2015 Seville municipal election

2015 Seville municipal election
24 May 2015
All 31 seats in the City Council of Seville
16 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered545,309 Decrease 0.3%
Turnout324,218 (59.5%)
Decrease 3.2 pp
  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Juan Ignacio Zoido Juan Espadas Javier Millán
Party PP PSOE–A C's
Leader since 28 June 2006 24 May 2010 6 February 2015
Last election 20 seats, 49.3% 11 seats, 29.5% Did not contest
Seats won 12 11 3
Seat change Decrease 8 Steady 0 Increase 3
Popular vote 106,321 103,461 29,888
Percentage 33.1% 32.2% 9.3%
Swing Decrease 16.2 pp Increase 2.7 pp New party
  Fourth party Fifth party
 
Leader Susana Serrano Daniel González Rojas
Party Participa Sevilla IULV–CA
Leader since 14 April 2015 14 February 2015
Last election Did not contest 2 seats, 7.1%
Seats won 3 2
Seat change Increase 3 Steady 0
Popular vote 28,969 19,203
Percentage 9.0% 6.0%
Swing New party Decrease 1.1 pp
Mayor before election

Juan Ignacio Zoido
PP

 Mayor after election

Juan Espadas
PSOE

A municipal election was held in Seville on 24 May 2015 to elect the 10th City Council of the municipality. All 31 seats in the City Council were up for election. It was held concurrently with regional elections in thirteen autonomous communities and local elections all across Spain.

Overview

Under the 1978 Constitution, the governance of municipalities in Spain—part of the country's local government system—was centered on the figure of city councils (Spanish: ayuntamientos), local corporations with independent legal personality composed of a mayor, a government council and an elected legislative assembly.[1] The mayor was indirectly elected by the local assembly, requiring an absolute majority; otherwise, the candidate from the most-voted party automatically became mayor (ties were resolved by drawing lots).[2] In the case of Seville, the top-tier administrative and governing body was the City Council of Seville.[3]

Date

The term of local assemblies in Spain expired four years after the date of their previous election, with election day being fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The election decree was required to be issued no later than 54 days before the scheduled election date and published on the following day in the Official State Gazette (BOE).[4] The previous local elections were held on 22 May 2011, setting the date for election day on the fourth Sunday of May four years later, which was 24 May 2015.

Local assemblies could not be dissolved before the expiration of their term, except in cases of mismanagement that seriously harmed the public interest and implied a breach of constitutional obligations, in which case the Council of Ministers could—optionally—decide to call a by-election.[5]

Elections to the assemblies of local entities were officially called on 31 March 2015 with the publication of the corresponding decree in the BOE, setting election day for 24 May.[6]

Electoral system

Voting for local assemblies was based on universal suffrage, comprising all Spanish nationals over 18 years of age, registered and residing in the municipality and with full political rights (provided that they had not been deprived of the right to vote by a final sentence, nor were legally incapacitated), as well as resident non-national European citizens, and those whose country of origin allowed reciprocal voting by virtue of a treaty.[7]

Local councillors were elected using the D'Hondt method and closed-list proportional voting, with a five percent-threshold of valid votes (including blank ballots) in each municipality.[8] Each municipality was a multi-member constituency, with a number of seats based on the following scale:[9]

Population Councillors
<100 3
101–250 5
251–1,000 7
1,001–2,000 9
2,001–5,000 11
5,001–10,000 13
10,001–20,000 17
20,001–50,000 21
50,001–100,000 25
>100,001 +1 per each 100,000 inhabitants or fraction
+1 if total is an even number

The law did not provide for by-elections to fill vacant seats; instead, any vacancies arising after the proclamation of candidates and during the legislative term were filled by the next candidates on the party lists or, when required, by designated substitutes.[10]

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, alliances and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form an alliance were required to inform the relevant electoral commission within 10 days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of a determined amount of the electors registered in the municipality for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list. In the case of Seville, as its population was between 300,001 and 1,000,000, at least 5,000 signatures were required.[11] Additionally, a balanced composition of men and women was required in the electoral lists, so that candidates of either sex made up at least 40 percent of the total composition.[12]

Below is a list of the main parties and alliances which contested the election:

Candidacy Parties and
alliances		 Leading candidate Ideology Previous result Gov. Ref.
Vote % Seats
PP
List
 Juan Ignacio Zoido Conservatism
Christian democracy		 49.3% 20 Yes [13]
PSOE–A Juan Espadas Social democracy 29.5% 11 No [14]
[15]
IULV–CA Daniel González Rojas Socialism
Communism		 7.1% 2 No [16]
Participa
Sevilla
List
 Susana Serrano Left-wing populism
Direct democracy
Democratic socialism		 Did not contest No [17]
[18]
C's Javier Millán Liberalism Did not contest No [19]
[20]
Ganemos
Sevilla
List
  • Andalusian Green Current (CVA)
Laureano Seco Left-wing populism Did not contest No [21]
[22]
[23]

Opinion polls

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Voting intention estimates

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 16 seats were required for an absolute majority in the City Council of Seville (17 in the 2011 election).

Color key:

  Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls   Exit poll

Voting preferences

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

Victory preferences

The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a municipal election taking place.

Victory likelihood

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a municipal election taking place.

Results

← Summary of the 24 May 2015 City Council of Seville election results →
Parties and alliances Popular vote Seats
Votes % ±pp Total +/−
People's Party (PP) 106,32133.05−16.26 12−8
Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia (PSOE–A) 103,46132.16+2.71 11±0
Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (C's) 29,8889.29New 3+3
Participate Seville (Participa Sevilla) 28,9699.01New 3+3
United Left/The Greens–Assembly for Andalusia (IULV–CA) 19,2035.97−1.18 2±0
Let's Win Seville (Ganemos Sevilla) 13,2744.13New 0±0
Andalusian Party (PA) 4,5441.41−3.37 0±0
Equo (Equo) 3,3321.04New 0±0
Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA) 3,2901.02+0.60 0±0
Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) 2,7110.84−2.41 0±0
Vox (Vox) 1,4950.46New 0±0
Blank Seats (EB) 4630.14New 0±0
Spanish Phalanx of the CNSO (FE de las JONS) 3110.10+0.02 0±0
Party of the Immigrant in Spain (PADIE) 1820.06New 0±0
Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain (PCPE) 1680.05New 0±0
Republican Candidacy (CR) 1550.05New 0±0
Internationalist Solidarity and Self-Management (SAIn) 1390.04−0.05 0±0
Andalusian Nationalist People (PNdeA) 890.03New 0±0
Andalusian Popular Unity (UPAN) 610.02−0.04 0±0
Blank ballots 3,6331.13−1.65
Total 321,689 31−2
Valid votes 321,68999.22+1.08
Invalid votes 2,5290.78−1.08
Votes cast / turnout 324,21859.46−3.27
Abstentions 221,09140.54+3.27
Registered voters 545,309
Sources[25][26][27]
Popular vote
PP
 
 33.05%
PSOE–A
 
 32.16%
C's
 
 9.29%
Participa Sevilla
 
 9.01%
IULV–CA
 
 5.97%
Ganemos Sevilla
 
 4.13%
PA
 
 1.41%
eQuo
 
 1.04%
PACMA
 
 1.02%
Others
 
 1.79%
Blank ballots
 
 1.13%
Seats
PP
 
 38.71%
PSOE–A
 
 35.48%
C's
 
 9.68%
Participa Sevilla
 
 9.68%
IULV–CA
 
 6.45%

Aftermath

Government formation

Investiture
Ballot → 14 June 2015
Required majority → 16 out of 31
16 / 31
 check
  • • PP (12)
12 / 31
 X mark
Javier Millán (C's)
3 / 31
 X mark
Abstentions/Blank ballots
0 / 31
Absentees
0 / 31
Sources[28]

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Within Participa Sevilla.
  2. 1 2 3 4 Within Ganemos Sevilla.
  3. 1 2 3 4 Does not include non-resident citizens.

References

Opinion poll sources

  1. ↑ "El PP perdería la mayoría absoluta en todas las capitales de Andalucía, según las encuestas a pie de urna". eldiario.es (in Spanish). 24 May 2015.
  2. ↑ "Vuelco en Sevilla y Huelva, mientras que el PP empata con Podemos en Cádiz". Diario Sur (in Spanish). 24 May 2015.
  3. ↑ "Encuestas y resultados - elecciones autonómicas y municipales del 24 de mayo de 2015". GAD3 (in Spanish). 28 May 2015.
  4. ↑ "Zoido remonta y podría gobernar con el apoyo de C's en Sevilla". El Mundo (in Spanish). 16 May 2015.
  5. ↑ "Intención de voto en el Ayto. de Sevilla. Gráfico". El Mundo (in Spanish). 16 May 2015.
  6. ↑ "24M en Sevilla: Incertidumbre hasta el final". El Correo de Andalucía (in Spanish). 16 May 2015.
  7. ↑ "SEVILLA, Mayo 2015. Sondeo Deimos". Electográfica (in Spanish). 17 May 2015.
  8. ↑ "El PSOE ganaría las elecciones en Sevilla con el 32,2 % de los votos". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 18 May 2015.
  9. 1 2 "El ObSERvatorio de la Cadena SER. Estudio preelectoral de la ciudad de Sevilla (18/5/2015)" (PDF). MyWord (in Spanish). 18 May 2015. Archived from the original (PDF) on 5 January 2016.
  10. ↑ "El PP depende de C's para gobernar en Madrid, Valencia, Sevilla y Málaga". Público (in Spanish). 15 May 2015.
  11. ↑ "Ada Colau empata con Trias, Barberá se estrella en Valencia y Podemos tiene la llave en Sevilla". Público (in Spanish). 3 May 2015.
  12. ↑ "Tracking de sondeos en las capitales: la derecha sólo puede esperar que Ciudadanos salve al PP". Público (in Spanish). 3 May 2015.
  13. ↑ "Zoido volverá a ganar pero quedará a expensas de un pacto con Ciudadanos". ABC (in Spanish). 10 May 2015.
  14. ↑ "Zoido necesitará pactos para volver a ser alcalde". Diario de Sevilla (in Spanish). 10 May 2015.
  15. ↑ "CIUDADES ANDALUZAS 24M, Abril 2015. Sondeo Commentia". Electográfica (in Spanish). 11 May 2015.
  16. 1 2 3 4 "Preelectoral elecciones municipales 2015. Sevilla (Estudio nº 3061. Marzo-Abril 2015)". CIS (in Spanish). 7 May 2015.
  17. ↑ "El PP se echa a la calle para recuperar a las clases medias". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 8 May 2015.
  18. ↑ "Empate en Sevilla entre PP y PSOE tras una debacle 'popular'". El Mundo (in Spanish). 7 April 2015.
  19. ↑ "Encuesta electoral: Ayuntamiento de Sevilla. Gráfico". El Mundo (in Spanish). 7 April 2015.
  20. ↑ "Un sondeo atribuye al PP el 42,9 por ciento del apoyo electoral y el 29,2 al PSOE". Europa Press (in Spanish). 24 April 2014.
  21. ↑ "SEVILLA, Abril 2014. Nexo". Electográfica (in Spanish). 24 April 2014.

Other

  1. ↑ Constitution (1978), art. 140; LBRL (1985), art. 19.
  2. ↑ LBRL (1985), art. 19; LOREG (1985), art. 196.
  3. ↑ LBRL (1985), arts. 121–132.
  4. ↑ LOREG (1985), arts. 42 & 194.
  5. ↑ LBRL (1985), art. 61.
  6. ↑ Royal Decree 233/2015 (2015), art. 1.
  7. ↑ Constitution (1978), art. 13; LBRL (1985), art. 19; LOREG (1985), arts. 2–3 & 176.
  8. ↑ LOREG (1985), arts. 163 & 180.
  9. ↑ LOREG (1985), art. 179.
  10. ↑ LOREG (1985), arts. 46, 48 & 182.
  11. ↑ LOREG (1985), arts. 44 & 187.
  12. ↑ LOREG (1985), art. 44 bis.
  13. ↑ Hernández, Marisol (13 February 2015). "El PP confirma a Cospedal, Herrera, Rudi y Diego como candidatos". El Mundo (in Spanish). Madrid. Retrieved 12 November 2025.
  14. ↑ "Espadas insiste en su "decisión personal" de concurrir a las municipales". Diario de Sevilla (in Spanish). Seville. Europa Press. 12 September 2013. Retrieved 12 November 2025.
  15. ↑ "El PSOE proclama a Juan Espadas candidato a la Alcaldía de Sevilla sin pasar por primarias". ABC (in Spanish). 7 October 2014. Retrieved 12 November 2025.
  16. ↑ "Daniel González Rojas, elegido cabeza de lista de IU para la Alcaldía de Sevilla". ABC (in Spanish). 14 February 2015. Retrieved 12 November 2025.
  17. ↑ Marroco, Antonio (14 April 2015). "El sector crítico de Podemos Sevilla copa la lista de su marca blanca para las municipales". ABC (in Spanish). Retrieved 12 November 2025.
  18. ↑ "Susana Serrano, militante de Podemos, es la candidata de Participa Sevilla" (in Spanish). Seville: Cadena SER. 14 April 2015. Retrieved 12 November 2025.
  19. ↑ Rivera, Agustín (2 January 2015). "Ciudadanos prosigue su expansión y aprueba este mes la agrupación de Sevilla". El Confidencial (in Spanish). Málaga. Retrieved 12 November 2025.
  20. ↑ "Ciudadanos presentará su candidatura a la Alcaldía de Sevilla". Diario de Sevilla (in Spanish). Seville. Europa Press. 31 January 2015. Retrieved 12 November 2025.
  21. ↑ "Laureano Seco, que rivalizó con Maíllo por la candidatura a la Junta, deja IU junto a miembros de la Corriente Verde". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). Seville. Europa Press. 19 April 2015. Retrieved 12 November 2025.
  22. ↑ Baquero, Juan Miguel (28 April 2015). "Ganemos Sevilla versus Ganemos Sevilla, división sobre el albero político de las municipales". eldiario.es (in Spanish). Retrieved 12 November 2025.
  23. ↑ ""Campaña" de Equo en las redes para avisar del "falso Ganemos" y evitar "que se aproveche la confusión"". 20 minutos (in Spanish). Seville. Europa Press. 20 May 2015. Retrieved 12 November 2025.
  24. ↑ "El reparto del poder territorial en España en 2015" (PDF). desarrollando-ideas.com (in Spanish). 31 October 2014.
  25. ↑ Lozano, Carles. "Elecciones municipales en Sevilla (desde 1979)". Historia Electoral.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 4 November 2025.
  26. ↑ "Elecciones celebradas. Resultados electorales" (in Spanish). Ministry of the Interior. Retrieved 5 November 2025.
  27. ↑ "Acuerdo de 1 de julio de 2015, de la Junta Electoral Central, por el que se procede a la publicación del resumen de los resultados de las elecciones locales convocadas por Real Decreto 233/2015, de 30 de marzo, y celebradas el 24 de mayo de 2015, según los datos que figuran en las actas de proclamación remitidas por cada una de las Juntas Electorales de Zona. Provincias: La Rioja, Salamanca, Santa Cruz de Tenerife, Segovia, Sevilla, Soria, Tarragona, Teruel, Toledo" (PDF). Official State Gazette (in Spanish) (216): 79370–79777. 9 September 2015. ISSN 0212-033X. Retrieved 6 November 2025.
  28. ↑ Lucio, Lourdes (14 June 2015). "El sevillano Juan Espadas, principal referente municipal del PSOE". El País (in Spanish). Seville. Retrieved 12 November 2025.

Bibliography

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