Mutur Polling Division

Mutur
Polling Division
Location of Mutur
Coordinates: 8°27′30″N 81°18′29″E / 8.458283°N 81.308035°E / 8.458283; 81.308035
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceEastern Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictTrincomalee Electoral District
Area
 • Total
183.93 km2 (71.02 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total
56,621
 • Density308/km2 (800/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-14C

The Mutur Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Trincomalee Electoral District, in the Eastern Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Mutur has matched the final country result 5 out of 8 times. Hence, Muttur is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Mutur Trincomalee Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 NDF NDF 17.10% SLPP 44.47%
2015 NDF NDF 15.50% NDF 36.07%
2010 NDF NDF 4.86% UPFA 19.10%
2005 UNP UNP 1.66% UPFA 11.29%
1999 PA UNP 4.72% PA 1.81%
1994 PA PA 3.96% PA 5.56%
1988 UNP UNP 3.48% UNP 5.26%
1982 UNP UNP 3.92% UNP 4.48%
Matches/Mean MAE 5/8 4/8 6.90% 8/8 16.00%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Mutur[4] Trincomalee Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 74,171 90.15% 166,841 72.10% 5,564,239 41.99%
SLPP 4,925 5.99% 54,135 23.39% 6,924,255 52.25%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 3,180 3.87% 10,434 4.51% 764,005 5.76%
Valid Votes 82,276 99.30% 231,410 99.21% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 576 0.70% 1,832 0.79% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 82,852 80.29% 233,242 82.97% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 103,197 281,114 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Mutur[5] Trincomalee Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 57,532 87.54% 140,338 71.84% 6,217,162 51.28%
UPFA 7,132 10.85% 52,111 26.67% 5,768,090 47.58%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,055 1.61% 2,907 1.49% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 65,719 99.30% 195,356 99.08% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 461 0.70% 1,805 0.92% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 66,180 69.08% 197,161 72.50% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 95,804 271,953 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Mutur[6] Trincomalee Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 32,631 59.09% 87,661 54.09% 4,173,185 40.15%
UPFA 21,002 38.03% 69,752 43.04% 6,015,934 57.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,586 2.87% 4,659 2.87% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 55,219 98.76% 162,072 98.52% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 696 1.24% 2,432 1.48% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 55,915 65.47% 164,504 34.10% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 85,401 482,356 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Mutur[7] Trincomalee Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 29,061 59.54% 92,197 61.33% 4,706,366 48.43%
UPFA 18,817 38.55% 55,680 37.04% 4,887,152 50.29%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 930 1.91% 2,457 1.63% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 48,808 98.90% 150,334 98.63% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 542 1.10% 2,094 1.37% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 49,350 60.53% 152,428 31.92% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 81,534 477,540 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Mutur[8] Trincomalee Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 20,908 50.60% 56,691 44.96% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 18,987 45.95% 63,351 50.25% 3,602,748 42.71%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,429 3.46% 6,039 4.79% 520,606 6.17%
Valid Votes 41,324 98.30% 126,081 97.95% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 716 1.70% 2,642 2.05% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 42,040 63.04% 128,723 62.76% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 66,690 205,116 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Mutur[9] Trincomalee Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 25,721 67.42% 77,943 71.62% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 11,209 29.38% 28,006 25.74% 2,715,283 35.91%
Ind 2 946 2.48% 2,074 1.91% 58,888 0.78%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 276 0.72% 798 0.73% 78,152 1.03%
Valid Votes 38,152 98.72% 108,821 98.44% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 495 1.28% 1,726 1.56% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 38,647 62.39% 110,547 58.80% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 61,949 188,017 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Mutur[10] Trincomalee Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 16,283 50.45% 36,841 45.70% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 11,087 34.35% 29,679 36.81% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 4,909 15.21% 14,103 17.49% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 32,276 98.91% 80,620 98.38% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 352 1.08% 1,326 1.62% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 32,631 67.18% 81,949 53.72% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 48,570 152,540 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Mutur[11] Trincomalee Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 14,529 46.85% 45,522 48.64% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 12,900 41.60% 31,700 33.87% 2,546,348 39.05%
ACTC 2,760 8.90% 10,068 10.76% 173,934 2.67%
JVP 509 1.64% 5,395 5.76% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 311 1.00% 911 0.97% 75,526 1.16%
Valid Votes 31,009 98.30% 93,596 98.12% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 536 1.70% 1,795 1.88% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 31,545 78.04% 95,391 70.69% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 40,422 134,948 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Muttur has matched the final country result 3 out of 7 times.

Year Mutur Trincomalee Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UNP UNP 13.76% UNP 24.20%
2010 UNP UPFA 8.66% UPFA 18.89%
2004 SLMC ITAK 19.59% UPFA 36.46%
2001 UNP UNP 8.74% UNP 11.31%
2000 PA PA 6.74% PA 2.71%
1994 SLMC UNP 11.62% PA 28.70%
1989 SLMC INDI 4.22% UNP 20.23%
Matches/Mean MAE 3/7 4/7 10.48% 7/7 20.36%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Mutur[14] Trincomalee Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 40,130 64.98% 83,638 46.45% 5,098,916 45.77%
ITAK 10,555 17.09% 45,894 25.49% 515,963 4.63%
IG0 5,196 8.41% 6,520 3.62% 14,927 0.13%
UPFA 5,033 8.15% 38,463 21.36% 4,732,664 42.48%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 841 1.36% 5,550 3.08% 646,323 5.80%
Valid Votes 61,755 94.05% 180,065 94.31% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 3,652 5.56% 10,542 5.52% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 65,662 68.54% 190,938 74.34% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 95,804 256,852 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Mutur[15] Trincomalee Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 21,963 44.32% 39,691 28.45% 2,357,057 29.37%
UPFA 18,576 37.48% 59,784 42.85% 4,846,388 60.38%
ITAK 8,068 16.28% 33,268 23.85% 233,190 2.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 952 1.92% 6,770 4.85% 502,536 6.26%
Valid Votes 49,559 93.64% 139,513 93.02% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 3,246 6.13% 10,240 6.83% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 52,927 61.97% 149,982 59.19% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 85,401 253,399 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Mutur[16] Trincomalee Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLMC 45,523 69.58% 65,191 35.64% 186,880 2.02%
ITAK 17,005 25.99% 69,087 37.77% 633,203 6.85%
UPFA 1,854 2.83% 31,053 16.98% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 689 1.05% 15,693 8.58% 3,486,792 37.73%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 354 0.54% 1,906 1.04% 601,931 6.51%
Valid Votes 65,425 95.50% 182,930 95.38% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 3,080 4.50% 8,863 4.62% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 68,505 91.50% 191,793 85.33% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 74,869 224,764 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Mutur[17] Trincomalee Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 29,473 52.82% 62,930 39.05% 4,086,026 45.62%
TULF 14,393 25.79% 56,121 34.83% 348,164 3.89%
PA 11,199 20.07% 32,997 20.48% 3,330,815 37.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 736 1.32% 9,090 5.64% 1,016,335 11.35%
Valid Votes 55,801 95.15% 161,138 95.03% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 2,844 4.85% 8,429 4.97% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 58,645 83.58% 169,567 79.88% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 70,168 212,280 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Mutur[18] Trincomalee Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 21,393 49.62% 53,802 40.44% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 17,688 41.03% 46,676 35.08% 3,451,765 40.12%
TULF 1,615 3.75% 14,088 10.59% 105,907 1.23%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,059 2.46% 12,513 9.41% 797,351 9.27%
EPDP 746 1.73% 4,524 3.40% 50,702 0.59%
IG3 609 1.41% 1,434 1.08% 6,109 0.07%
Valid Votes 43,110 N/A 133,037 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Mutur[19] Trincomalee Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLMC 18,677 45.21% 26,903 22.43% 143,307 1.80%
UNP 13,773 33.34% 34,986 29.17% 3,498,370 44.04%
TULF 6,817 16.50% 28,380 23.66% 132,461 1.67%
PA 856 2.07% 23,886 19.91% 3,887,805 48.94%
TELO 651 1.58% 3,709 3.09% 24,974 0.31%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 538 1.30% 2,078 1.73% 147,688 1.86%
Valid Votes 41,312 94.92% 119,942 94.72% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 2,210 5.08% 6,682 5.28% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 43,522 70.25% 126,624 67.36% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 61,949 187,991 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Mutur[20] Trincomalee Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLMC 10,804 28.96% 17,884 17.61% 202,016 3.61%
SLFP 8,036 21.54% 22,966 22.61% 1,785,369 31.90%
UNP 7,681 20.59% 22,450 22.10% 2,838,005 50.71%
INDI 7,565 20.28% 25,239 24.85% 175,579 3.14%
TULF 3,160 8.47% 12,755 12.56% 188,594 3.37%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 63 0.17% 284 0.28% 90,480 1.62%
Valid Votes 37,309 96.02% 101,578 95.42% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 1,547 3.98% 4,878 4.58% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 38,856 80.51% 106,456 69.90% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 48,260 152,289 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Mutur Polling Division has a Moor majority (61.9%) and a significant Sri Lankan Tamil population (37.0%) . In comparison, the Trincomalee Electoral District (which contains the Mutur Polling Division) has a Moor plurality (41.8%), a significant Sri Lankan Tamil population (30.7%) and a significant Sinhalese population (26.7%) [1]

Ethnicity in Muttur[1]
  1. Moor (61.9%)
  2. Sri Lankan Tamil (37.0%)
  3. Other (1.10%)

Religion

The Mutur Polling Division has a Muslim majority (62.0%) and a significant Hindu population (33.0%) . In comparison, the Trincomalee Electoral District (which contains the Mutur Polling Division) has a Muslim plurality (42.0%), a significant Buddhist population (26.2%) and a significant Hindu population (25.9%) [1]

Religion in Muttur[1]
  1. Muslim (62.0%)
  2. Hindu (33.0%)
  3. Roman Catholic (2.60%)
  4. Other Christian (1.60%)
  5. Other (0.80%)

References

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ↑ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Mutur and the Trincomalee Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ↑ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Mutur and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ↑ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. ↑ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. ↑ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. ↑ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. ↑ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. ↑ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. ↑ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. ↑ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. ↑ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Mutur and the Trincomalee Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ↑ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Mutur and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ↑ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. ↑ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. ↑ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. ↑ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. ↑ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. ↑ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. ↑ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.
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