Proposed Japanese constitutional referendum

Article 9 of the Japanese Constitution Referendum is a referendum that was expected to take place in 2020. In May 2017, then Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe set a 2020 deadline for revising Article 9, which would legitimize the Japan Self-Defense Forces in the Japanese constitution.[1][2][3][4] Abe and his Cabinet resigned in September 2020, due to Abe's health problems.[5] Under his successor Yoshihide Suga, parliament revised referendum law in June 2021 to make it easier to vote by allowing temporary voting station. The move was considered as a step toward the possibility of the constitutional referendum taking place.[6] Prime Minister Kishida renewed calls for the referendum in May 2023.[7] In February after her landslide victory in the 2026 Japan election, Prime Minister Takaichi called for a debate on revising the constitution.[8]

Public opinion

Constitutional Amendment

DateFirmSample sizeYesNoUndecidedLead
3 - 4 May 2026 Asahi Shimbun[9] 49% 44% 7% 5%
2 - 3 May 2026 JNN[10] 45% 40% 15% 5%
3 - 5 April 2026 NHK[11] 38% 20% 38% Tied
May 2025 Asahi Shimbun[12] 53% 35% 12% 18%
4 - 6 April 2025 NHK[13] 39% 17% 39% Tied
4 - 5 May 2024 JNN[14] 49% 35% 16% 14%
May 2024 Asahi Shimbun[12] 53% 39% 8% 14%
5 - 7 April 2024 NHK[15] 36% 19% 41% 5%
May 2023 Asahi Shimbun[12] 52% 37% 11% 15%
29 - 30 April 2023 JNN[16] 48% 35% 17% 13%
7 - 9 April 2023 NHK[17] 35% 19% 42% 7%
May 2022 Asahi Shimbun[12] 56% 37% 7% 19%
15 - 17 April 2022 NHK[18] 35% 19% 42% 7%
23 - 25 April 2021 NHK[19] 33% 20% 42% 9%
13 May 2021Asahi Shimbun[20] 45% 44% 1%
18 April 2021 Mainichi Shimbun[21] 48% 31% 17%
May 2020 Asahi Shimbun[12] 43% 46% 11% 3%
3 - 5 April 2020 NHK[22] 32% 24% 41% 9%
May 2019 Asahi Shimbun[12] 38% 47% 15% 9%
May 2018 Asahi Shimbun[12] 44% 49% 7% 5%

Article 9

DateFirmSample sizeYesNoUndecidedLead
3 -4 May 2026 Asahi Shimbun[23] 30% 63% 7% 33%
3 - 5 April 2026 NHK[11] 33% 31% 31% 2%
May 2025 Asahi Shimbun[23] 35% 56% 9% 21%
4 - 6 April 2025 NHK[13] 34% 28% 33% 1%
May 2024 Asahi Shimbun[23] 32% 61% 7% 29%
5 - 7 April 2024 NHK[15] 31% 29% 35% 4%
May 2023 Asahi Shimbun[23] 37% 55% 8% 18%
7 - 9 April 2023 NHK[17] 32% 30% 34% 2%
May 2022 Asahi Shimbun[23] 33% 59% 8% 26%
15 - 17 April 2022 NHK[18] 31% 30% 34% 3%
1 March – 11 April 2022Kyodo News[24] 50% 48% 2%
May 2021 Asahi Shimbun[23] 30% 61% 9% 31%
23 - 25 April 2021 NHK[19] 28% 32% 36% 4%
May 2020 Asahi Shimbun[23] 27% 65% 8% 38%
3 - 5 April 2020 NHK[22] 26% 37% 32% 5%
May 2019 Asahi Shimbun[23] 28% 64% 8% 36%
May 2018 Asahi Shimbun[23] 32% 63% 5% 31%
2017Kyodo News[25] 49% 47% 2%
May 2017Asahi Shimbun[26] 29% 63% 34%
2017NHK[25] 25% 57% 32%

See also

References

  1. ↑ Tatsumi, Yuki (5 May 2017). "Abe's New Vision for Japan's Constitution". The Diplomat. Archived from the original on 21 November 2018. Retrieved 18 May 2017.
  2. ↑ Osaki, Tomohiro; Kikuchi, Daisuke (3 May 2017). "Abe declares 2020 as goal for new Constitution". The Japan Times. Archived from the original on 2 March 2019. Retrieved 18 May 2017.
  3. ↑ "Japan's Abe hopes for reform of pacifist charter by 2020". Reuters. 3 May 2017. Archived from the original on 3 January 2019. Retrieved 18 May 2017.
  4. ↑ "Japan PM unveils plan to amend Constitution, put into force in 2020". Nikkei Asian Review. 3 May 2017. Archived from the original on 3 May 2017. Retrieved 13 March 2018.
  5. ↑ "Japan's prime minister steps down". Politico. Associated Press. 16 September 2020. Archived from the original on 31 October 2020. Retrieved 31 December 2020.
  6. ↑ "Japan enacts revised referendum law in constitutional amendment push". Kyodo News. 11 June 2021. Archived from the original on 16 July 2023.
  7. ↑ Otani, Jiro (5 May 2023). "Kishida: Constitutional Reform Referendum Should Happen 'As Soon as Possible'". Japan Forward. Archived from the original on 16 July 2023.
  8. ↑ "Japanese Premier Takaichi calls for debate on revising war-renouncing Constitution after securing election win". www.aa.com.tr. Retrieved 9 February 2026.
  9. ↑ "質問と回答〈2026年3～4月〉 朝日新聞 憲法郵送世論調査：朝日新聞". 朝日新聞 (in Japanese). 2 May 2026. Retrieved 14 May 2026.
  10. ↑ "消費税「時間が短縮なら1％でも」47％ JNN世論調査 | TBS NEWS DIG (3ページ)". TBS NEWS DIG (in Japanese). 4 May 2026. Retrieved 14 May 2026.
  11. 1 2 "Constitutional revision "necessary" "undecided" both at 38% "not necessary" 20% NHK poll".
  12. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 "いまの憲法を「変える必要がある」53% 朝日世論調査：朝日新聞". 朝日新聞 (in Japanese). 2 May 2025. Retrieved 14 May 2026.
  13. 1 2 "NHK Opinion Poll on Constitutional amendment 2025" (PDF).{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  14. ↑ "「なんでそんなに？」内閣支持率7ポイントアップの波紋 JNN世論調査解説 | TBS NEWS DIG (3ページ)". TBS NEWS DIG (in Japanese). 11 May 2024. Retrieved 14 May 2026.
  15. 1 2 "NHK Opinion Poll on Constitutional Amendment 2024" (PDF).
  16. ↑ "改憲派・護憲派がそれぞれ集会を開催・憲法記念日【長崎】 | 長崎のニュース | 天気 | NBC長崎放送 (1ページ)". NBC長崎放送 (in Japanese). 3 May 2023. Retrieved 14 May 2026.
  17. 1 2 "NHK Opinion poll on constitutional amendment 2023" (PDF).
  18. 1 2 "NHK Opinion poll on constitutional amendment 2022" (PDF).
  19. 1 2 "NHK Opinion poll on constitutional amendment 2021" (PDF).
  20. ↑ Isobe, Yoshitaka (3 May 2021). "Survey: Voters evenly split on need for revising the Constitution". The Asahi Shimbun. Archived from the original on 10 June 2023.
  21. ↑ "48% back revision of Japan's Constitution, 12 points up from last year: Mainichi poll". Mainichi Shimbun. 3 May 2021. Archived from the original on 6 October 2022.
  22. 1 2 "NHK Opinion poll on constitutional amendment 2020" (PDF).
  23. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 "9条「変えないほうがよい」63% 25年よりやや増 朝日世論調査：朝日新聞". 朝日新聞 (in Japanese). 2 May 2026. Retrieved 14 May 2026.
  24. ↑ "Japan still divided on revising war-renouncing Constitution: Survey". Kyodo News. 2 May 2022. Archived from the original on 2 June 2023.
  25. 1 2 Mark, Craig (18 May 2017). "Japan Debates Changing Its Pacifist Constitution". The Diplomat. Archived from the original on 1 April 2018. Retrieved 31 March 2018.
  26. ↑ Kingston, Jeff (13 May 2017). "Japan's constitutional rebirth or reincarnation?". The Japan Times. Archived from the original on 11 November 2020. Retrieved 18 December 2020.

Further reading


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