42nd New Brunswick general election

42nd New Brunswick general election
On or before October 16, 2028
49 seats in the Legislative Assembly of New Brunswick
25 seats needed for a majority
 
Leader Susan Holt Glen Savoie
(interim)		 David Coon
(outgoing)
Party Liberal Progressive Conservative Green
Leader since August 6, 2022 October 28, 2024 September 22, 2012
Leader's seat Fredericton South-Silverwood Saint John East Fredericton-Lincoln
Last election 31 seats, 48.24% 16 seats, 35.04% 2 seats, 13.76%
Current seats 31 16 2
Incumbent Premier

Susan Holt
Liberal


The 42nd New Brunswick general election is scheduled to take place on or before October 16, 2028, according to the Legislative Assembly Act of 2017 which states that an election should be held every four years on the third Monday in October.[1]

Timeline

2025

2026


Opinion polling

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link Liberal PC Green NDP Libertarian Other Margin of error Sample size Polling method Lead
Abacus Data 7 August 2026 [5] 45 31 14 4 – 5 ±3.99% 601 Online 14
Narrative Research 17 June 2026 [6][7] 41 30 13 6 9 1 N/A 495 Online 11
Porter O'Brien 3 June 2026 [8][9] 43 39 13 – – 5 ±3% 802 Online 4
Angus Reid 1 December 2025 [10] 49 32 11 4 – 5 ±6% 203 Online 17
Porter O'Brien 25 November 2025 [8] 49 40 8 – – 3 N/A 813 Online 9
Abacus Data 30 October 2025 [11] 53 29 11 3 – 3 ±4.0% 600 Online 24
Canadian Election Study 13 May 2025 [12] 54 28 5 8 – 4 N/A 254 Online 26
Election 2024 October 21, 2024 HTML 48.24 35.04 13.76 1.30 0.46 1.21 N/a N/a N/a 13.20

References

  1. ↑ Legislative Assembly of New Brunswick. "An Act to Amend the Legislative Assembly Act". Retrieved November 27, 2018.
  2. ↑ Poitras, Jacques (March 25, 2025). "Miramichi MLA resigns provincial seat to run for federal Conservatives". CBC News. Retrieved December 19, 2025.
  3. ↑ Huras, Adam. "It's over: People's Alliance deregisters as party, this time for good". Telegraph-Journal. Retrieved 2 July 2025.
  4. ↑ Perry, Brad. "PCs to elect new leader in October 2026". Country 94. Retrieved 2025-10-07.
  5. ↑ Coletto, David; Bennett, Kelly (14 August 2026). "Abacus Data New Brunswick Poll: Holt's Liberals Maintain Strong Lead as PCs Search for New Leader". Abacus Data. Retrieved 15 August 2026.
  6. ↑ "Low provincial government satisfaction levels reflected in voter intentions across Atlantic Canada" (PDF). Narrative Research. Halifax. 2 July 2026. Retrieved 3 July 2026.
  7. ↑ "New Brunswick provincial polling". Polling Canada. Retrieved 3 July 2026.
  8. 1 2 "Porter O'Brien releases first public semi-annual New Brunswick poll - Liberals narrowly lead PCs among decided voters; undecided voters rise since fall 2025". Porter O'Brien. Fredericton. 23 June 2026. Retrieved 3 July 2026.
  9. ↑ Waugh, Andrew (23 June 2026). "Liberals' lead shrinking, new poll suggests". Telegraph-Journal. Postmedia Network. Retrieved 25 June 2026.
  10. ↑ "Government satisfaction scores fall like winter snow as Canadians blanketed in cost-of-living challenges". Angus Reid Institute. 17 December 2025. Retrieved 18 December 2025.
  11. ↑ Coletto, Kelly Bennett, David (2025-11-12). "Abacus Data New Brunswick Poll: One Year In, Susan Holt's Liberals Strengthen Their Lead". Abacus Data. Retrieved 2025-12-19.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  12. ↑ Stephenson, Laura B; Harell, Allison; Rubenson, Daniel (29 May 2026). "2025 Canadian Election Study (CES)". Harvard Dataverse, V1. Retrieved 12 June 2026.
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