Kekirawa Polling Division

Kekirawa
Polling Division
Location of Kekirawa
Coordinates: 8°01′32″N 80°37′39″E / 8.025635°N 80.627417°E / 8.025635; 80.627417
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceNorth Central Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictAnuradhapura Electoral District
Area
 • Total
771.25 km2 (297.78 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total
108,825
 • Density141/km2 (370/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-17G

The Kekirawa Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Anuradhapura Electoral District, in the North Central Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Kekirawa has matched the final country result 6 out of 8 times. Hence, Kekirawa is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Kekirawa Anuradhapura Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 2.57% SLPP 3.90%
2015 UPFA UPFA 1.55% NDF 4.32%
2010 UPFA UPFA 2.50% UPFA 5.68%
2005 UPFA UPFA 3.82% UPFA 0.92%
1999 PA PA 1.95% PA 1.01%
1994 PA PA 3.05% PA 1.41%
1988 SLFP SLFP 0.27% UNP 8.22%
1982 UNP UNP 2.55% UNP 2.23%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/8 6/8 2.28% 8/8 3.46%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kekirawa[4] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 39,361 56.65% 342,223 58.97% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 26,538 38.19% 202,348 34.87% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 1,929 2.78% 22,879 3.94% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,653 2.38% 12,896 2.22% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 69,481 99.30% 580,346 99.16% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 493 0.70% 4,916 0.84% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 69,974 84.05% 585,262 85.76% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 83,254 682,450 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kekirawa[5] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 32,563 51.96% 281,161 53.59% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 29,410 46.93% 238,407 45.44% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 693 1.11% 5,065 0.97% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 62,666 99.12% 524,633 99.15% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 559 0.88% 4,500 0.85% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 63,225 75.78% 529,133 77.71% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 83,431 680,877 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kekirawa[6] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 34,101 63.75% 298,448 66.32% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 18,431 34.46% 143,761 31.94% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 959 1.79% 7,829 1.74% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 53,491 99.27% 450,038 99.17% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 396 0.73% 3,785 0.83% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 53,887 72.93% 453,823 73.65% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 73,885 616,186 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kekirawa[7] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 26,220 51.19% 231,040 55.08% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 24,314 47.47% 182,956 43.62% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 690 1.35% 5,438 1.30% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 51,224 99.02% 419,434 98.92% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 506 0.98% 4,563 1.08% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 51,730 75.33% 423,997 75.41% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 68,671 562,259 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kekirawa[8] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 23,631 52.86% 189,073 54.14% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 19,151 42.84% 139,180 39.86% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 1,144 2.56% 14,612 4.18% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 778 1.74% 6,336 1.81% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 44,704 97.89% 349,201 98.05% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 964 2.11% 6,949 1.95% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 45,668 77.82% 356,150 75.63% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 58,684 470,907 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kekirawa[9] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 23,583 60.93% 200,146 63.99% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 14,517 37.51% 107,342 34.32% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 604 1.56% 5,309 1.70% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 38,704 98.00% 312,797 98.05% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 789 2.00% 6,205 1.95% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 39,493 77.48% 319,002 76.16% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 50,969 418,857 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kekirawa[10] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLFP 7,203 55.08% 73,154 55.15% 2,289,857 44.95%
UNP 5,683 43.46% 56,951 42.94% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLMP 191 1.46% 2,529 1.91% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 13,077 99.02% 132,634 98.36% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 129 0.98% 2,207 1.64% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 13,206 32.20% 134,841 40.18% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 41,013 335,551 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kekirawa[11] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 15,454 54.02% 117,873 49.84% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 12,281 42.93% 102,973 43.54% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 733 2.56% 13,911 5.88% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 142 0.50% 1,766 0.75% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 28,610 99.27% 236,523 99.04% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 209 0.73% 2,294 0.96% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 28,819 87.52% 238,817 84.68% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 32,927 282,018 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Kekirawa has matched the final country result 7 out of 7 times. Hence, Kekirawa is a Perfect Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Kekirawa Anuradhapura Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UNP UPFA 2.38% UNP 3.19%
2010 UPFA UPFA 17.26% UPFA 11.16%
2004 UPFA UPFA 3.28% UPFA 5.86%
2001 UNP UNP 4.14% UNP 3.32%
2000 PA PA 2.36% PA 2.34%
1994 PA PA 3.20% PA 2.82%
1989 UNP UNP 4.10% UNP 4.68%
Matches/Mean MAE 7/7 6/7 5.25% 7/7 4.77%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kekirawa[14] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 27,163 48.44% 213,072 44.85% 5,098,916 45.77%
UPFA 26,372 47.03% 229,856 48.39% 4,732,664 42.48%
JVP 2,359 4.21% 28,701 6.04% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 183 0.33% 3,418 0.72% 80,543 0.72%
Valid Votes 56,077 93.46% 475,047 94.28% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 3,888 6.48% 28,462 5.65% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 60,000 71.92% 503,845 79.13% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 83,431 636,733 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kekirawa[15] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 17,029 43.09% 221,204 66.52% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 10,850 27.46% 80,360 24.17% 2,357,057 29.37%
SMBP 10,121 25.61% 11,445 3.44% 12,166 0.15%
DNA 1,298 3.28% 18,129 5.45% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 220 0.56% 1,400 0.42% 18,658 0.23%
Valid Votes 39,518 92.05% 332,538 93.55% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 3,412 7.95% 22,930 6.45% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 42,930 58.10% 355,468 57.35% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 73,885 619,845 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kekirawa[16] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 24,446 53.67% 212,943 57.22% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 19,606 43.05% 148,612 39.94% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 1,165 2.56% 8,034 2.16% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 329 0.72% 2,536 0.68% 51,070 0.55%
Valid Votes 45,546 94.35% 372,125 94.59% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 2,725 5.65% 21,281 5.41% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 48,271 73.10% 393,406 76.52% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 66,036 514,149 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kekirawa[17] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 22,853 51.61% 165,055 45.93% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 17,088 38.59% 149,393 41.57% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 3,754 8.48% 40,005 11.13% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 581 1.31% 4,891 1.36% 108,710 1.21%
Valid Votes 44,276 94.41% 359,344 94.78% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 2,621 5.59% 19,796 5.22% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 46,897 75.03% 379,140 77.41% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 62,502 489,776 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kekirawa[18] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 20,480 46.37% 169,424 48.30% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 19,578 44.33% 144,662 41.24% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 1,738 3.93% 21,274 6.06% 518,725 6.03%
NUA 1,665 3.77% 9,369 2.67% 185,593 2.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 708 1.60% 6,042 1.72% 245,927 2.86%
Valid Votes 44,169 N/A 350,771 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kekirawa[19] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 20,987 52.11% 180,454 55.19% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 18,886 46.89% 142,084 43.45% 3,498,370 44.04%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 400 0.99% 4,446 1.36% 158,616 2.00%
Valid Votes 40,273 95.32% 326,984 95.72% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 1,976 4.68% 14,620 4.28% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 42,249 82.89% 341,604 81.54% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 50,969 418,959 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kekirawa[20] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 14,020 52.39% 92,726 56.39% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 11,670 43.61% 64,010 38.92% 1,785,369 31.90%
IND 765 2.86% 4,057 2.47% 12,285 0.22%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 304 1.14% 3,652 2.22% 300,186 5.36%
Valid Votes 26,759 92.03% 164,445 92.03% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 2,316 7.97% 14,245 7.97% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 29,075 71.60% 178,690 53.49% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 40,606 334,073 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Kekirawa Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (83.7%) and a significant Moor population (14.4%) . In comparison, the Anuradhapura Electoral District (which contains the Kekirawa Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (91.0%) [1]

Ethnicity in Kekirawa[1]
  1. Sinhalese (83.7%)
  2. Moor (14.4%)
  3. Sri Lankan Tamil (1.60%)
  4. Other (0.20%)

Religion

The Kekirawa Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (83.0%) and a significant Muslim population (14.6%) . In comparison, the Anuradhapura Electoral District (which contains the Kekirawa Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (90.1%) [1]

Religion in Kekirawa[1]
  1. Buddhist (83.0%)
  2. Muslim (14.6%)
  3. Hindu (1.30%)
  4. Other (1.10%)

References

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ↑ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kekirawa and the Anuradhapura Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ↑ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kekirawa and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ↑ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  5. ↑ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  6. ↑ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  7. ↑ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  8. ↑ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  9. ↑ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  10. ↑ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  11. ↑ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  12. ↑ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kekirawa and the Anuradhapura Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ↑ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kekirawa and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ↑ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. ↑ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. ↑ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. ↑ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. ↑ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. ↑ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. ↑ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.
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