Bibile Polling Division

Bibile
Polling Division
Interactive map of Bibile
Coordinates: 7°09′10″N 81°22′39″E / 7.152790°N 81.377575°E / 7.152790; 81.377575
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceUva Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictMonaragala Electoral District
Area
 • Total
1,339.63 km2 (517.23 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total
107,448
 • Density80/km2 (210/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-20A

The Bibile Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Monaragala Electoral District, in the Uva Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Bibile has matched the final country result 7 out of 8 times. Hence, Bibile is a Strong Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Bibile Monaragala Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 2.14% SLPP 10.20%
2015 UPFA UPFA 0.62% NDF 13.12%
2010 UPFA UPFA 1.63% UPFA 9.29%
2005 UPFA UPFA 1.29% UPFA 5.35%
1999 PA PA 1.89% PA 1.19%
1994 PA PA 1.46% PA 0.77%
1988 UNP UNP 2.46% UNP 8.96%
1982 UNP UNP 4.73% UNP 1.49%
Matches/Mean MAE 7/8 7/8 2.03% 8/8 6.30%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Bibile[4] Monaragala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 44,351 63.05% 208,814 65.34% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 21,914 31.15% 92,539 28.95% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 2,264 3.22% 11,235 3.52% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,811 2.57% 7,016 2.20% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 70,340 99.19% 319,604 99.07% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 573 0.81% 3,000 0.93% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 70,913 86.84% 322,604 88.02% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 81,662 366,524 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Bibile[5] Monaragala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 37,987 60.72% 172,745 61.45% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 23,704 37.89% 105,276 37.45% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 874 1.40% 3,095 1.10% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 62,565 98.78% 281,116 98.79% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 775 1.22% 3,449 1.21% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 63,340 76.31% 284,565 79.90% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 83,003 356,146 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Bibile[6] Monaragala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 34,523 67.22% 158,435 69.01% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 15,649 30.47% 66,803 29.10% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,185 2.31% 4,346 1.89% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 51,357 98.95% 229,584 99.02% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 544 1.05% 2,272 0.98% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 51,901 69.49% 231,856 73.94% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 74,692 313,554 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Bibile[7] Monaragala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 28,663 55.54% 126,094 56.94% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 22,103 42.83% 92,244 41.65% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 846 1.64% 3,112 1.41% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 51,612 98.91% 221,450 98.82% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 567 1.09% 2,636 1.18% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 52,179 76.00% 224,086 78.54% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 68,660 285,327 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Bibile[8] Monaragala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 21,890 49.11% 92,049 51.07% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 19,156 42.98% 73,695 40.89% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 2,337 5.24% 10,456 5.80% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,191 2.67% 4,045 2.24% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 44,574 97.75% 180,245 97.74% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 1,028 2.25% 4,161 2.26% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 45,602 77.55% 184,406 78.39% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 58,803 235,252 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Bibile[9] Monaragala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 24,271 61.50% 96,620 63.20% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 13,867 35.14% 52,026 34.03% 2,715,283 35.91%
Ind 2 674 1.71% 1,966 1.29% 58,888 0.78%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 655 1.66% 2,257 1.48% 78,152 1.03%
Valid Votes 39,467 97.70% 152,869 97.46% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 928 2.30% 3,977 2.54% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 40,395 79.44% 156,846 77.23% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 50,852 203,102 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Bibile[10] Monaragala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 9,091 60.73% 16,872 63.21% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 5,507 36.79% 9,123 34.18% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 371 2.48% 697 2.61% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 14,969 96.72% 26,692 96.91% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 507 3.28% 851 3.09% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 15,476 35.91% 27,543 16.99% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 43,093 162,135 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Bibile[11] Monaragala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 16,821 55.59% 51,264 49.38% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 11,820 39.06% 44,115 42.49% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 1,180 3.90% 7,171 6.91% 273,428 4.19%
LSSP 313 1.03% 882 0.85% 58,531 0.90%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 126 0.42% 389 0.37% 190,929 2.93%
Valid Votes 30,260 98.51% 103,821 98.53% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 458 1.49% 1,553 1.47% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 30,718 85.58% 105,374 82.45% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 35,895 127,799 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Bibile has matched the final country result 6 out of 7 times. Hence, Bibile is a Strong Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Bibile Monaragala Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UPFA UPFA 1.19% UNP 4.90%
2010 UPFA UPFA 2.20% UPFA 14.46%
2004 UPFA UPFA 1.75% UPFA 7.25%
2001 UNP PA 1.22% UNP 2.68%
2000 PA PA 0.84% PA 2.68%
1994 PA PA 3.10% PA 2.20%
1989 UNP UNP 6.17% UNP 5.86%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/7 5/7 2.35% 7/7 5.72%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Bibile[14] Monaragala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 29,867 51.63% 138,136 52.53% 4,732,664 42.48%
UNP 25,220 43.60% 110,372 41.97% 5,098,916 45.77%
JVP 2,557 4.42% 13,626 5.18% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 199 0.34% 854 0.32% 59,382 0.53%
Valid Votes 57,843 95.95% 262,988 96.59% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 2,442 4.05% 9,291 3.41% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 60,285 72.63% 272,279 80.13% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 83,003 339,797 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Bibile[15] Monaragala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 28,575 78.15% 120,634 75.64% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 6,172 16.88% 28,892 18.12% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 1,610 4.40% 9,018 5.65% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 206 0.56% 947 0.59% 34,793 0.43%
Valid Votes 36,563 92.80% 159,491 94.02% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 2,837 7.20% 10,149 5.98% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 39,400 52.75% 169,640 54.04% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 74,692 313,931 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Bibile[16] Monaragala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 27,149 59.63% 117,456 61.14% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 17,851 39.21% 71,067 36.99% 3,486,792 37.73%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 527 1.16% 3,590 1.87% 610,805 6.61%
Valid Votes 45,527 93.33% 192,113 93.75% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 3,255 6.67% 12,816 6.25% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 48,782 73.99% 204,929 78.00% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 65,934 262,742 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Bibile[17] Monaragala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 20,258 44.65% 80,549 43.00% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 19,423 42.81% 81,805 43.67% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 4,823 10.63% 21,987 11.74% 815,353 9.10%
NLF 538 1.19% 1,745 0.93% 45,901 0.51%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 329 0.73% 1,247 0.67% 78,691 0.88%
Valid Votes 45,371 91.80% 187,333 92.30% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 4,053 8.20% 15,638 7.70% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 49,424 78.69% 202,971 82.08% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 62,810 247,280 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Bibile[18] Monaragala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 22,011 49.11% 91,404 49.69% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 19,022 42.44% 75,900 41.27% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 2,783 6.21% 13,159 7.15% 518,725 6.03%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,001 2.23% 3,468 1.89% 263,775 3.07%
Valid Votes 44,817 N/A 183,931 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Bibile[19] Monaragala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 18,546 47.86% 77,955 50.40% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 18,526 47.80% 67,753 43.81% 3,498,370 44.04%
IND4 1,104 2.85% 6,592 4.26% 6,592 0.08%
SLPF 422 1.09% 1,896 1.23% 90,078 1.13%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 156 0.40% 467 0.30% 65,439 0.82%
Valid Votes 38,754 90.35% 154,663 90.46% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 4,140 9.65% 16,305 9.54% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 42,894 84.35% 170,968 84.15% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 50,852 203,178 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Bibile[20] Monaragala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 16,362 58.68% 46,313 52.42% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 10,361 37.16% 38,640 43.73% 1,785,369 31.90%
USA 815 2.92% 2,149 2.43% 141,983 2.54%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 344 1.23% 1,250 1.41% 304,781 5.45%
Valid Votes 27,882 87.45% 88,352 87.76% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 4,002 12.55% 12,317 12.24% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 31,884 74.72% 100,669 62.17% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 42,671 161,927 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Bibile Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (93.5%) . In comparison, the Monaragala Electoral District (which contains the Bibile Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (94.9%) [1]

Ethnicity in Bibile[1]
  1. Sinhalese (93.5%)
  2. Moor (5.50%)
  3. Other (1.00%)

Religion

The Bibile Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (93.2%) . In comparison, the Monaragala Electoral District (which contains the Bibile Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (94.6%) [1]

Religion in Bibile[1]
  1. Buddhist (93.2%)
  2. Muslim (5.60%)
  3. Other (1.30%)

References

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ↑ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Bibile and the Monaragala Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ↑ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Bibile and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ↑ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  5. ↑ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  6. ↑ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  7. ↑ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  8. ↑ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  9. ↑ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  10. ↑ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  11. ↑ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  12. ↑ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Bibile and the Monaragala Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ↑ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Bibile and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ↑ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. ↑ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. ↑ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. ↑ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. ↑ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. ↑ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. ↑ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.
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