Kayts Polling Division

Kayts
Polling Division
Location of Kayts
Coordinates: 9°37′27″N 79°50′39″E / 9.624265°N 79.844298°E / 9.624265; 79.844298
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceNorthern Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictJaffna Electoral District
Area
 • Total
199.9 km2 (77.2 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total
40,018
 • Density200/km2 (520/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-10A

The Kayts Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Jaffna Electoral District, in the Northern Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Kayts has matched the final country result 5 out of 8 times. Hence, Kayts is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Kayts Jaffna Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 NDF NDF 12.53% SLPP 29.69%
2015 NDF NDF 18.19% NDF 5.48%
2010 UPFA NDF 20.69% UPFA 6.92%
2005 UPFA UNP 30.11% UPFA 6.71%
1999 UNP PA 2.83% PA 5.45%
1994 PA PA 0.78% PA 34.43%
1988 UNP SLFP 6.88% UNP 16.43%
1982 ACTC ACTC 10.72% UNP 23.23%
Matches/Mean MAE 5/8 3/8 12.84% 8/8 16.04%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kayts[4] Jaffna Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 11,319 69.82% 312,722 83.86% 5,564,239 41.99%
SLPP 2,917 17.99% 23,261 6.24% 6,924,255 52.25%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,370 8.45% 23,295 6.25% 717,212 5.41%
DUNF 382 2.36% 6,790 1.82% 34,537 0.26%
IND10 223 1.38% 6,845 1.84% 12,256 0.09%
Valid Votes 16,211 97.13% 372,913 97.07% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 479 2.87% 11,251 2.93% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 16,690 73.68% 384,164 68.00% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 22,651 564,984 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kayts[5] Jaffna Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 8,144 55.48% 253,574 74.42% 6,217,162 51.28%
UPFA 5,959 40.60% 74,454 21.85% 5,768,090 47.58%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 575 3.92% 12,723 3.73% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 14,678 96.74% 340,751 97.14% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 495 3.26% 10,038 2.86% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 15,173 68.79% 350,789 64.22% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 22,057 546,265 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kayts[6] Jaffna Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 4,611 46.19% 44,154 24.75% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 3,976 39.83% 113,877 63.84% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 549 5.50% 9,128 5.12% 106,050 1.02%
Ind 5 284 2.84% 3,205 1.80% 9,662 0.09%
DUNF 283 2.83% 3,370 1.89% 39,226 0.38%
UDF 144 1.44% 3,325 1.86% 23,290 0.22%
JSP 136 1.36% 1,310 0.73% 26,266 0.25%
Valid Votes 9,983 96.73% 178,369 96.35% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 338 3.27% 6,763 3.65% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 10,321 19.43% 185,132 25.15% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 53,111 736,032 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kayts[7] Jaffna Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 139 52.85% 1,967 25.00% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 98 37.26% 5,523 70.20% 4,706,366 48.43%
SEP 10 3.80% 29 0.37% 3,500 0.04%
DUA 4 1.52% 31 0.39% 5,082 0.05%
ULPP 3 1.14% 120 1.53% 14,458 0.15%
USP 3 1.14% 72 0.92% 35,425 0.36%
JSP 3 1.14% 34 0.43% 31,238 0.32%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 3 1.14% 92 1.17% 33,818 0.35%
Valid Votes 263 95.29% 7,868 92.30% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 13 4.71% 656 7.70% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 276 0.52% 8,524 1.20% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 52,986 707,970 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kayts[8] Jaffna Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 3,580 47.00% 48,005 43.03% 3,602,748 42.71%
PA 3,377 44.34% 52,043 46.65% 4,312,157 51.12%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 314 4.12% 5,215 4.67% 452,527 5.36%
LDA 154 2.02% 3,394 3.04% 23,668 0.28%
Ind 2 108 1.42% 1,873 1.68% 27,052 0.32%
SLMP 84 1.10% 1,041 0.93% 17,359 0.21%
Valid Votes 7,617 94.79% 111,568 94.91% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 419 5.21% 5,981 5.09% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 8,036 15.79% 117,549 19.15% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 50,885 613,718 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kayts[9] Jaffna Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 14,761 97.16% 16,934 96.35% 4,709,205 62.28%
Ind 2 291 1.92% 341 1.94% 58,888 0.78%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 141 0.93% 300 1.71% 2,793,435 36.94%
Valid Votes 15,193 99.22% 17,575 99.20% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 120 0.78% 141 0.80% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 15,313 30.93% 17,716 2.97% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 49,504 596,422 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kayts[10] Jaffna Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 4,628 37.34% 33,650 28.03% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLMP 4,503 36.33% 42,198 35.15% 235,701 4.63%
SLFP 3,264 26.33% 44,197 36.82% 2,289,857 44.95%
Valid Votes 12,395 95.41% 120,045 93.38% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 596 4.59% 8,517 6.62% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 12,991 26.25% 128,562 23.30% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 49,481 551,713 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kayts[11] Jaffna Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
ACTC 8,353 51.60% 87,263 40.03% 173,934 2.67%
UNP 4,067 25.13% 44,775 20.54% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 3,393 20.96% 77,210 35.42% 2,546,348 39.05%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 374 2.31% 8,650 3.97% 348,954 5.35%
Valid Votes 16,187 94.50% 218,003 95.36% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 943 5.50% 10,610 4.64% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 17,130 40.25% 228,613 45.86% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 42,563 498,545 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Kayts has matched the final country result 1 out of 7 times.

Year Kayts Jaffna Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 ITAK ITAK 10.33% UNP 38.98%
2010 UPFA ITAK 24.59% UPFA 15.19%
2004 ITAK ITAK 0.72% UPFA 6.11%
2001 EPDP TULF 32.61% UNP 21.22%
2000 EPDP EPDP 22.91% PA 14.96%
1994 IND2 IND2 14.71% PA 0.23%
1989 INDI INDI 10.46% UNP 27.70%
Matches/Mean MAE 1/7 0/7 16.62% 7/7 17.77%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kayts[14] Jaffna Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
ITAK 7,688 58.98% 207,577 70.08% 515,963 4.63%
EPDP 3,924 30.10% 30,232 10.21% 33,481 0.30%
UNP 424 3.25% 20,025 6.76% 5,098,916 45.77%
UPFA 421 3.23% 17,309 5.84% 4,732,664 42.48%
AITC 329 2.52% 15,022 5.07% 18,644 0.17%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 249 1.91% 6,034 2.04% 580,476 5.21%
Valid Votes 13,035 89.79% 296,199 90.91% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 1,389 9.57% 25,496 7.83% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 14,518 65.82% 325,805 61.56% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 22,057 529,239 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kayts[15] Jaffna Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 6,441 72.12% 47,622 32.20% 4,846,388 60.38%
ITAK 1,671 18.71% 65,119 44.03% 233,190 2.91%
UNP 392 4.39% 12,624 8.54% 2,357,057 29.37%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 323 3.62% 16,171 10.93% 496,010 6.18%
AITC 104 1.16% 6,362 4.30% 7,544 0.09%
Valid Votes 8,931 86.94% 147,898 87.89% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 1,326 12.91% 19,774 11.75% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 10,273 19.34% 168,277 22.68% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 53,111 742,005 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kayts[16] Jaffna Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
ITAK 13,911 90.02% 257,320 90.60% 633,203 6.85%
EPDP 1,406 9.10% 18,612 6.55% 24,942 0.27%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 137 0.89% 8,094 2.85% 770,907 8.34%
Valid Votes 15,454 92.34% 284,026 93.04% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 1,282 7.66% 21,233 6.96% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 16,736 32.24% 305,259 46.65% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 51,911 654,415 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kayts[17] Jaffna Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
EPDP 15,378 74.71% 57,208 30.66% 72,783 0.81%
TULF 4,304 20.91% 102,324 54.84% 348,164 3.89%
UNP 764 3.71% 16,245 8.71% 4,086,026 45.62%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 138 0.67% 10,821 5.80% 1,052,503 11.75%
Valid Votes 20,584 96.36% 186,598 94.59% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 777 3.64% 10,681 5.41% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 21,361 41.83% 197,279 31.14% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 51,072 633,457 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kayts[18] Jaffna Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
EPDP 12,311 79.68% 41,536 36.13% 50,702 0.59%
TULF 1,327 8.59% 32,761 28.50% 105,907 1.23%
UNP 820 5.31% 10,896 9.48% 3,451,765 40.12%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 329 2.13% 12,197 10.61% 924,064 10.74%
IG6 275 1.78% 2,058 1.79% 3,162 0.04%
IG2 223 1.44% 4,905 4.27% 31,443 0.37%
ACTC 166 1.07% 10,618 9.24% 27,289 0.32%
Valid Votes 15,451 N/A 114,971 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kayts[19] Jaffna Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
IND2 9,944 95.19% 10,744 79.71% 16,690 0.21%
EPRLF 232 2.22% 263 1.95% 9,411 0.12%
IND1 214 2.05% 374 2.77% 48,199 0.61%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 56 0.54% 2,098 15.56% 143,307 1.80%
Valid Votes 10,446 97.19% 13,479 97.41% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 302 2.81% 358 2.59% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 10,748 21.71% 13,837 2.32% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 49,504 596,375 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kayts[20] Jaffna Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
INDI 17,108 75.71% 150,340 62.68% 175,579 3.14%
TULF 3,706 16.40% 60,013 25.02% 188,594 3.37%
DPLF 572 2.53% 7,993 3.33% 19,150 0.34%
SLMC 466 2.06% 8,439 3.52% 202,016 3.61%
ACTC 391 1.73% 7,610 3.17% 7,610 0.14%
UNP 354 1.57% 5,460 2.28% 2,838,005 50.71%
Valid Votes 22,597 89.76% 239,855 90.49% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 2,577 10.24% 25,203 9.51% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 25,174 50.96% 265,058 44.76% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 49,401 592,210 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Kayts Polling Division has a Sri Lankan Tamil majority (98.5%) . In comparison, the Jaffna Electoral District (which contains the Kayts Polling Division) has a Sri Lankan Tamil majority (98.6%) [1]

Ethnicity in Kayts[1]
  1. Sri Lankan Tamil (98.5%)
  2. Other (1.50%)

Religion

The Kayts Polling Division has a Hindu majority (71.4%) and a significant Roman Catholic population (24.5%) . In comparison, the Jaffna Electoral District (which contains the Kayts Polling Division) has a Hindu majority (82.6%) and a significant Roman Catholic population (12.6%) [1]

Religion in Kayts[1]
  1. Hindu (71.4%)
  2. Roman Catholic (24.5%)
  3. Other Christian (3.20%)
  4. Other (0.90%)

References

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ↑ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kayts and the Jaffna Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ↑ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kayts and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ↑ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-07.
  5. ↑ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-07.
  6. ↑ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-07.
  7. ↑ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-07.
  8. ↑ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-07.
  9. ↑ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-07.
  10. ↑ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-07.
  11. ↑ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-07.
  12. ↑ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kayts and the Jaffna Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ↑ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kayts and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ↑ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. ↑ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. ↑ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. ↑ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. ↑ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. ↑ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. ↑ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.
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