2014 United States Senate election in Massachusetts

2014 United States Senate election in Massachusetts
November 4, 2014
 
Nominee Ed Markey Brian Herr
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 1,289,944 791,950
Percentage 61.87% 37.98%
Markey:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Herr:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%
Tie:      40–50%
U.S. senator before election

Ed Markey
Democratic

 Elected U.S. Senator

Ed Markey
Democratic

The 2014 United States Senate election in Massachusetts was held on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the Commonwealth of Massachusetts, concurrently with the election of the Governor of Massachusetts, other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Democratic Senator Ed Markey ran for re-election to a first full term in office.[1] Primary elections were held on September 9, 2014. Markey was unopposed for the Democratic nomination; Hopkinton Selectman Brian Herr was also unopposed for the Republican nomination.

Background

Incumbent Democratic Senator John Kerry, serving since 1985, had planned to run for re-election to a sixth term, but on December 15, 2012, it was announced that the long-time Massachusetts senator and 2004 presidential nominee would be nominated as United States Secretary of State under President Barack Obama. Massachusetts Governor Deval Patrick appointed Mo Cowan as a temporary replacement for Kerry, after he was confirmed as secretary of state and therefore resigned his senate seat. There was a special election on June 25, 2013, to finish the term, which was won by Ed Markey, the 37-year Democratic incumbent from Massachusetts's 5th congressional district.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Did not qualify

Declined

Independent

Candidates

Withdrew

  • Bruce Skarin, government research scientist[9][17]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Solid D November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[19] Safe D November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report[20] Safe D November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics[21] Safe D November 3, 2014

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Ed
Markey (D)		 Brian
Herr (R)		 Other Undecided
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[22] July 5–24, 2014 1,846 ± 4.9% 61% 34% 2% 3%
Boston Globe[23] September 14–16, 2014 407 ± 4.85% 53% 27% — 21%
Rasmussen Reports[24] September 16–17, 2014 750 ± 4% 49% 31% 5% 15%
WBUR/MassINC[25] September 16–21, 2014 502 ± 4.4% 58% 30% 1% 11%
WNEU[26] September 20–28, 2014 416 LV ± 5% 56% 34% — 10%
536 RV ± 4% 52% 34% — 14%
Suffolk University[27] September 25–28, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 54% 30% — 16%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[28] September 20 – October 1, 2014 2,389 ± 2% 54% 31% 1% 14%
WBUR/MassINC[29] October 1–4, 2014 504 ± 4.4% 56% 30% 1% 13%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[28] October 16–23, 2014 2,218 ± 3% 54% 32% 0% 14%
WBUR/MassINC[30] October 22–25, 2014 494 ± 4.4% 57% 32% 1% 9%
Umass Amherst[31] October 20–27, 2014 591 LV ± 4.4% 53% 37% — 9%
800 RV ± 3.8% 52% 32% — 15%
Suffolk University[32] October 27–29, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 49% 34% — 17%
WNEU[33] October 21–30, 2014 430 LV ± 5% 54% 34% — 12%
522 RV ± 4% 53% 31% — 17%
Public Policy Polling[34] October 30 – November 2, 2014 887 ± 3.3% 52% 38% — 10%
Hypothetical polling

With Markey

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Ed
Markey (D)		 Frank
Addivinola (R)		 Other Undecided
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[22] July 5–24, 2014 1,901 ± 4.9% 59% 34% 2% 5%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[28] August 18 – September 2, 2014 3,361 ± 2% 53% 28% 2% 17%
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Ed
Markey (D)		 Scott
Brown (R)		 Other Undecided
MassInc[35] July 17–20, 2013 500 ± 4.4% 43% 38% 2% 17%
Public Policy Polling[36] September 20–23, 2013 616 ± 4% 46% 45% — 9%
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Ed
Markey (D)		 Gabriel
Gomez (R)		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[36] September 20–23, 2013 616 ± 4% 53% 35% — 12%
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Ed
Markey (D)		 Richard
Tisei (R)		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[36] September 20–23, 2013 616 ± 4% 54% 27% — 19%
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Ed
Markey (D)		 Bill
Weld (R)		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[36] September 20–23, 2013 616 ± 4% 47% 41% — 11%
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Ed
Markey (D)		 Generic
Republican		 Other Undecided
WBUR/MassINC[37] March 14–16, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 50% 29% — 21%

With Kerry

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 John
Kerry (D)		 Generic
Republican		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[38] September 13–16, 2012 1,051 ± 3.3% 54% 33% — 13%
Public Policy Polling[39] October 9–11, 2012 1,051 ± 3.0% 53% 32% — 15%
Public Policy Polling[40] November 1–2, 2012 1,089 ± 3.0% 54% 30% — 15%

Results

United States Senate election in Massachusetts, 2014[41]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Ed Markey (incumbent) 1,289,944 61.87% +7.07%
Republican Brian Herr 791,950 37.98% −6.62%
Write-in 3,078 0.15% -0.06%
Total votes 2,084,972 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold

By county

By congressional district

Markey won all nine congressional districts.[43]

District Markey Herr Representative
1st 62% 38% Richard Neal
2nd 58% 42% Jim McGovern
3rd 58% 42% Niki Tsongas
4th 59% 41% Joe Kennedy III
5th 69% 31% Katherine Clark
6th 58% 42% John F. Tierney
7th 84% 16% Michael Capuano
8th 61% 39% Stephen Lynch
9th 55% 45% Bill Keating

See also

References

  1. 1 2 Hillary Chabot (June 26, 2013). "For Ed Markey, race is just beginning". Boston Herald. Archived from the original on September 27, 2013. Retrieved September 26, 2013.
  2. ↑ Dave Wedge (February 21, 2009). "John Kerry sets sights on 2014". Boston Herald. Archived from the original on August 25, 2012. Retrieved February 1, 2011.
  3. ↑ "Sen. John Kerry plans re-election run for 2014, calls secretary of state ambitions 'rumors'". Washington Post. August 4, 2011. Retrieved August 4, 2011.
  4. ↑ Schoenberg, Shira (May 10, 2013). "After leaving U.S. Senate, Mo Cowan will not run for office". The Republican. Archived from the original on June 22, 2013. Retrieved May 15, 2013.
  5. ↑ "GOP's Herr to challenge Markey in Senate race". abc 6. January 29, 2014. Retrieved January 29, 2014.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link)
  6. ↑ Miller, Joshua (January 29, 2014). "Hopkinton Republican launches bid for US Senate". Boston Globe. Archived from the original on February 1, 2014. Retrieved January 29, 2014.
  7. ↑ Schoenberg, Shira (February 18, 2014). "Republican Frank Addivinola launches campaign for U.S. Senate seat held by Ed Markey". masslive.com. Archived from the original on February 26, 2014. Retrieved February 18, 2014.
  8. 1 2 "2014 Republican Primary Candidates". Secretary of the Commonwealth of Massachusetts. Archived from the original on August 5, 2014. Retrieved September 8, 2014.
  9. 1 2 Sutner, Shaun (February 14, 2014). "Senate candidate Skarin wants to win $15 by $15". Worcester Telegram. Archived from the original on February 22, 2014. Retrieved February 14, 2014.
  10. ↑ Arthur Christopher Schaper (February 21, 2014). "Arthur Schaper: Mark Inman for US Senate (Really?!)". GoLocalWorcester.com. Archived from the original on February 22, 2014. Retrieved April 29, 2014.
  11. ↑ Cerullo, Mac (January 12, 2013). "Ablow vows truth in possible Senate run". Newburyport News. Archived from the original on January 15, 2013. Retrieved May 28, 2013.
  12. ↑ Phillips, Frank; O'Sullivan, Jim (September 3, 2013). "Republican Charles Baker to announce Mass. gubernatorial bid Wednesday". Boston Globe. Archived from the original on September 5, 2013. Retrieved September 3, 2013.
  13. ↑ Trygstad, Kyle (December 19, 2013). "Scott Brown: New Hampshire Move is 'Strictly Personal'". Roll Call. Archived from the original on December 22, 2013. Retrieved December 21, 2013.
  14. ↑ Miller, Joshua (January 9, 2014). "Gomez will not run for office in 2014". Boston Globe. Archived from the original on January 9, 2014. Retrieved January 9, 2014.
  15. 1 2 LeBlanc, Steve (November 11, 2012). "Eyes Turn To Future Of Mass. Governor and U.S. Senate Races". CBS Boston. Archived from the original on August 22, 2013. Retrieved November 11, 2012.
  16. ↑ Schoenberg, Shira (September 16, 2013). "State Rep. Dan Winslow resigns from House, rejoins private sector". The Republican. Archived from the original on September 20, 2013. Retrieved September 16, 2013.
  17. ↑ Rizzuto, Robert (July 30, 2014). "Independent US Senate hopeful Bruce Skarin ends campaign to challenge Sen. Ed Markey". MassLive. Archived from the original on August 21, 2014. Retrieved August 20, 2014.
  18. ↑ "2014 Senate Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on November 18, 2018. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  19. ↑ "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived from the original on July 24, 2018. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  20. ↑ "2014 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Archived from the original on November 16, 2018. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  21. ↑ "2014 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2014". Real Clear Politics. Archived from the original on September 4, 2018. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  22. 1 2 CBS News/NYT/YouGov Archived 2014-09-08 at the Wayback Machine
  23. ↑ "Boston Globe" (PDF). Archived (PDF) from the original on September 24, 2014. Retrieved September 19, 2014.
  24. ↑ "Rasmussen Reports". Archived from the original on November 12, 2025. Retrieved January 1, 2026.
  25. ↑ "WBUR/MassINC". Archived from the original on June 1, 2016. Retrieved January 1, 2026.
  26. ↑ WNEU
  27. ↑ "Suffolk University" (PDF). Archived (PDF) from the original on September 30, 2014. Retrieved September 29, 2014.
  28. 1 2 3 "CBS News/NYT/YouGov". Archived from the original on October 6, 2014. Retrieved October 5, 2014.
  29. ↑ "WBUR/MassINC". Archived from the original on November 28, 2014. Retrieved October 8, 2014.
  30. ↑ "WBUR/MassINC". Archived from the original on June 2, 2016. Retrieved January 1, 2026.
  31. ↑ "Umass Amherst" (PDF). Archived (PDF) from the original on November 2, 2014. Retrieved November 2, 2014.
  32. ↑ "Suffolk University" (PDF). Archived (PDF) from the original on October 30, 2014. Retrieved October 30, 2014.
  33. ↑ WNEU
  34. ↑ "Public Policy Polling" (PDF). Archived (PDF) from the original on May 7, 2016. Retrieved January 1, 2026.
  35. ↑ "MassInc". Archived from the original on March 4, 2016. Retrieved January 1, 2026.
  36. 1 2 3 4 "Public Policy Polling" (PDF). Archived (PDF) from the original on March 13, 2017. Retrieved January 1, 2026.
  37. ↑ "WBUR/MassINC". Archived from the original on March 13, 2016. Retrieved September 17, 2017.
  38. ↑ "Public Policy Polling" (PDF). Archived (PDF) from the original on September 27, 2016. Retrieved January 1, 2026.
  39. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  40. ↑ "Public Policy Polling" (PDF). Archived (PDF) from the original on September 7, 2016. Retrieved January 1, 2026.
  41. ↑ "PD43+ >> 2014 U.S. Senate General Election". Massachusetts Elections Division. Archived from the original on July 21, 2018. Retrieved July 23, 2018.
  42. ↑ "PD43+ » 2014 U.S. Senate General Election". electionstats.state.ma.us. Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth. Archived from the original on March 25, 2025. Retrieved April 6, 2025.
  43. ↑ "DRA 2020". Daves Redistricting. Archived from the original on February 28, 2023. Retrieved August 24, 2026.
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