El Periódico de Aquí (in Spanish). 28 March 2025.
  8. ↑ "Una encuesta encargada por Compromís da un 4,9 a Catalá y un empate técnico entre bloques en Valencia". Valencia Plaza (in Spanish). 23 March 2025.
  9. ↑ "La derecha se afianza en el Ayuntamiento de Valencia con mejoría de Vox, que alcanza al PSOE, según la encuesta de noviembre de SyM Consulting para El Periódico de Aquí". El Periódico de Aquí (in Spanish). 1 December 2024.
  10. ↑ "El PP de Catalá se afianza en la alcaldía de Valencia y Compromís sin Ribó cae a tercera fuerza política". ESdiario (in Spanish). 9 October 2024.
  11. ↑ "Estimación resultados electorales Septiembre 2024. Mayo 2027". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 24 September 2024.
  12. ↑ "La derecha confirma su hegemonía en la ciudad de Valencia en el sondeo de El Periódico de Aquí". El Periódico de Aquí (in Spanish). 2 June 2024.

Other

  1. ↑ Constitution (1978), art. 140; LBRL (1985), art. 19.
  2. ↑ LBRL (1985), art. 19; LOREG (1985), art. 196.
  3. ↑ LBRL (1985), arts. 121–132.
  4. ↑ LOREG (1985), arts. 42 & 194.
  5. ↑ LBRL (1985), art. 61.
  6. ↑ Constitution (1978), art. 13; LBRL (1985), art. 19; LOREG (1985), arts. 2–3 & 176.
  7. ↑ LOREG (1985), arts. 163 & 180.
  8. ↑ LOREG (1985), art. 179.
  9. ↑ LOREG (1985), arts. 46, 48 & 182.
  10. ↑ Lozano, Carles. "Eleccions municipals a València (des de 1979)". Historia Electoral.com (in Catalan). Retrieved 4 November 2025.
  11. ↑ "Organización municipal. Pleno del Ayuntamiento. Los grupos políticos municipales. Corporación 2023-2027" (in Spanish). City Council of Valencia. Retrieved 6 November 2025.
  12. ↑ LOREG (1985), arts. 44 & 187.
  13. ↑ LOREG (1985), art. 44 bis.
  14. ↑ López Belarte, Mateo (17 July 2026). "Feijóo abre la carrera electoral y proclama a Catalá candidata al Ayuntamiento de València". Levante-EMV (in Spanish). Valencia. Retrieved 18 July 2026.
  15. ↑ Vázquez, Cristina (14 November 2023). "El exalcalde de Valencia Joan Ribó cede el testigo en Compromís". El País (in Spanish). Valencia. Retrieved 12 October 2024.
  16. ↑ Marco, Lucas; Martínez, Laura (28 March 2026). "Mónica Oltra anuncia que se presenta como candidata al Ayuntamiento de València". elDiario.es (in Spanish). Valencia. Retrieved 28 March 2026.
  17. ↑ Fernández Miró, Inés (4 July 2026). "Mónica Oltra, ratificada como candidata para las elecciones municipales: "Quiero ser la alcaldesa que ame València"" (in Spanish). Valencia: Cadena SER. Retrieved 6 July 2026.
  18. ↑ "El PSPV oficializa la candidatura de Pilar Bernabé a la alcaldía de València". Valencia Plaza (in Spanish). 24 May 2025. Retrieved 14 June 2025.

Bibliography

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