2026 Florida gubernatorial election

2026 Florida gubernatorial election

November 3, 2026
 
Nominee Byron Donalds David Jolly
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Bryan Avila Gwen Graham

Incumbent Governor

Ron DeSantis
Republican



The 2026 Florida gubernatorial election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the governor of Florida. Primary elections took place on August 18, 2026.[1] Incumbent governor Ron DeSantis is ineligible to seek re-election to a third consecutive term.

Republicans have won every gubernatorial election in Florida since 1998. If he wins, Byron Donalds would become the first African-American governor of Florida and the second African-American Republican to serve as Governor of any state since P. B. S. Pinchback of Louisiana during Reconstruction. This is the second consecutive Florida gubernatorial election in which the Democratic nominee is a former Republican.

Background

A heavily populated South Atlantic state with a large and increasingly conservative Latino American population and the northern parts lying in the Bible Belt, Florida is considered to be a moderately to strongly red state, having not elected a Democratic governor since 1994 nor a Democrat for president since 2012 and having moved significantly rightward in the last decade.[2] In 2022, incumbent governor Ron DeSantis was re-elected by a 19.4% margin, a considerable improvement from his 0.4-point victory four years earlier in the gubernatorial election during the 2018 blue wave.[3]

This was followed in 2024 by Republican Donald Trump winning his adoptive home state by a 13% margin as he won a second non-consecutive presidential term, improving his 3.4% margin of victory in 2020 and seemingly diminishing Florida's longtime swing-state and bellwether status. Republicans also control all statewide offices, a large majority of the state's U.S. House delegation, both U.S. Senate seats, and supermajorities in both houses of the Florida Legislature.[3]

Candidate eligibility and requirements

Article IV, Section 5(b) of the Florida Constitution states that, for a person to serve as governor, they must:[4]

  • Be at least thirty years old;
  • Be a permanent resident of Florida for at least seven years;
  • Not have served as governor for six years or more of the two prior terms.

Republican primary

Lieutenant Governor of Florida Jay Collins finished second in the primary.

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Failed to qualify

  • Charles Burkett, mayor of Surfside (2006–2010, 2020–2022, 2024–2026) (running as an Independent)[15]
  • Shea Cruel, U.S. veteran[12]
  • Jenny Patricia Curtman, naturopathic doctor[12]
  • Daniel J. Imperato, consultant[12]
  • John Joseph Mercadante, retired carpenter[12]

Withdrawn

  • Bill Reicherter, real estate agent, candidate for state house in 2024, and candidate for state senate in 2022[16]

Declined

Endorsements

Jay Collins
State representatives
Local officials
Organizations
Byron Donalds
Executive branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Party officials
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations
James Fishback
Executive branch officials
State legislators
Individuals
Organizations
Paul Renner
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Organizations
Ashley Moody (declined)
Individuals
Declined to endorse
Statewide officials

Debates

2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial debate
Date Host Moderators Link Republican Republican Republican Republican
Key:  P  Participant   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
 A  Absent   N  Not invited 
Jay Collins Byron Donalds James Fishback Paul Renner
July 2, 2026[93][94] PBD Podcast Patrick Bet-David Youtube P A[c] P P

Cancelled debates

In June 2026, the Republican Party of Florida announced that they would not be hosting a gubernatorial debate, as originally planned, later that month. The party stated that they had made the decision to cancel the debate after no candidate except Donalds met its qualifications.[95] The party's minimum requirements for a candidate to participate included:

  • At least 10% support in a Republican party-sponsored primary voter poll
  • A minimum $10 million in raised contributions
  • Over 10,000 unique individual campaign donors

The announcement drew criticism from gubernatorial candidates Collins, Fishback, and Renner, as well as incumbent Governor Ron DeSantis.[95] DeSantis attacked the party for trying to "engineer the outcome" of the primary election and acting against "the best interest of Republican voters."[95] DeSantis additionally noted that he himself would not have qualified under the set criteria during his 2018 primary run.[96] The Miami Herald also panned the decision, calling for a primary debate to take place.[97]

On June 24, WJAX-TV announced that the planned CBS debate would be cancelled, after "a majority of the Republican candidates didn’t agree to participate." Only Fishback and Renner agreed to debate, with Collins stating that he would only accept if Donalds showed as well. Donalds refused to participate in any debate, leading Fishback labeling Donalds a "coward".[98]

On June 25, Renner announced on X that the planned Fox 13 debate, set for July 21, had been cancelled.[99]

2026 Florida Republican cancelled gubernatorial debates
Date Host Moderators Location Republican Republican Republican Republican
Key:  P  Participant   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
 A  Absent   N  Not invited 
Jay Collins Byron Donalds James Fishback Paul Renner
June 27, 2026[100] Republican Party of Florida TBA Fort Lauderdale N I N N
July 15, 2026[95][101][98] CBS News TBA Jacksonville I[d] I[e] I I
July 21, 2026[102][99] Fox News TBA Tampa N I[f] I N

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of August 13, 2026
Candidate Raised Spent
Jay Collins (R) $1,842,546 $352,104
Byron Donalds (R) $13,792,445 $5,377,379
James Fishback (R) $705,217 $699,846
Paul Renner (R) $1,090,595 $470,796
Sources:[103][104][105][106][107]

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Jay
Collins
Byron
Donalds
James
Fishback
Paul
Renner
Other/
Undecided[g]
Margin
270toWin[108] July 13 – August 6, 2026 August 18, 2026 13.5% 47.5% 9.0% 4.5% 25.5% Donalds +34.0%
Decision Desk HQ[109] through August 11, 2026 August 18, 2026 16.6% 37.2% 18.4% 7.6% 20.2% Donalds +18.8%
FiftyPlusOne[110] through August 11, 2026 August 18, 2026 15.5% 39.9% 15.0% – 29.6% Donalds +24.4%
RealClearPolitics[111] July 8 – 29, 2026 August 18, 2026 13.6% 45.4% 9.6% 4.0% 27.4% Donalds +31.8%
Race to the WH[112] through July 29, 2026 August 18, 2026 16.0% 45.5% 9.5% 4.9% 24.1%[h] Donalds +29.5%
Average 15.0% 43.1% 12.3% 5.3% 25.4% Donalds +28.1%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[i]
Margin
of error
Jay
Collins
Byron
Donalds
James
Fishback
Paul
Renner
Other Undecided
David J Wolfson[113][A] July 28–29, 2026 988 (LV) ± 3.0% 30% 46% 10% 6% 4%[j] 4%
Quantus Insights (R)[114][B] July 27–29, 2026 635 (LV) ± 4.1% 16% 50% 12% 4% 5%[k] 13%
Targoz Market Research[115][C] July 20–26, 2026 532 (LV) – 18% 49% 4% 8% 4%[l] 17%
592 (RV) 17% 47% 4% 9% 4%[m] 20%
Listener Group/
Political Matrix News (R)[116]
July 21–23, 2026 1,020 (LV) ± 3.1% 2% 32% 13% 19% – 32%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[117][D] July 14–16, 2026 400 (LV) – 10% 53% 9% 4% – 24%
Cygnal (R)[118] July 12–13, 2026 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 11% 43% 12% 2% – 31%
Change Research (D)[119] July 9–11, 2026 – (LV) – 14% 37% 12% 2% 5%[n] 30%
The Tyson Group (R)[120] July 8–11, 2026 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 9% 48% 8% 4% 4%[o] 27%
David J Wolfson[121][A] July 2–6, 2026 934 (LV) ± 3.0% 20% 38% 10% 2% – 28%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[122][E] June 3–7, 2026 386 (LV) ± 3.0% 5% 54% 8% 2% – 31%
Listener Group/
Political Matrix News (R)[116]
May 31 – June 3, 2026 973 (LV) ± 3.1% 11% 29% 2% 14% – 44%
Change Research (D)[123][F] May 13–16, 2026 – (LV) – 8% 48% 9% 3% – 28%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[124] April 26–30, 2026 420 (LV) ± 4.78% 7% 54% 9% 2% – 28%
Stetson University[125] March 25 – April 13, 2026 373 (LV) – 6% 38% 5% 7% 17% 28%
Keystone Analytics[126] March 27 – April 6, 2026 795 (LV) ± 3.5% – 43% 19% – – 38%
Tarrance Group (R)[127][D] March 30 – April 2, 2026 466 (LV) ± 4.7% 6% 50% 9% 3% – 32%
Emerson College[128] March 29–31, 2026 465 (LV) ± 4.5% 4% 46% 4% 3% 4%[p] 39%
The American Promise[129] February 23–26, 2026 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 4% 44% 5% 2% – 45%
University of North Florida[130] February 16–20, 2026 657 (LV) ± 4.38% 4% 31% 6% 1% 6% 51%
3% 28% 4% 1% 28%[q] 36%
Targoz Market Research[131][C] February 13–16, 2026 401 (RV) – 15% 33% 3% 9% – 40%
Patriot Polling (R)[132] January 19–29, 2026 827 (LV) ± 4.0% – 37% 23% – – 40%
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy[133] January 8–13, 2026 400 (RV) ± 5.0% 7% 37% 3% 4% – 49%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[134][D] January 4–6, 2026 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 6% 45% 4% 3% – 41%
– 39% 3% 1% 26%[r] 31%
– 47% 5% 4% – 43%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[135][G] December 7–11, 2025 700 (RV) ± 3.7% 13% 40% – – 9% 38%
The Tyson Group (R)[137] December 8–9, 2025 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 9% 38% 2% 1% – 49%
The American Promise[138] November 17–19, 2025 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 1% 43% 0% 2% – 54%
Victory Insights (R)[139] November 11–13, 2025 600 (LV) – 1% 45% 1% 3% – 49%
St. Pete Polls[140][H] October 13–15, 2025 1,034 (LV) ± 3.0% 4% 39% – 3% – 54%
12% 52% – – – 36%
Targoz Market Research[141][C] September 16–18, 2025 506 (RV) – – 29% – 9% – 62%
The American Promise[142] September 4–5, 2025 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 2% 40% – 2% – 54%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[i]
Margin
of error
Casey
DeSantis
Byron
Donalds
Matt
Gaetz
Ashley
Moody
Jeanette
Nuñez
Jimmy
Patronis
Wilton
Simpson
Francis
Suarez
Michael
Waltz
Other Undecided
Emerson College[128] March 29–31, 2026 465 (LV) ± 4.5% 7% 44% – – – – – – – 15%[s] 34%
St. Pete Polls[140][H] October 13–15, 2025 1,034 (LV) ± 3.0% 21% 47% – – – – – – – – 36%
Targoz Market Research[141][C] September 16–18, 2025 510 (RV) – 26% 23% – – – – 2% – – 9%[t] 39%
University of North Florida[143] July 14–22, 2025 797 (RV) ± 3.9% 32% 29% 8% – – – 1% 2% – 10%[u] 18%
St. Pete Polls[144][145][H] July 8–10, 2025 831 (LV) ± 3.4% 27% 35% – – – – 3% – – 2%[v] 32%
Targoz Market Research[146][147][C] May 5–7, 2025 516 (RV) – 29% 28% 10% – 7% – 4% 5% – 4%[w] 13%
Targoz Market Research[146][148][C] April 15–22, 2025 619 (RV) – 28% 22% 8% – 9% – 4% 7% – 4%[w] 18%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[149] February 26–27, 2025 600 (LV) ± 5.0% 30% 34% – – – – 3% – – – 33%
Victory Insights (R)[150] January 26–27, 2025 850 (LV) ± 3.5% – 34% – – – – 5% – – – 61%
– 31% – – 4% – 3% 1% – – 60%
Florida Atlantic University/
Mainstreet Research
[151]
June 8–9, 2024 366 (RV) ± 3.3% 43% 19% 13% 14% – 5% – – – 7%[x] –
Florida Atlantic University/
Mainstreet Research
[152]
April 15–17, 2024 372 (RV) ± 3.3% 38% – 16% – – – – – – 20%[y] 26%
Victory Insights (R)[153] April 3–6, 2024 1,200 (LV) ± 2.9% – 21% 13% – – 3% 2% – 5% 14%[z] 43%
University of North Florida[154] October 23 – November 4, 2023 788 (LV) ± 3.8% 22% 9% 9% 6% 2% 3% 1% 1% 1% 6%[aa] 40%

Results

Primary results by county:
  Donalds
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Collins
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Byron Donalds 810,552 47.8
Republican Jay Collins 426,696 25.2
Republican James Fishback 177,660 10.5
Republican Paul Renner 144,950 8.5
Republican Bobby Williams 69,026 4.1
Republican Rachel Rodriguez 27,602 1.6
Republican Jim Holcomb 13,172 0.8
Republican James Walker Shaw 7,878 0.5
Republican Arthur Joseph McCaffrey 7,039 0.4
Republican Caneste Succe 6,266 0.4
Republican Daniel Nokovich 5,188 0.3
Total votes 1,696,029 100.0

Lieutenant gubernatorial nomination

Nominee

Considered, but not selected

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

David Jolly
Executive branch officials
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Local officials
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers
Dayna Marie Foster
Organizations
Jerry Demings (withdrawn)
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Local officials
Organizations

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[i]
Margin
of error
Jerry
Demings
Dayna Marie
Foster
David
Jolly
Other Undecided
Targoz Market Research[115][C] July 20–26, 2026 341 (LV) – – 4% 47% 4%[ac] 42%
389 (RV) – 5% 42% 4%[ad] 46%
Change Research (D)[119] July 9–11, 2026 – (LV) – – 11% 42% 8%[ae] 40%
June 5, 2026 Demings withdraws from the race
Change Research (D)[123][F] May 13–16, 2026 – (LV) – 27% – 42% – 31%
Emerson College[128] March 29–31, 2026 362 (LV) ± 4.4% 10% 2% 21% 16%[af] 53%
Targoz Market Research[131][C] February 20–22, 2026 471 (RV) ± 4.4% 23% – 31% 2%[ag] 44%
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy[133] January 8–13, 2026 400 (RV) ± 5.0% 19% – 23% – 58%
Public Policy Polling (D)[195][I] December 2–3, 2025 616 (LV) – 22% – 22% – 56%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[i]
Margin
of error
Jason
Pizzo
Daniella Levine
Cava
Gwen
Graham
David
Jolly
Lauren
Book
Angie
Nixon
Shevrin
Jones
Fentrice
Driskell
Undecided
Targoz Market Research[146][147][C] May 5–7, 2025 396 (RV) – – 32% 13% 10% 7% 6% 4% 7% 21%
Targoz Market Research[146][148][C] April 15–22, 2025 464 (RV) – 41% 15% 5% 7% 4% 4% 2% 1% 21%

Results

Primary results by county:
  Jolly
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic David Jolly 761,558 61.0
Democratic Dayna Marie Foster 189,205 15.1
Democratic Dotie Joseph 119,825 9.6
Democratic Evelyn Castillo-Bach 96,581 7.7
Democratic Thomas Eloy Fernandez 47,261 3.8
Democratic Stephann Norman 34,922 2.8
Total votes 1,249,352 100.0

Independent and third-party candidates

Independent candidates

Qualified

Write-in

Declined

Libertarian Party

Qualified

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[201] Solid R August 20, 2026
Fox News[202] Solid R July 23, 2026
Inside Elections[203] Solid R August 28, 2025
Race to the WH[204] Lean R June 19, 2026
RealClearPolitics[205] Likely R June 5, 2026
Sabato's Crystal Ball[206] Likely R August 12, 2026
Silver Bulletin[207] Likely R August 25, 2026

Post-primary endorsements

Byron Donalds (R)
Statewide officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Individuals
David Jolly (D)
Statewide officials

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[i]
Margin
of error
Byron
Donalds (R)
David
Jolly (D)
Other Undecided
Hart Research Associates (D)[212][J] August 10–13, 2026 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 46% – 9%
Targoz Market Research[115][C] July 20–26, 2026 1,026 (LV) – 45% 38% – 17%
1,338 (RV) ± 2.62% 40% 36% – 24%
University of North Florida[213] July 8–17, 2026 848 (LV) ± 3.8% 46% 41% 7%[ah] 6%
Change Research (D)[214] July 9–11, 2026 1,348 (RV) ± 2.8% 37% 37% 11%[ai] 16%
40% 41% 7%[aj] 12%
Change Research (D)[123][215][F] May 13–16, 2026 1,593 (LV) ± 2.3% 42% 46% 4%[ak] 8%
2,070 (RV) 43% 41% 6%[al] 10%
Cherry Communications (R)[216][K] May 1–9, 2026 604 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 39% – 14%
Stetson University[217] March 15 – April 13, 2026 848 (LV) ± 4.1% 47% 40% – 7%
Echelon Insights[218][L] April 3–9, 2026 406 (LV) ± 6.0% 49% 43% – 8%
MDW Communications (D)[219][M] March 27 – April 3, 2026 1,834 (LV) ± 2.0% 41% 41% – 18%
Emerson College[128] March 29–31, 2026 1,165 (LV) ± 2.8% 44% 39% 2%[am] 17%
University of North Florida[220] February 21 – March 2, 2026 786 (LV) ± 4.0% 42% 36% 5% 17%
Targoz Market Research[131][C] February 13–16, 2026 1,129 (LV) ± 2.8% 41% 36% 6%[an] 12%
University of North Florida[221] October 15–25, 2025 728 (LV) ± 4.3% 45% 34% 3%[ao] 18%
Targoz Market Research[141][C] September 16–18, 2025 1,118 (RV) ± 2.8% 36% 32% 4%[ap] 28%
Bendixen & Amandi International (D)[222][N] September 7–9, 2025 631 (LV) ± 4.0% 40% 41% – 19%
AIF Center (R)[223] August 25–27, 2025 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 49% 41% – 11%
Victory Insights (R)[224] June 7–10, 2025 600 (LV) ± 2.8% 37% 31% – 32%
Hypothetical polling

Jay Collins vs. David Jolly

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[i]
Margin
of error
Jay
Collins (R)
David
Jolly (D)
Other Undecided
Targoz Market Research[115][C] July 20–26, 2026 1,027 (LV) – 44% 39% – 17%
1,332 (RV) ± 2.62% 40% 37% – 23%

James Fishback vs. David Jolly

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[i]
Margin
of error
James
Fishback (R)
David
Jolly (D)
Undecided
Keystone Analytics[126] March 27– April 6, 2026 795 (LV) ± 3.5% 44% 40% 16%

Paul Renner vs. David Jolly

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[i]
Margin
of error
Paul
Renner (R)
David
Jolly (D)
Other Undecided
Targoz Market Research[141][C] September 16–18, 2025 1,123 (RV) ± 2.8% 34% 33% 5%[aq] 28%
Bendixen & Amandi International (D)[222][N] September 7–9, 2025 631 (LV) ± 4.0% 42% 40% – 18%

Byron Donalds vs. Jerry Demings

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[i]
Margin
of error
Byron
Donalds (R)
Jerry
Demings (D)
Other Undecided
Change Research (D)[123][215][F] May 13–16, 2026 1,593 (LV) ± 2.3% 42% 46% 4%[ak] 8%
2,070 (RV) 43% 40% 6%[ar] 12%
Cherry Communications (R)[216][K] May 1–9, 2026 604 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 39% – 13%
Stetson University[217] March 15 – April 13, 2026 848 (LV) ± 4.1% 46% 42% – 7%
Echelon Insights[218][L] April 3–9, 2026 406 (LV) ± 6.0% 48% 44% – 8%
Emerson College[128] March 29–31, 2026 1,165 (LV) ± 2.8% 45% 36% 2%[am] 19%
University of North Florida[220] February 21 – March 2, 2026 786 (LV) ± 4.0% 43% 36% 5% 16%
University of North Florida[221] October 15–25, 2025 728 (LV) ± 4.3% 45% 33% 5%[as] 17%

Byron Donalds vs. Daniella Levine Cava vs. Jason Pizzo

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[i]
Margin
of error
Byron
Donalds (R)
Daniella Levine
Cava (D)
Jason
Pizzo (I)
Undecided
Targoz Market Research[146][147][C] May 5–7, 2025 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 38% 34% 5% 23%

Casey DeSantis vs. David Jolly

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[i]
Margin
of error
Casey
DeSantis (R)
David
Jolly (D)
Other Undecided
Emerson College[128] March 29–31, 2026 1,165 (LV) ± 2.8% 39% 40% 3%[at] 19%
University of North Florida[221] October 15–25, 2025 728 (LV) ± 4.3% 47% 34% 5%[as] 14%

Casey DeSantis vs. Jerry Demings

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[i]
Margin
of error
Casey
DeSantis (R)
Jerry
Demings (D)
Other Undecided
Emerson College[128] March 29–31, 2026 1,165 (LV) ± 2.8% 41% 39% 3%[at] 17%
University of North Florida[221] October 15–25, 2025 728 (LV) ± 4.3% 47% 36% 6%[au] 11%

Casey DeSantis vs. Daniella Levine Cava vs. Jason Pizzo

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[i]
Margin
of error
Casey
DeSantis (R)
Daniella Levine
Cava (D)
Jason
Pizzo (I)
Undecided
Targoz Market Research[146][147][C] May 5–7, 2025 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 39% 35% 8% 18%

Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[i]
Margin
of error
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
Undecided
Cygnal (R)[225][O] August 25–27, 2025 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 51% 38% 11%
Cygnal (R)[226] October 26–28, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 41% 11%

See also

Notes

  1. ↑
  2. ↑
  3. ↑ Declined to participate
  4. ↑ Declined to participate
  5. ↑ Declined to participate
  6. ↑ Declined to participate
  7. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  8. ↑ Bobby Williams with 5.0%; Rachel Rodriguez and Jim Holcomb with 1.0%
  9. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  10. ↑ Rachel Rodriguez, Arthur Joseph McCaffrey, Jim Holcomb, and Daniel Nokovich with 1%
  11. ↑ "Another candidate" with 5%
  12. ↑ Bobby Williams with 3%
  13. ↑ Bobby Williams with 3%
  14. ↑ "Would not vote" with 5%
  15. ↑ "Someone else" with 4%
  16. ↑ Bobby Williams with 1%; Charles Burkett with <1%
  17. ↑ Casey DeSantis with 24%; "Someone else" & "Wouldn't vote" with 2%
  18. ↑ Casey DeSantis with 26%
  19. ↑ Jay Collins & James Fishback with 4%; Paul Renner with 2%; Jay Collins with 2%; Charles Burkett & Bobby Williams with 1%
  20. ↑ Paul Renner with 7%; Jay Collins with 2%
  21. ↑ "Someone else" with 7%; "Wouldn't vote" with 2%; "Refused" with 1%
  22. ↑ Paul Renner with 2%
  23. 1 2 Charles Burkett with 3%; Ashton Hayward with 1%
  24. ↑ "Someone else" with 7%
  25. ↑ "Another candidate" with 20%
  26. ↑ "Someone else" with 14%
  27. ↑ "Someone else" with 6%
  28. ↑
  29. ↑ Thomas Fernandez with 4%; Evelyn Castillo-Bach with 3%
  30. ↑ Thomas Fernandez with 4%; Evelyn Castillo-Bach with 3%
  31. ↑ Dotie Joseph at 6%; "Would not vote" at 2%
  32. ↑ Evelyn Castillo-Bach with 3%; Kevin Cichowski, Thomas Fernandez, Kenneth Norman, Donald Peterson, and Jessica Vernekar with 2%; Faith Antonio, Richard Dembinsky, Charles Lewis, and Bill Slater with 1%
  33. ↑ "I would not vote" with 2%
  34. ↑ "Someone else" with 5%; "Wouldn't vote" with 2%
  35. ↑ "Would not Vote" with 6%; Desmond Meade (I) with 5%
  36. ↑ "Would not Vote" with 7%
  37. 1 2 "Would not vote" with 4%
  38. ↑ "Would not vote" with 6%
  39. 1 2 "Someone else" with 2%
  40. ↑ Jason Pizzo (I) with 6%
  41. ↑ "Someone else", "Wouldn't vote", and "Refusal" with 1%
  42. ↑ Jason Pizzo (I) with 4%
  43. ↑ Jason Pizzo (I) with 5%
  44. ↑ "Would not vote" with 5%
  45. 1 2 "Someone else" and "Wouldn't vote" with 2%; "Refusal" with 1%
  46. 1 2 "Someone else" with 3%
  47. ↑ "Someone else", "Wouldn't vote", and "Refusal" with 2%

Partisan clients

  1. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Collins' campaign.
  2. ↑ Poll sponsored by American First Insight
  3. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Poll sponsored by the James Madison Institute, a conservative think tank
  4. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by Donalds' campaign
  5. ↑ Poll sponsored by the Associated Industries of Florida
  6. 1 2 3 4 Poll commissioned by Freedom Project USA
  7. ↑ Poll sponsored by Florida Firefighters, which supports Collins[136]
  8. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by Florida Politics
  9. ↑ Poll sponsored by Moving Florida Forward, which supports Demings.[196]
  10. ↑ Poll sponsored by the Democratic Governors Association
  11. 1 2 Poll sponsored by the Florida Chamber of Commerce
  12. 1 2 Poll commissioned by NetChoice
  13. ↑ Poll sponsored by Edge Communications
  14. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Jolly's campaign
  15. ↑ Poll sponsored by Conservatives for Clean Energy

References

  1. ↑ "2026 State Primary Election Dates". National Conference of State Legislatures. May 9, 2025. Archived from the original on May 9, 2026. Retrieved August 5, 2025.
  2. ↑ Mazzei, Patricia (October 29, 2024). "Florida Stopped Being a Swing State Slowly, Then All at Once". The New York Times. Retrieved March 7, 2026.
  3. 1 2 "Party control of Florida state government". Ballotpedia. Retrieved March 7, 2026.
  4. ↑ "Article IV, Florida Constitution". Ballotpedia. Retrieved May 13, 2023.
  5. ↑ Leonard, Kimberly; Matat, Stephany (February 25, 2025). "Rep. Byron Donalds, backed by Trump, says he's running for Florida governor". Associated Press. Retrieved February 25, 2025.
  6. ↑ Leonard, Kimberly (August 25, 2026). "Donalds picks Florida legislator Bryan Ávila as running mate, leaning into anti-communist message". Politico. Retrieved August 25, 2026.
  7. ↑ Shepard, Skyler (January 12, 2026). "Jay Collins, Green Beret turned lieutenant governor, announces run for Florida governor". WPEC. Retrieved January 12, 2026.
  8. ↑ Gancarski, A.G. (August 17, 2026). "Hours before Election Day, Jay Collins taps Kevin Guthrie for running mate". Florida Politics. Retrieved August 17, 2026.
  9. ↑ Gancarski, A.G. (September 3, 2025). "Paul Renner, former Florida House speaker, announces run for Governor". Florida Politics. Retrieved September 3, 2025.
  10. ↑ Ogles, Jacob (November 24, 2025). "James Fishback launches campaign for Governor". Florida Politics. Retrieved November 24, 2025.
  11. ↑ Rosica, Jim. "James Fishback names running mate for 2026 run for Florida governor". UGA Wire. Retrieved June 27, 2026.
  12. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Bridges, C.A. (April 6, 2026). "Florida governor's race now up to 44 candidates, here's who's running". USA Today. Retrieved April 28, 2026.
  13. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 "Candidate Listing for 2026 General Election". Florida Department of State. Retrieved June 12, 2026.
  14. ↑ Fellows-Coffey, Lisa. "Winter Haven's Williams leans on faith, Sheriff Judd in gubernatorial race". Winter Haven Sun. Retrieved December 16, 2025.
  15. ↑ Scheckner, Jesse (March 31, 2025). "Charles Burkett, Surfside's 4-term Mayor, says he's running for Governor". Florida Politics. Retrieved March 31, 2025.
  16. ↑ Scheckner, Jesse (August 4, 2025). "4 people have filed for a Special Election to replace Joe Casello in HD 90. Not all are serious candidates". Florida Politics. Retrieved August 4, 2025.
  17. ↑ Perry, Mitch (August 8, 2026). "GOP gubernatorial primary election seems a foregone conclusion". www.wlrn.org. Retrieved August 6, 2026.
  18. ↑ Fineout, Gary; Leonard, Kimberly (July 11, 2025). "He was DeSantis' 'bulldog.' Will Trump help Florida's attorney general stick around?". Politico. Retrieved July 14, 2025.
  19. ↑ Riski, Tess (September 8, 2025). "Miami's outgoing mayor celebrates G20 win as he eyes his next career move". Miami Herald. Retrieved September 10, 2025.
  20. 1 2 Costeines, Michael (March 31, 2026). "Rep. Susan Plasencia Rescinds Donalds Endorsement, Joins Jay Collins Campaign". The Floridian. Retrieved April 1, 2026.
  21. ↑ Gancarski, A. G. (March 12, 2026). "'Day One Ready': Mike Chitwood backs Jay Collins for Governor". Florida Politics. Retrieved March 12, 2026.
  22. ↑ Wilson, Drew (June 8, 2026). "René Garcia endorses Jay Collins for Governor". Florida Politics. Retrieved June 8, 2026.
  23. ↑ Vecerina, Michelle (June 29, 2026). "Florida Police Benevolent Association endorses Lt. Gov. Jay Collins for governor". Florida Voice.
  24. ↑ Costeines, Michael (May 14, 2026). "Veterans for America First Endorses Jay Collins for Governor". Flordian Press.
  25. ↑ Dixon, Matt (February 20, 2025). "Trump backs Rep. Byron Donalds in his likely run for Florida governor in 2026". NBC News. Retrieved February 20, 2025.
  26. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Wilson, Kirby (February 17, 2025). "Does Donald Trump have a favorite Republican in the 2026 governor's race?". Tampa Bay Times. Retrieved March 18, 2025.
  27. 1 2 3 Scheckner, Jesse (March 17, 2025). "'A true patriot': Byron Donalds adds endorsement from Miami Young Republicans". Florida Politics. Retrieved February 20, 2025.
  28. ↑ Schorsch, Peter (November 13, 2025). "Byron Donalds has Elon Musk's 'full support'". Florida Politics. Retrieved November 13, 2025.
  29. ↑ Gancarski, A.G. (March 17, 2025). "Rick Scott siding with Byron Donalds over Casey DeSantis for Florida Governor". Florida Politics. Retrieved March 18, 2025.
  30. ↑ Scheckner, Jesse (July 10, 2026). "Badge of approval: With Police Chiefs nod, Byron Donalds bolsters law enforcement backing". Florida Politics. Retrieved July 13, 2026.
  31. ↑ "EXCLUSIVE: Sen. Ted Cruz endorses Byron Donalds for Florida governor". November 11, 2025. Retrieved November 11, 2025.
  32. ↑ Gancarski, A.G. (September 2, 2025). "Aaron Bean backs Byron Donalds for Governor". Florida Politics. Retrieved September 2, 2025.
  33. ↑ Klein, Matthew (December 4, 2025). "Republicans' Florida Feud May Fall Short of Fireworks". The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter. Retrieved December 5, 2025.
  34. ↑ Leonard, Kimberly (March 18, 2025). "Trump-backed Byron Donalds gets first congressional endorsement for Florida governor". Politico. Retrieved March 18, 2025.
  35. 1 2 Leonard, Kimberly; Domínguez, Isa (March 28, 2025). "Parkland bill faces the state Senate — again". Politico. Retrieved March 28, 2025.
  36. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Ogles, Jacob (April 9, 2025). "Seven more Florida congressional colleagues endorse Byron Donalds for Governor". Florida Politics. Retrieved April 9, 2025.
  37. ↑ Ogles, Jacob (October 13, 2025). "Neal Dunn becomes latest in Florida congressional delegation to endorse Byron Donalds". Florida Politics. Retrieved October 13, 2025.
  38. 1 2 3 4 Wilson, Drew (April 29, 2025). "Top congressional Republicans line up behind Byron Donalds". Florida Politics. Retrieved April 29, 2025.
  39. 1 2 3 Ogles, Jacob (February 26, 2025). "Florida leaders line up to endorse Byron Donalds on Day 1". Florida Politics. Retrieved February 26, 2025.
  40. ↑ Vecerina, Michelle (November 19, 2025). "EXCLUSIVE: South Carolina Rep. Russell Fry endorses Byron Donalds for Florida Governor". Florida's Voice. Retrieved November 19, 2025.
  41. ↑ Jo Cooper, Amber (August 21, 2025). "U.S. Rep. Haridopolos endorses Rep. Donalds' bid for Florida governor". The Floridian. Retrieved August 21, 2025.
  42. ↑ Leonard, Kimberly; Domínguez, Isa (April 3, 2025). "Stephanie Murphy talks next moves — for her and for Democrats". Politico. Retrieved April 3, 2025.
  43. ↑ Manjarres, Javier (August 11, 2025). "Luna Endorses Donalds' 'America First' Gubernatorial Campaign". The Floridian. Retrieved August 11, 2025.
  44. ↑ Vecerina, Michelle (October 17, 2025). "U.S. Rep. Jimmy Patronis joins growing GOP coalition supporting Byron Donalds for Florida governor". Florida's Voice. Retrieved November 7, 2025.
  45. ↑ Barfield, Raeylee (November 10, 2025). "Chip Roy Endorses Byron Donalds in Florida's Governor Race". The Floridian. Retrieved November 11, 2025.
  46. ↑ Gancarski, A. G. (February 19, 2026). "Louisiana Gov. Jeff Landry backs Byron Donalds to lead Florida". Florida Politics. Retrieved February 20, 2026.
  47. ↑ Kopylov, Frank (January 14, 2026). "Byron Donalds gains key endorsement from Arkansas Gov. Sanders". Florida's Voice. Retrieved January 15, 2026.
  48. ↑ Schorsch, Peter (July 2, 2026). "Byron Donalds' front-runner wall grows with Blaise Ingoglia endorsement". Florida Politics. Retrieved July 2, 2026.
  49. ↑ Scheckner, Jesse (July 3, 2026). "With Wilton Simpson endorsement, Byron Donalds completes his Cabinet sweep". Florida Politics. Retrieved July 3, 2026.
  50. ↑ Scheckner, Jesse (July 1, 2026). "James Uthmeier endorses 'proven' Byron Donalds for Governor". Florida Politics. Retrieved July 1, 2026.
  51. 1 2 Scheckner, Jesse (June 1, 2026). "Jim Boyd, Sam Garrison endorse 'visionary leader' Byron Donalds for Governor". Florida Politics. Retrieved June 1, 2026.
  52. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 Ogles, Jacob (October 15, 2025). "63 Florida House members endorse Byron Donalds for Governor". Florida Politics. Retrieved November 6, 2025.
  53. 1 2 3 Ogles, Jacob (April 1, 2026). "Linda Chaney, J.J. Grow and Tom Fabricio latest GOP lawmakers to endorse Byron Donalds". Florida Politics. Retrieved April 1, 2026.
  54. ↑ Ogles, Jacob (March 29, 2025). "'Bold and clear': Byron Donalds kicks off campaign for Governor from Bonita Springs". Florida Politics. Retrieved March 28, 2025.
  55. ↑ Gowdy, Fabrizio (June 8, 2026). "Michael Owen endorses Byron Donalds for Governor". Florida Politics. Retrieved June 8, 2026.
  56. 1 2 Scheckner, Jesse (March 10, 2025). "Poll: Donald Trump's endorsement gives Byron Donalds double-digit lead in GOP Primary for Governor". Florida Politics. Retrieved March 13, 2025.
  57. 1 2 3 "Byron Donalds Holds Miami Meet and Greet, Talks about Feud Between DeSantis and Legislature, Insurance, and Squaring off Against Pizzo and Jolly". The Floridian. May 13, 2025. Retrieved October 14, 2025.
  58. 1 2 3 4 5 "9 Republican Senators endorse Byron Donalds for Governor as he builds GOP support". Florida Politics. February 27, 2026. Retrieved March 5, 2026.
  59. ↑ "Live: Byron Donalds Florida governor run kick off". Fox 35 Orlando. March 28, 2025. Retrieved March 30, 2025.
  60. ↑ Outzen, Rick (June 3, 2025). "Breaking: Pensacola mayor endorses Byron Donalds for governor". Rick's Blog. Retrieved October 14, 2025.
  61. 1 2 3 Ogles, Jacob (September 29, 2025). "'Making Florida great': 15 Sheriffs endorse Byron Donalds for Governor". Florida Politics. Retrieved September 30, 2025.
  62. ↑ Schorsch, Peter (February 11, 2026). "Bob Gualtieri joins majority of Florida Sheriffs in backing Byron Donalds for Governor". Florida Politics. Retrieved February 11, 2026.
  63. ↑ Scheckner, Jesse (January 23, 2026). "'Florida's best choice': Grady Judd endorses Byron Donalds for Governor". Florida Politics. Retrieved January 23, 2026.
  64. ↑ Kopylov, Frank (January 24, 2026). "Seminole County sheriff Dennis Lemma endorses Byron Donalds for Florida governor". Florida's Voice. Retrieved January 24, 2026.
  65. ↑ Gancarski, A.G. (July 27, 2026). "Democratic Sheriff Morris Young backs Byron Donalds for Governor". Florida Politics. Retrieved July 28, 2026.
  66. ↑ Gancarski, A.G. (March 27, 2025). "Erika Donalds says Casey DeSantis 'teased a run' for Governor, but Byron Donalds can better deal with Florida issues". Florida Politics. Retrieved March 27, 2025.
  67. ↑ Cancel, Daniel (July 24, 2026). "Ken Griffin Backs Donalds in Florida Governor Race With $10 Million Check". Bloomberg. Retrieved July 24, 2026.
  68. ↑ Ogles, Jacob (March 13, 2025). "Turning Point USA's Charlie Kirk backs Byron Donalds' bid for Governor". Florida Politics. Retrieved March 13, 2025.
  69. ↑ Costeines, Michael (November 14, 2025). "Poll Shows Byron Donalds With Large Lead in Florida Governor Primary". The Floridian. Retrieved November 14, 2025.
  70. ↑ @Nickiminaj (August 15, 2026). "You have my vote. Barbz please support him however you can. #TheGoodGuys" (Tweet) – via X (formerly Twitter).
  71. ↑ Caputo, Marc (March 12, 2025). "Scoop: Trump Jr. backs Donalds for Fla. governor in MAGA squeeze play". Axios. Retrieved March 12, 2025.
  72. ↑ Schorsch, Peter (March 4, 2026). "Americans for Prosperity Action backs Byron Donalds for Governor, adding to front-runner status". Florida Politics. Retrieved March 5, 2026.
  73. ↑ Mitola, Will (March 11, 2025). "CfG PAC Endorses Rep. Byron Donalds in FL-GOV Race". Club for Growth. Retrieved March 11, 2025.
  74. ↑ Bull, Felisha (June 11, 2026). "Gun Owners of America Endorses Byron Donalds for Florida Governor".
  75. ↑ Kopylov, Frank (January 14, 2026). "Turning Point Action endorses Byron Donalds in Florida governor's race". Florida's Voice. Retrieved January 14, 2026.
  76. ↑ "Former Trump Appointee Oppose Israel First & AIPAC supported Candidates". The Indiana Panorama. February 27, 2026. Retrieved June 7, 2026.
  77. ↑ Zizo, Christie (February 27, 2026). "Lake Commissioner Sabatini calls county GOP leaders 'RINOS' amid committee rejection". clickorlando. Retrieved June 7, 2026.
  78. ↑ Sommer, Will (December 18, 2025). "Meet the First Groyper Politician". The Bulwark.
  79. ↑ Schorr, Isaac (January 12, 2026). "Florida Republican Endorsed by Tucker Carlson Launches Stunning, Racist Attack on 'By'rone' Donalds". Mediaite.
  80. ↑ Pemberton, Nathan Taylor (March 11, 2026). "Running on Rage Bait". The New York Times.
  81. ↑ Gertz, Matt (January 22, 2026). "James Fishback is the radical right's great white hope". Media Matters for America.
  82. ↑ Adler, Dan (March 11, 2026). "James Fishback Has Seized the Gen Z Right. Now He Thinks He Can Win Florida". Vanity Fair.
  83. ↑ https://x.com/hodgetwins/status/2088349937209880587
  84. ↑ https://x.com/rittenhouse2a/status/2089822690806726850
  85. ↑ https://www.peoplefor.org/rightwingwatch/joel-webbon-says-everyone-florida-will-be-blessed-electing-christian-nationalist
  86. ↑ Wooten, Claude (June 20, 2026). "MAHA Retracts Florida Governor Endorsement, "Failed to Follow Process"". 2 Paragraphs.
  87. ↑ Gancarski, A.G. (April 11, 2026). "Ted Yoho endorses Paul Renner for Florida Governor". Florida Politics. Retrieved April 16, 2026.
  88. ↑ Costeines, Michael (March 2, 2026). "Former Florida Legislator and 2A Advocate Dennis Baxley Endorses Paul Renner for Governor". The Floridian. Retrieved March 3, 2026.
  89. ↑ Costeines, Michael (March 4, 2026). "Former State Rep. Charlie Stone Endorses Paul Renner for Governor". The Floridian. Retrieved March 4, 2026.
  90. ↑ Owens, Kennedy (June 11, 2026). "Renner lands endorsement from Florida's largest law enforcement group". Florida's Voice.
  91. ↑ Gancarski, A.G. (May 9, 2024). "After Gainesville pizza problem, Ric Flair endorses Ashley Moody for Governor". Florida Politics. Retrieved May 9, 2024.
  92. ↑ Gancarski, A.G. (August 6, 2026). "Ron DeSantis closes door on gubernatorial endorsement before GOP Primary". Florida Politics. Retrieved August 6, 2026.
  93. ↑ "Frank from Florida (@RealFrankFromFL) on X". X (formerly Twitter). Retrieved June 29, 2026.
  94. ↑ "James Fishback (@j_fishback) on X". X (formerly Twitter). Retrieved June 29, 2026.
  95. 1 2 3 4 Fineout, Gary (June 12, 2026). "DeSantis zings Florida GOP over lack of governor primary debates". Politico.
  96. ↑ Ellenbogen, Romy (June 12, 2026). "DeSantis hits Florida GOP over Republican primary debate". Tampa Bay Times.
  97. ↑ Miami-Herald Editorial Board (June 23, 2026). "Florida GOP canceled the debate, but the real story is why they did it - Opinion". Miami Herald.
  98. 1 2 Stofan, Jake (June 24, 2026). "With 2 candidates refusing to commit, Action News Jax will not host GOP Gubernatorial Primary debate". Action News Jax.
  99. 1 2 Renner, Paul [@Paul_Renner] (June 25, 2026). "I just learned that the proposed Fox 13 debate in Tampa on July 21st has been canceled. That's why I called on Fox News and Newsmax to host a statewide debate. With so many voters..." (Tweet) – via X (formerly Twitter).
  100. ↑ Kopylov, Frank (June 12, 2026). "Florida GOP releases strict 10/10/10 debate qualification criteria; only Byron Donalds meets threshold". Florida Voice News. Retrieved June 12, 2026.
  101. ↑ Fishback, James [@j_fishback] (June 13, 2026). ".@JayCollinsFL, all four of us have been invited to the CBS debate on July 15th. Why haven't you accepted yet?" (Tweet) – via X (formerly Twitter).
  102. ↑ James Fishback [@j_fishback] (February 21, 2026). "Last night, I accepted Fox's invitation to debate Congressman Byron Donalds on July 21 in Tampa. Here is my full statement" (Tweet) – via X (formerly Twitter).
  103. ↑ "Florida - Campaign Finance Activity (Donalds)". Retrieved April 12, 2026.
  104. ↑ "Florida - Campaign Finance Activity (Collins)". Retrieved April 12, 2026.
  105. ↑ "Florida - Campaign Finance Activity (Fishback)". Retrieved April 12, 2026.
  106. ↑ "Florida - Campaign Finance Activity (Rennar)". Retrieved April 12, 2026.
  107. ↑ Ogles, Jacob (April 1, 2026). "Byron Donalds posts record $22M quarter to kick off 2026 Governor's race". Florida Politics.
  108. ↑ "2026 Polls: Florida Governor". 270toWin. Retrieved July 21, 2026.
  109. ↑ "2026 Florida Governor". DDHQ. Retrieved August 18, 2026.
  110. ↑ "Florida Republican Governor Primary". FiftyPlusOne. Retrieved July 14, 2026.
  111. ↑ "2026 Florida Governor – Republican Primary | RealClearPolling". RCP. Retrieved July 14, 2026.
  112. ↑ "Latest Polling for Governor Races – 2025-2026". Race to the WH. Retrieved July 14, 2026.
  113. ↑ Costeines, Michael (July 30, 2026). "(POLL) Jay Collins Accelerating in Governor's Race, Leads Donalds Among Undecideds". The Floridian. Retrieved July 30, 2026.
  114. ↑ "Donalds Dominates Florida's Republican Primary". Quantus Insights. July 31, 2026. Retrieved July 31, 2026.
  115. 1 2 3 4 "James Madison Institute Poll July 20 to 26, 2026, Registered Voters MOE +/- 2.62%" (PDF). James Madison Institute. August 6, 2026. Retrieved August 7, 2026.
  116. 1 2 "New Florida Statewide Poll". Palafox Productions and Promotions. Retrieved July 27, 2026.
  117. ↑ Gancarski, A.G. (July 21, 2026). "Byron Donalds' internal poll shows the Republican Primary all but over". Florida Politics. Retrieved July 21, 2026.
  118. ↑ "Survey of Likely 2026 Republican Primary Election Voters – Florida Statewide" (PDF). Cygnal. July 20, 2026. Retrieved July 20, 2026.
  119. 1 2 @PollTracker2024 (July 16, 2026). "Change Research poll" (Tweet). Retrieved July 16, 2026 – via X (formerly Twitter).
  120. ↑ Tyson, Ryan (July 12, 2026). "Republican Primary for Governor of Florida". The Tyson Group. Retrieved July 13, 2026.
  121. ↑ Leonard, Kimberly (July 9, 2026). "New FL-Gov. polling; Drone talk in Coral Gables". Politico. Retrieved July 10, 2026.
  122. ↑ Schorsch, Peter (June 11, 2026). "AIF poll shows Byron Donalds leading GOP Primary by 46 points". Florida Politics. Retrieved July 13, 2026.
  123. 1 2 3 4 "Deep Dive into Florida" (PDF). Change Research. May 17, 2026. Retrieved May 18, 2026.
  124. ↑ Fabrizio, Tony; Lee, David; Tunis, Travis (May 4, 2026). "Donalds' Huge Lead in GOP Primary Has Grown Even Larger" (PDF). Politico. Retrieved May 5, 2026.
  125. ↑ "Poll: Byron Donalds leads current GOP primary by 30+ points, despite many Republicans being open to other options". Florida Politics. April 25, 2026. Retrieved April 28, 2026.
  126. 1 2 @PollTracker2024 (April 14, 2026). "Keystone Analytics poll – 3/27-4/6 LV" (Tweet). Retrieved April 14, 2026 – via X (formerly Twitter).
  127. ↑ Schorsch, Peter [@PeterSchorschFL] (April 10, 2026). "@ByronDonalds at 50% in latest poll of GOP primary for Fla. Gov., per @TarranceGroup poll shared exclusively with @Fla_Pol: Donalds 50%, Fishback 9%, @JayCollinsFL 6%, @Paul_Renner 3%. #FlaPol" (Tweet). Retrieved April 10, 2026 – via X (formerly Twitter).
  128. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 "Florida 2026 Poll: Donalds Leads GOP Primary for Governor, Republicans Outpace Democrats in Florida Elections Florida 2026 Poll: Donalds Leads GOP Primary for Governor, Republicans Outpace Democrats in Florida Elections". Emerson College Polling. April 2, 2026. Retrieved April 2, 2026.
  129. ↑ Manjarres, Javier (February 27, 2026). "Lights Out?: Byron Donalds Surges Ahead in new Public Opinion Poll". The Floridian. Retrieved February 27, 2026.
  130. ↑ "Byron Donalds pulls ahead in Republican gubernatorial primary" (PDF). University of North Florida. February 24, 2026. Retrieved February 24, 2026.
  131. 1 2 3 Padgett, Logan (February 26, 2026). "The James Madison Institute Releases Latest JMI Poll of Florida Voters". James Madison Institute. Retrieved February 26, 2026.
  132. ↑ "Florida Governor Republican Primary Poll". Patriot Polling. February 2, 2026. Retrieved February 2, 2026.
  133. 1 2 Costeines, Michael (January 15, 2026). "POLL: Byron Donalds, David Jolly Lead in Gubernatorial Primary Races". Floridian Press. Retrieved January 15, 2026.
  134. ↑ Ogles, Jacob (January 9, 2026). "Byron Donalds in dominant position in GOP Primary for Governor, new poll shows". Florida Politics. Retrieved January 9, 2026.
  135. ↑ Manjarres, Javier (December 15, 2025). "New Poll Shows Collins Beating Donalds if DeSantis Endorses in Governor's Race". The Floridian. Retrieved December 18, 2025.
  136. ↑ Nir, David; Singer, Jeff (November 21, 2025). "Morning Digest: Democratic congresswoman indicted for allegedly stealing $5 million in COVID funds". The Downballot. Retrieved December 18, 2025.
  137. ↑ Ogles, Jacob (December 16, 2025). "New poll shows Byron Donalds maintains front-runner status in GOP Primary". Florida Politics. Retrieved December 18, 2025.
  138. ↑ Ogles, Jacob (November 21, 2025). "Byron Donalds continues to dominate GOP field for Governor, poll shows". Florida Politics. Retrieved November 21, 2025.
  139. ↑ "Florida Governor Poll: Byron Donalds Dominates" (PDF). Victory Insights. November 13, 2025. Retrieved November 13, 2025.
  140. 1 2 Florell, Matt (October 16, 2025). "Florida Statewide survey conducted for Floridapolitics.com". St. Pete Polls. Retrieved October 16, 2025.
  141. 1 2 3 4 "Marginals" (PDF). James Madison Institute. September 19, 2025. Retrieved September 29, 2025.
  142. ↑ Schnecker, Jesse (September 8, 2025). "Poll: Byron Donalds' already crushing Primary lead is growing". Florida Politics. Retrieved September 8, 2025.
  143. ↑ "Casey DeSantis ahead by a hair in Florida Republican primary poll" (PDF). University of North Florida. July 24, 2025. Retrieved July 24, 2025.
  144. ↑ Perry, Mitch (July 14, 2025). "Byron Donalds continues to lead all Florida Republicans in 2026 gubernatorial poll". Florida Phoenix. Retrieved July 14, 2025.
  145. ↑ "Florida Statewide survey conducted for FloridaPolitics.com" (PDF). St. Pete Polls. July 10, 2025. Retrieved July 14, 2025.
  146. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "JMI Polls May 2025". James Madison Institute. May 9, 2025. Retrieved May 9, 2025.
  147. 1 2 3 4 "JMI May 2025 Poll Marginals – Registered Voters" (PDF). James Madison Institute. May 9, 2025. Retrieved May 9, 2025.
  148. 1 2 "JMI April 2025 Poll Marginals – Registered Voters" (PDF). James Madison Institute. May 9, 2025. Retrieved May 9, 2025.
  149. ↑ Scheckner, Jesse (March 10, 2025). "Poll: Donald Trump's endorsement gives Byron Donalds double-digit lead in GOP Primary for Governor". Florida Politics. Retrieved April 24, 2025.
  150. ↑ "Byron Donalds Dominates Republican Primary Field for Governor of Florida" (PDF). Victory Insights. January 29, 2025. Retrieved April 24, 2025.
  151. ↑ "Mainstreet Research Survey - Florida" (PDF). FAU Polling. June 12, 2024. Retrieved April 24, 2025.
  152. ↑ "Mainstreet Research Survey - Florida" (PDF). FAU Polling. April 18, 2024. Retrieved April 24, 2025.
  153. ↑ "Florida Poll: Byron Donalds Leads First Poll of 2026 GOP Race for Governor" (PDF). Victory Insights. April 12, 2024. Retrieved April 24, 2025.
  154. ↑ "UNF Poll: Trump Pulls Ahead in Florida Republican Presidential Primary" (PDF). University of North Florida. November 7, 2023. Retrieved April 24, 2025.
  155. 1 2 3 4 5 Schorsch, Peter (August 11, 2026). "Did Byron Donalds just tip his hand? Smart money reads 'MAGA Meg' for LG". Florida Politics - Campaigns & Elections. Lobbying & Government. Retrieved August 23, 2026.
  156. ↑ Petro, Allison (August 25, 2026). "Byron Donalds announces state Sen. Bryan Avila as running mate in race for Florida governor". WESH. Retrieved August 25, 2026.
  157. ↑ Leonard, Kimberly (June 5, 2025). "Well-known Trump critic David Jolly enters race for Florida governor". Politico. Retrieved June 5, 2025.
  158. 1 2 3 Leonard, Kimberly; Fineout, Gary (June 10, 2026). "Jolly picks Gwen Graham for running mate on Dem Florida governor ticket". POLITICO. Retrieved June 10, 2026.
  159. ↑ Bridges, C. A. "Florida governor's race swells to 42 candidates, here's who's running". Tallahassee Democrat. Retrieved March 20, 2026.
  160. ↑ "Candidate Tracking system - Florida Division of Elections - Department of State". dos.elections.myflorida.com. Retrieved November 6, 2025.
  161. ↑ Habersham, Raisa (June 11, 2026). "'We need somebody who's focused on us:' Dotie Joseph makes her play for governor". Miami Herald.
  162. ↑ Hudak, Stephen (June 5, 2026). "Jerry Demings suspends race for governor after cancer diagnosis". Orlando Sentinel. Retrieved June 5, 2026.
  163. ↑ "Candidate Tracking system - Florida Division of Elections - Department of State". dos.elections.myflorida.com. Retrieved March 4, 2026.
  164. 1 2 Wilson, Kirby (June 23, 2025). "Who's running for Florida governor in 2026? We check in on the race". Tampa Bay Times. Retrieved June 25, 2025.
  165. ↑ Perry, Mitch (July 14, 2025). "House Dem Leader Fentrice Driskell will run for a Tampa Bay Senate seat in 2026". Florida Phoenix. Retrieved December 17, 2025.
  166. 1 2 3 4 Gancarski, A.G. (July 9, 2025). "David Jolly rolls out endorsements from 'Democratic powerhouses' Gwen Graham, Donna Shalala, Karen Thurman". Florida Politics. Retrieved July 9, 2025.
  167. ↑ "Miami-Dade Mayor Daniella Levine Cava for Congress? For governor? Nah". www.politicalcortadito.com. Retrieved December 17, 2025.
  168. ↑ Solender, Andrew (November 27, 2024). "Scoop: A huge wave of House members is eyeing runs for other offices in 2026". Axios. Retrieved November 27, 2024.
  169. ↑ Adragna, Anthony (December 17, 2024). "Moskowitz brushes aside FEMA reports". Politico. Retrieved December 17, 2024. 'I am staying in Congress and running for re-election,' Moskowitz (D-Fla.) said
  170. ↑ Gancarski, A.G. (July 31, 2025). "Angie Nixon considers Senate run, along with other possibilities". Florida Politics. Retrieved August 1, 2025.
  171. ↑ Jennings, Christopher (January 22, 2026). "Angie Nixon announces run for Florida's U.S. Senate seat". WPBF. Retrieved January 24, 2026.
  172. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Taylor, Janelle (August 5, 2025). "David Jolly rolls out trove of endorsements from 60 current and former Democratic elected officials". Florida Politics. Retrieved August 11, 2025.
  173. ↑ Costeines, Michael (July 28, 2026). "Maxwell Alejandro Frost Endorses David Jolly for Governor". Floridian Press. Retrieved July 29, 2026.
  174. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Scheckner, Jesse (September 25, 2025). "40 current, former Broward leaders back David Jolly for Governor, citing cross-aisle appeal". Florida Politics. Retrieved September 26, 2025.
  175. ↑ Freidin, Ellen; Moscowitz, Jane; Shalala, Donna; Zdravecky, Barbara (July 20, 2025). "We're pro-choice Floridians — and we trust David Jolly to defend our rights". Miami Herald. Retrieved December 14, 2025.
  176. 1 2 Gancarski, A.G. (June 8, 2026). "Tracie Davis, Alex Sink rally behind David Jolly for Governor". Florida Politics. Retrieved June 8, 2026.
  177. ↑ Leonard, Kimberly (October 14, 2025). "Boyd set to become next state Senate leader". Politico. Retrieved December 14, 2025.
  178. 1 2 3 4 5 Scheckner, Jesse (April 8, 2026). "After Emily Gregory nod, 22 more Palm Beach County leaders back David Jolly for Governor". Florida Politics. Retrieved April 8, 2026.
  179. ↑ Taylor, Janelle (April 1, 2026). "Emily Gregory lends newfound star power to David Jolly's bid for Governor". Florida Politics. Retrieved April 1, 2026.
  180. ↑ Taylor, Janelle (March 26, 2026). "Citing Special Election 'history,' Shevrin Jones goes all in for David Jolly". Florida Politics. Retrieved March 26, 2026.
  181. ↑ Taylor, Janelle (April 16, 2026). "Brian Nathan backs David Jolly for Governor; both Special Election upset victors have now given their nod". Florida Politics. Retrieved April 16, 2026.
  182. ↑ Report, Staff (June 12, 2026). "JUICE🍊— 6.12.2026 — Levine Cava Endorses Jolly for Governor — Trump Assures 'VERY HARD' Strike on Iran — and More..." The Floridian. Retrieved June 12, 2026.
  183. ↑ Costeines, Michael (June 23, 2026). "Florida AFL-CIO, Florida Education Association Endorse David Jolly for Governor". The Floridian. Retrieved August 12, 2026.
  184. ↑ Costeines, Michael (June 23, 2026). "Florida AFL-CIO, Florida Education Association Endorse David Jolly for Governor". The Floridian. Retrieved August 12, 2026.
  185. ↑ Molina, Daniel (August 7, 2026). "Democratic Hispanic Caucus of Florida Endorses David Jolly and Gwen Graham". The Floridian. Retrieved August 12, 2026.
  186. ↑ Williams-Jent, Ryan (July 14, 2026). "Florida LGBTQ+ Democratic Caucus endorses David Jolly for governor, congressional candidates". Watermark Out News. Retrieved August 12, 2026.
  187. ↑ "Jolly's running mate won't win Florida, but it may save Democrats | Miami Herald". Retrieved August 12, 2026.
  188. ↑ "List of Orlando Sentinel's endorsements, recommendations for 2026 August primary". Orlando Sentinel. August 7, 2026. Retrieved August 12, 2026.
  189. ↑ "Orlando50501 Voter Guide". July 28, 2026. Retrieved July 29, 2026.
  190. ↑ "Democratic Progressive Caucus of FL endorses Dayna Marie Foster for governor in primary election". Florida Phoenix. August 6, 2026. Retrieved August 7, 2026.
  191. ↑ Russon, Gabrielle (November 7, 2025). "Val Demings stands in Jerry Demings' corner as Orlando's power couple hits the campaign trail". Florida Politics. Retrieved November 11, 2025.
  192. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Russon, Gabrielle (March 16, 2026). "Jerry Demings says he's gaining support for Governor run". Florida Politics. Retrieved March 17, 2026.
  193. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Russon, Gabrielle (March 6, 2026). "Jerry Demings lands endorsements from Darren Soto, Buddy Dyer and more". Florida Politics. Retrieved March 7, 2026.
  194. 1 2 3 Ruson, Gabrielle (November 6, 2025). "Jerry Demings calls for a 'new style of leadership' and change as he launches Governor bid". Florida Politics. Retrieved December 14, 2025.
  195. ↑ "Florida's Democratic Primary Race for Governor wide-open, but voters have serious concerns about electing a former Republican". GQR. December 15, 2025. Retrieved December 17, 2025 – via Politico.
  196. ↑ Nir, David; Singer, Jeff (December 18, 2025). "Morning Digest: Another senior House Democrat draws a challenge from a much younger opponent". The Downballot. Retrieved December 18, 2025.
  197. ↑ "Candidate Tracking System". Florida Division of Elections. June 26, 2024. Retrieved June 26, 2024.
  198. ↑ "John Morgan ends speculation, says he won't run for Florida governor". Politico. April 13, 2026. Retrieved April 13, 2026.
  199. ↑ Leonard, Kimberly (May 14, 2026). "Vetting Jay Collins". Politico. Retrieved June 10, 2026. State Sen. Jason Pizzo, who once suggested he may run for higher office, is staying put...[Pizzo] had previously said he planned to run for governor with no party affiliation.
  200. ↑ Molina, Daniel (November 17, 2025). "Scott Jewett Announces 'Libertarian 2.0' bid for Florida Governor". The Floridian. Retrieved March 25, 2026.
  201. ↑ "2026 CPR Governor Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 23, 2025.
  202. ↑ "Fox News Power Rankings: The top races to watch as 36 states choose their next governor". Fox News. Rémy Numa. Retrieved July 24, 2026.
  203. ↑ "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved February 7, 2025.
  204. ↑ "Governor Forecast – 2026-2026". Race to the WH. Retrieved June 30, 2025.
  205. ↑ "2026 Governor Races | RealClearPolitics". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved June 5, 2026.
  206. ↑ "2026 Governor". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved May 1, 2025.
  207. ↑ Silver, Nate (August 20, 2026). "FLIPR 2026 midterm election forecast". www.natesilver.net. Retrieved August 20, 2026.
  208. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 "'Good dude': Ron DeSantis, other Florida Republicans hail Bryan Ávila LG pick". Florida Politics. August 25, 2026. Retrieved August 25, 2026.
  209. ↑ "After primary loss, Jay Collins leaves door open to political future". Tampa Bay 28. August 25, 2026. Retrieved August 25, 2026. Collins said he hopes Donalds succeeds and argued that Republicans must put their primary differences aside to defeat Jolly.
  210. ↑ "Kevin McCarthy: Byron Donalds is an example of the GOP moving in the right direction". Fox News. August 20, 2026. Retrieved August 20, 2026.
  211. ↑ "Rep. Berny Jacques warns Jolly win could reverse DeSantis-era policies, immigration enforcement in Florida". Florida's Voice. August 21, 2026. Retrieved August 22, 2026.
  212. ↑ "New Poll Shows David Jolly Leading Congressman Byron Donalds in the Florida Governor's Race". DGA. 2026. Retrieved August 19, 2026.
  213. ↑ "UNF Poll: Support for Property Tax Amendment Hinges on Contested Ballot Language – Donalds, Moody Maintain Single-Digit Leads in November Governor, Senate Races". University of North Florida. July 20, 2026. Retrieved July 20, 2026.
  214. ↑ Clermont, Stephen (July 15, 2026). "Florida, Florida, Florida". Change Research. Retrieved July 15, 2026.
  215. 1 2 "Florida – Crosstabs – May 13–16, 2026 – Client Copy" (PDF). Freedom Project USA. Retrieved July 16, 2026.
  216. 1 2 "New Florida Chamber Statewide Poll Shows Ashley Moody, Byron Donalds Leading Potential Democratic Opponents in November Ballot Test". Florida Chamber of Commerce. May 15, 2026. Retrieved May 16, 2026.
  217. 1 2 "Stetson Poll: Republicans Lead in Florida 2026 Races, But Many Voters Undecided". Stetson University. April 24, 2026. Retrieved April 25, 2026.
  218. 1 2 "NetChoice — April 2026 Antitrust Survey — Topline" (PDF). Echelon Insights. April 21, 2026. Retrieved April 21, 2026.
  219. ↑ Scheckner, Jesse (April 13, 2026). "Poll: Democrats gaining ground, key races tighten in Florida as Donald Trump drags GOP". Florida Politics. Retrieved April 13, 2026.
  220. 1 2 Man, Anthony (March 4, 2026). "Florida poll shows Republicans lead Democrats in statewide races — but only by single digits". Orlando Sentinel. Retrieved March 4, 2026.
  221. 1 2 3 4 "Potential Republicans lead Democrats in Florida midterm matchups" (PDF). University of North Florida. October 28, 2025. Retrieved October 28, 2025.
  222. 1 2 Taylor, Janelle (September 10, 2025). "Poll: David Jolly in dead heat with Byron Donalds, Paul Renner". Florida Politics. Retrieved September 11, 2025.
  223. ↑ Ogles, Jacob (September 11, 2025). "New poll shows Byron Donalds with 8-point edge on David Jolly". Florida Politics. Retrieved September 11, 2025.
  224. ↑ Galbraith, Ben (June 11, 2025). "Polling Memo: Byron Donalds Leads David Jolly for Governor of Florida" (PDF). Victory Insights. Retrieved June 11, 2025.
  225. ↑ "Survey of Likely 2026 General Election Voters – Florida Stateweide" (PDF). Cygnal. September 4, 2025. Retrieved September 19, 2025.
  226. ↑ "Survey of Likely General Election Voters – Florida Stateweide" (PDF). Cygnal. October 30, 2024. Retrieved April 24, 2025.

Official campaign websites