Seruwila Polling Division

Seruwila
Polling Division
Location of Seruwila
Coordinates: 8°27′16″N 81°09′56″E / 8.454403°N 81.165432°E / 8.454403; 81.165432
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceEastern Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictTrincomalee Electoral District
Area
 • Total
1,803.72 km2 (696.42 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total
192,215
 • Density107/km2 (280/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-14A

The Seruwila Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Trincomalee Electoral District, in the Eastern Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Seruwila has matched the final country result 6 out of 8 times. Hence, Seruwila is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Seruwila Trincomalee Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP NDF 25.78% SLPP 2.50%
2015 UPFA NDF 23.99% NDF 3.62%
2010 UPFA NDF 19.25% UPFA 5.30%
2005 UPFA UNP 16.28% UPFA 3.45%
1999 PA UNP 10.45% PA 3.78%
1994 PA PA 9.10% PA 0.26%
1988 SLFP UNP 8.02% UNP 3.41%
1982 UNP UNP 3.61% UNP 4.43%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/8 4/8 14.56% 8/8 3.34%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Seruwila[4] Trincomalee Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 31,303 49.90% 54,135 23.39% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 28,205 44.96% 166,841 72.10% 5,564,239 41.99%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,631 2.60% 6,704 2.90% 345,452 2.61%
NMPP 1,598 2.55% 3,730 1.61% 418,553 3.16%
Valid Votes 62,737 99.47% 231,410 99.21% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 333 0.53% 1,832 0.79% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 63,070 86.53% 233,242 82.97% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 72,888 281,114 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Seruwila[5] Trincomalee Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 26,716 51.12% 52,111 26.67% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 24,833 47.52% 140,338 71.84% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 712 1.36% 2,907 1.49% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 52,261 99.16% 195,356 99.08% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 442 0.84% 1,805 0.92% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 52,703 71.15% 197,161 72.50% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 74,070 271,953 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Seruwila[6] Trincomalee Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 27,932 63.10% 69,752 43.04% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 15,260 34.47% 87,661 54.09% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,077 2.43% 4,659 2.87% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 44,269 98.74% 162,072 98.52% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 563 1.26% 2,432 1.48% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 44,832 64.93% 164,504 34.10% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 69,047 482,356 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Seruwila[7] Trincomalee Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 21,353 53.71% 55,680 37.04% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 17,835 44.86% 92,197 61.33% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 571 1.44% 2,457 1.63% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 39,759 98.99% 150,334 98.63% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 406 1.01% 2,094 1.37% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 40,165 60.74% 152,428 31.92% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 66,126 477,540 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Seruwila[8] Trincomalee Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 20,781 54.96% 56,691 44.96% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 14,551 38.49% 63,351 50.25% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 1,515 4.01% 2,307 1.83% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 961 2.54% 3,732 2.96% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 37,808 98.47% 126,081 97.95% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 586 1.53% 2,642 2.05% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 38,394 66.62% 128,723 62.76% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 57,634 205,116 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Seruwila[9] Trincomalee Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 20,621 62.45% 77,943 71.62% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 11,726 35.51% 28,006 25.74% 2,715,283 35.91%
Ind 2 415 1.26% 2,074 1.91% 58,888 0.78%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 256 0.78% 798 0.73% 78,152 1.03%
Valid Votes 33,018 98.10% 108,821 98.44% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 640 1.90% 1,726 1.56% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 33,658 61.61% 110,547 58.80% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 54,632 188,017 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Seruwila[10] Trincomalee Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLFP 12,733 49.27% 29,679 36.81% 2,289,857 44.95%
UNP 12,319 47.67% 36,841 45.70% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLMP 789 3.05% 14,103 17.49% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 25,841 98.46% 80,620 98.38% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 404 1.54% 1,326 1.62% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 26,245 55.03% 81,949 53.72% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 47,693 152,540 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Seruwila[11] Trincomalee Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 15,823 45.92% 45,522 48.64% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 13,097 38.01% 31,700 33.87% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 3,536 10.26% 5,395 5.76% 273,428 4.19%
ACTC 1,708 4.96% 10,068 10.76% 173,934 2.67%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 291 0.84% 911 0.97% 75,526 1.16%
Valid Votes 34,455 98.74% 93,596 98.12% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 440 1.26% 1,795 1.88% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 34,895 79.34% 95,391 70.69% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 43,980 134,948 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Seruwila has matched the final country result 5 out of 7 times. Hence, Seruwila is a Weak Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Seruwila Trincomalee Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UPFA UNP 11.39% UNP 3.38%
2010 UPFA UPFA 15.35% UPFA 5.71%
2004 UPFA ITAK 23.90% UPFA 6.54%
2001 UNP UNP 12.00% UNP 2.99%
2000 PA PA 6.37% PA 2.57%
1994 PA UNP 17.13% PA 2.48%
1989 SLFP INDI 15.70% UNP 8.53%
Matches/Mean MAE 5/7 4/7 14.55% 7/7 4.60%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Seruwila[14] Trincomalee Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 22,325 43.82% 38,463 21.36% 4,732,664 42.48%
UNP 20,619 40.47% 83,638 46.45% 5,098,916 45.77%
ITAK 5,628 11.05% 45,894 25.49% 515,963 4.63%
JVP 1,562 3.07% 2,556 1.42% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 814 1.60% 9,514 5.28% 117,096 1.05%
Valid Votes 50,948 94.38% 180,065 94.31% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 2,998 5.55% 10,542 5.52% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 53,982 72.88% 190,938 74.34% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 74,070 256,852 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Seruwila[15] Trincomalee Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 22,756 64.70% 59,784 42.85% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 6,936 19.72% 39,691 28.45% 2,357,057 29.37%
ITAK 3,297 9.37% 33,268 23.85% 233,190 2.91%
DNA 1,460 4.15% 2,519 1.81% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 721 2.05% 4,251 3.05% 61,285 0.76%
Valid Votes 35,170 92.39% 139,513 93.02% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 2,854 7.50% 10,240 6.83% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 38,067 55.13% 149,982 59.19% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 69,047 253,399 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Seruwila[16] Trincomalee Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 19,607 47.22% 31,053 16.98% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 10,346 24.92% 15,693 8.58% 3,486,792 37.73%
ITAK 6,178 14.88% 69,087 37.77% 633,203 6.85%
SLMC 4,647 11.19% 65,191 35.64% 186,880 2.02%
JHU 563 1.36% 791 0.43% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 179 0.43% 1,115 0.61% 49,208 0.53%
Valid Votes 41,520 94.48% 182,930 95.38% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 2,424 5.52% 8,863 4.62% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 43,944 69.57% 191,793 85.33% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 63,161 224,764 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Seruwila[17] Trincomalee Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 16,266 40.09% 62,930 39.05% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 14,965 36.88% 32,997 20.48% 3,330,815 37.19%
TULF 4,796 11.82% 56,121 34.83% 348,164 3.89%
JVP 3,818 9.41% 6,095 3.78% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 733 1.81% 2,995 1.86% 200,982 2.24%
Valid Votes 40,578 94.99% 161,138 95.03% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 2,142 5.01% 8,429 4.97% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 42,720 70.39% 169,567 79.88% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 60,690 212,280 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Seruwila[18] Trincomalee Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 18,517 49.93% 53,802 40.44% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 14,489 39.07% 46,676 35.08% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 2,056 5.54% 3,293 2.48% 518,725 6.03%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,078 2.91% 15,178 11.41% 335,437 3.90%
TULF 944 2.55% 14,088 10.59% 105,907 1.23%
Valid Votes 37,084 N/A 133,037 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Seruwila[19] Trincomalee Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 17,183 47.53% 23,886 19.91% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 14,556 40.26% 34,986 29.17% 3,498,370 44.04%
SLMC 1,870 5.17% 26,903 22.43% 143,307 1.80%
TULF 1,765 4.88% 28,380 23.66% 132,461 1.67%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 780 2.16% 5,787 4.82% 172,662 2.17%
Valid Votes 36,154 93.99% 119,942 94.72% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 2,311 6.01% 6,682 5.28% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 38,465 70.41% 126,624 67.36% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 54,632 187,991 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Seruwila[20] Trincomalee Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLFP 11,695 40.94% 22,966 22.61% 1,785,369 31.90%
UNP 11,481 40.19% 22,450 22.10% 2,838,005 50.71%
TULF 2,011 7.04% 12,755 12.56% 188,594 3.37%
SLMC 1,848 6.47% 17,884 17.61% 202,016 3.61%
INDI 1,456 5.10% 25,239 24.85% 175,579 3.14%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 77 0.27% 284 0.28% 90,480 1.62%
Valid Votes 28,568 93.48% 101,578 95.42% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 1,993 6.52% 4,878 4.58% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 30,561 64.57% 106,456 69.90% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 47,331 152,289 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Seruwila Polling Division has a Sinhalese plurality (62.2%), a significant Moor population (19.7%) and a significant Sri Lankan Tamil population (15.9%) . In comparison, the Trincomalee Electoral District (which contains the Seruwila Polling Division) has a Moor plurality (41.8%), a significant Sri Lankan Tamil population (30.7%) and a significant Sinhalese population (26.7%) [1]

Ethnicity in Seruvila[1]
  1. Sinhalese (62.2%)
  2. Moor (19.7%)
  3. Sri Lankan Tamil (15.9%)
  4. Other (0.00%)

Religion

The Seruwila Polling Division has a Buddhist plurality (61.0%), a significant Muslim population (20.0%) and a significant Hindu population (11.9%) . In comparison, the Trincomalee Electoral District (which contains the Seruwila Polling Division) has a Muslim plurality (42.0%), a significant Buddhist population (26.2%) and a significant Hindu population (25.9%) [1]

Religion in Seruvila[1]
  1. Buddhist (61.0%)
  2. Muslim (20.0%)
  3. Hindu (11.9%)
  4. Christian (3.70%)

References

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ↑ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Seruwila and the Trincomalee Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ↑ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Seruwila and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ↑ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. ↑ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. ↑ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. ↑ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. ↑ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. ↑ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. ↑ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. ↑ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. ↑ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Seruwila and the Trincomalee Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ↑ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Seruwila and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ↑ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. ↑ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. ↑ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. ↑ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. ↑ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. ↑ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. ↑ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.
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