2024 Bay of Quinte provincial by-election

2024 Bay of Quinte provincial by-election

September 19, 2024 (2024-09-19)

Riding of Bay of Quinte
Turnout38.45% (Decrease 7.46)
  First party Second party Third party
 
PC
LIB
NDP
Candidate Tyler Allsopp Sean Kelly Amanda Robertson
Party Progressive Conservative Liberal New Democratic
Last election 49.30% 18.45% 20.92%
Popular vote 14,430 12,428 8,607
Percentage 38.69% 33.32% 23.08%
Swing Decrease 10.61 pp Increase 14.87 pp Increase 2.16 pp

MPP before election

Todd Smith
PC

Elected MPP

Tyler Allsopp
PC

A by-election was held in the provincial riding of Bay of Quinte on September 19, 2024, to elect a new member of the Legislative Assembly of Ontario following the resignation of Progressive Conservative MPP and cabinet minister Todd Smith for a new job in the private sector.[1] It resulted in the victory of PC candidate Tyler Allsopp, though by a reduced margin compared to his predecessor.

Opinion polls

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling
Link PC OLP ONDP Green Other Margin
of Error
Sample
Size
Polling Method
By-election 2024 September 19, 2024 38.69 33.32 23.08 3.17 1.74
Liaison Strategies September 9, 2024 [2] 35 36 18 5 6 ±4.21 pp 541 IVR
Election 2022 June 2, 2022 49.30 18.45 20.92 6.27 5.06

Results

Ontario provincial by-election, September 19, 2024
Resignation of Todd Smith
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
Progressive ConservativeTyler Allsopp14,43038.69-10.61
LiberalSean Kelly12,42833.32+14.87
New DemocraticAmanda Robertson8,60723.08+2.16
GreenLori Borthwick1,1863.18-3.09
New BlueMargaret Schuler3690.99-1.61
IndependentJohn Turmel1490.40
LibertarianMark Snow1290.35
Total valid votes/Expense limit
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots
Turnout 38.45
Eligible voters 97,016

See also

References

  1. ↑ Westoll, Nick (August 16, 2024). "Todd Smith, Ontario education minister and Bay of Quinte MPP, to resign". CityNews Toronto. Retrieved August 26, 2024.
  2. ↑ "Liberals Lead by 1 in Bay of Quinte, a statistical tie".